5G Redcap Archives - Counterpoint

Big Role for 5G RedCap in 5G Evolution, Massive IoT Adoption

5G RedCap promises a mix of capabilities including improved throughput, extended battery life and less complexity to power diverse use cases cost-effectively.
5G RedCap (including eRedCap) modules are expected to contribute to one-fourth of total cellular IoT module shipments by 2030.
5G RedCap will serve use cases such as wearables, medical devices, video surveillance, industrial sensors and smart grid applications.

We have come a long way from the first generation (1G) to the fifth generation (5G) of cellular connectivity. Despite being in the initial stages of its rollout, 5G is poised for adoption at a speed not seen by previous cellular standards.

However, from the IoT perspective, 5G is being considered only for high-end applications due to the higher cost and existence of many use cases which need low power and low bandwidth, currently served by LPWAN. We can see the potential that 5G brings to IoT applications in terms of faster connectivity, low latency, reliability and large capacity compared to LTE networks. These benefits make 5G valuable for certain IoT use cases, creating a need for low-end 5G for the LPWAN application.

What are 5G RedCap and 5G eRedCap?

5G RedCap (Reduced Capacity), aka NR-Lite (New Radio-Lite), is a lighter version of the 5G standard that will cater to those use cases where ultra-low latency is not essential, but there is a need for reasonable throughput to support data flows in applications like router/CPE, mass-market automotive, POS and telematics devices, which are currently addressed by LTE Cat 4. In the upcoming 3GPP Release-18, there will be another version of 5G RedCap, called eRedCap (enhanced-RedCap), which will serve the use cases currently being served by LTE Cat 1 and LTE Cat 1 bis.

Market opportunity for 5G RedCap

5G RedCap addresses new use cases that cannot be served by advanced 5G standards like eMBB/URLLC and LPWAN. 5G RedCap chipset is already available in the market but we can expect commercial rollout by the first half of 2024. According to Counterpoint Research’s Global Cellular IoT Module Forecast, 5G RedCap modules will constitute 18% of total cellular IoT module shipments by 2030, indicating a significant market potential, particularly in developing nations where the cost is key to wide technology adoption for digital transformation.

The subsequent 5G eRedCap is planned for a 2024 introduction, with commercial availability likely by 2026. Expected to bring further innovations to the IoT segment, 5G eRedCap modules are projected to contribute 8% to the total cellular IoT module shipments by 2030.

During the transition phase, network operators will maintain IoT device support through the existing 4G network while focusing on 5G high-end applications like routers/CPE, XR/VR devices and automotive.

By the end of the decade, cellular IoT will generally migrate to 5G, driven by new use cases offered by the 5G network, with 4G serving as a fallback. The industry is already preparing for this shift, moving away from legacy technology towards newer standards.

5G RedCap ecosystem and applications

We can see a flurry of new announcements from ecosystem players to adopt the 5G RedCap standard. Module and chipset players are forging partnerships to capture the opportunity which will be created by 5G RedCap. Qualcomm always has been at the forefront when it comes to adopting new technologies with big potential. We can see that with its launch of the industry’s first SDX35 5G RedCap modem. Qualcomm’s early entry and partnerships with major module vendors will help it to grab more market share in 5G when the mass adoption of 5G RedCap will take place.

5G RedCap will serve the use cases in industrial, enterprise and consumer applications, like smart wearables, medical devices, XR glasses, health monitors, video surveillance cameras, wireless industrial sensors, utility/smart grid applications and even Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) and customer premises equipment (CPEs).

5G eRedCap is likely to be preferred for the applications served by 4G Cat 1, such as tracking devices, charging stations, micro-mobility and battery-powered sensors.

Conclusion

5G RedCap promises to broaden the 5G ecosystem, facilitating more connections. It fills the gap between LPWA and URLLC, simplifying 5G integration in IoT applications. 5G RedCap and eRedCap modules will be cost-effective, enabling OEMs to manufacture less complex, low-cost devices with lower power consumption, something that standard 5G cannot offer.

Though 5G at the IoT level is a few years out, vendors can create devices operable over LTE, with an easy switch to RedCap by changing the communication module. This allows immediate product deployment, with an easy future transition to 5G RedCap as the standard evolves.

5G RedCap’s flexibility and network advantages, including lower latency and higher speeds compared to previous LTE generations, position it as a superior choice for future mass IoT deployment. Numerous potential connections across consumer, industrial and enterprise verticals such as FWA, CPE and vehicle connectivity will greatly benefit, accelerating IoT adoption on a massive scale.

Related Reports:

Global Cellular IoT Connections to Cross 6 Billion in 2030

Global cellular IoT connections grew 29% YoY to reach 2.7 billion in 2022 with 4G continuing to grow its majority share.
China held more than two-thirds of total cellular IoT connections in 2022, followed by Europe and North America.
NB-IoT dominates in China, while LTE-M is preferred in Australia, Japan and North America; Europe supports both.
4G and NB-IoT are the most preferred technologies for cellular IoT applications.
5G is nascent as module prices and breadth of applications reflect early-stage dynamics.
IoT growth drivers are shifting, with the enterprise and transformation initiatives key in propelling IoT connections forward.

San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – June 12, 2023

Global cellular IoT connections grew strongly at 29% YoY to reach 2.7 billion in 2022, according to Counterpoint’s latest Global Cellular IoT Connections Tracker report. They are expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% to reach an installed base of over 6 billion by 2030. China held more than two-thirds of total cellular IoT connections in 2022, followed by Europe and North America.

Amid the challenges faced by various industries, such as inflation, macroeconomic headwinds and supply chain constraints, the cellular IoT market has experienced remarkable growth fuelled by the digital transformation initiatives undertaken by various industry applications like smart meters, automobiles and asset tracking in particular. Cellular IoT connectivity has played a significant role in enhancing productivity, streamlining operations, minimizing downtime, automating processes and generating cost savings for industries. The COVID-19 outbreak unexpectedly proved beneficial for enterprise IoT players, accelerating their digital transformation efforts.

Commenting on the cellular IoT connectivity technology dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “At the end of 2022, 4G and NB-IoT together accounted for nearly 90% of the installed base of cellular IoT connections. 4G emerged as the most preferred technology for cellular IoT connections after surpassing 2G and 3G-based IoT connections in 2016. NB-IoT has gained significant popularity in China, while Japan, Australia and North America prefer LTE-M technology for lower-end applications. Europe has adopted a combination of NB-IoT and LTE-M, supported by roaming services offered by most operators.

In recent times, 4G Cat 1 bis technology has gained significant popularity over NB-IoT due to its superior performance. Applications such as POS, telematics and smart meters are increasingly adopting this technology on a larger scale. The rising shipments of devices based on 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies are contributing to the stagnant market growth of NB-IoT.

5G is still nascent but we expect 5G-based applications to pick up as the module ASP (average selling price) drops to sub-$100 and more 5G RedCap-based solutions become available in the market. The introduction of 5G RedCap and 5G eRedCap will play a crucial role in driving mass adoption of 5G, particularly in developing and underdeveloped countries.”

Commenting on the market outlook, Research Vice President Neil Shah said, “The global cellular IoT connections installed base is expected to surpass 6 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 10.8%. The growth will be mainly driven by cellular connectivity adoption across various sectors such as utilities, automotive, industrial, retail and healthcare. Unlike the previous decade, where consumer devices like smartphones and PCs played a significant role in driving cellular connections, this decade will see a shift towards cellular connections being propelled by the digital transformation initiatives undertaken by enterprise IoT payers. The widespread adoption of cellular connectivity will also contribute to a further reduction in prices for cellular-connected devices, making them more competitive against alternative non-cellular connectivity technologies like LoRa, Sigfox and Wi-SUN. Over the past year, the cellular IoT industry has witnessed many consolidations, including Telit’s acquisition of Thales’ cellular IoT business, Semtech’s acquisition of Sierra Wireless, and Aeris Communications’ acquisition of Ericsson’s IoT accelerator and connected vehicle cloud business. As the cellular IoT module market continues to mature, we can expect more consolidations aimed at providing improved solutions and maintaining competitiveness against other non-cellular connectivity technologies.”

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Cellular IoT Connections Tracker, 2022’ report is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Soumen Mandal

Neil Shah

Mohit Agrawal

Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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Connected Car Sales Grew 12% YoY in 2022 With Volkswagen Group in Lead

Volkswagen Group led in connected car sales, closely followed by Toyota Group.
4G cars captured more than 95% of connected car sales in 2022.
Tesla broke into the top-10 connected car sales rankings for the first time.

New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – April 24, 2023

Global connected car sales* grew 12% YoY in 2022 with the share of connected cars in the overall car sales exceeding 50%, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Smart Automotive Service. The US remained the strongest market for connected cars followed by China and Europe. These three markets accounted for nearly 80% of the total connected car sales globally in 2022. Despite having a relatively small share of connected car sales, Japan experienced the highest growth in connected car penetration.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhilash Gupta said, “The penetration of connectivity in cars improved during 2022 after struggling in 2020 and 2021. In 2022, new facelift versions of older models like the Honda Civic, Toyota Corolla, Ford Escape and Chevrolet Equinox were introduced with upgraded 4G connectivity and new features. Some prominent features include remote lock/unlock, remote engine start/stop, climate control, vehicle status, location tracking, geofencing, emergency assistance, in-cabin music, video streaming, and over-the-air updates. Next-generation vehicles are being introduced with various connected and autonomous features that require high-speed internet access available through 5G. However, as of now, 5G remains a niche, available only in premium cars like the Ford F-150 Lightning, Cadillac LYRIQ, Mercedes-Benz EQS, Audi e-tron GT, BMW iX and GWM Haval HG.”

Gupta added, “With consumers’ focus shifting to connectivity in the car, non-connected car shipments are steadily declining. The top five automotive groups accounted for nearly half of the connected cars sold in 2022. Volkswagen Group led the charts in terms of connected car sales volume, closely followed by Toyota Group. Tesla broke into the top 10 for the first time.”

Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The shift towards digitization in cars is increasing at a rapid pace and is visible in the consistent rise of connected car penetration globally. Currently, 4G dominates the connected car market with almost 95% share. But as the automotive market is transitioning towards electrification, software-defined vehicles and autonomy, the need for seamless and faster in-vehicle connectivity will be fulfilled through 5G. By 2030, more than 90% of connected cars sold will have embedded 5G connectivity. Connected car sales are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% between 2022 and 2030.”

* Sales here refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries out of factories by respective brands, and consider only passenger cars with embedded connectivity.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Connected Car Tracker, Q1 2019-Q4 2022’ and ‘Global Connected Car Forecast, 2019-2030F’ are now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Abhilash Gupta

Soumen Mandal

Peter Richardson

Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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u-blox Marks 25 Years With Record-breaking Revenue, Strong Growth Across All Segments

u-blox’s total revenue grew 44% YoY in 2022 to reach $654 million.
The company shipped more than 100 million chipsets and modules in 2022.
u-blox’s revenue is expected to grow more than 15% YoY in 2023.

Last year saw u-blox’s 25th anniversary, and the company marked the occasion in style, registering a record-breaking revenue of $654 million in 2022, an increase of 44.3% from 2021. Despite supply chain challenges, u-blox managed to fulfill customer demands with a diversified supplier base. The company experienced strong growth across all segments and regions.

Highlights for 2022

u-blox’s operating profit increased 258% YoY in 2022 to reach $138 million, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
The mass adoption of high precession technology in industrial automation, delivery robots, autonomous construction and agricultural equipment helped its industrial segment to grow 52% YoY and capture 63% of the company’s total revenue.
The automotive segment also grew 54% YoY due to the increased demand for navigation and infotainment applications, driven by the shift towards electric vehicles. The segment contributed 28% to the total revenue.
The consumer segment grew 34% YoY and captured 9% of the total revenue.
Among regions, the revenue from APAC increased 59% YoY propelled by high demand for various applications such as infotainment, navigation, telematics and healthcare, particularly in Japan, Australia and New Zealand. In EMEA, the revenue grew by 43% driven by the strong performance of infotainment, navigation, industrial automation and asset-tracking applications. Similarly, the revenue in the Americas grew 48% YoY fueled by the robust growth of infotainment, navigation, telematics and healthcare applications.
In 2022, modules and GNSS chips contributed 79% and 20% of the total revenue respectively. The company shipped more than 100 million modules and chips combined in 2022.

GNSS modules

u-blox is maintaining its leadership position in the GNSS module market due to its superior quality and high precision. In 2022, u-blox’s GNSS module shipments grew by 28% YoY, contributing more than half of the total module revenue. These modules are widely used in automotive and industrial applications. To further enhance its positioning solutions, it has formed partnerships with GMV to provide end-to-end safe positioning solutions for autonomous vehicles. Additionally, u-blox has secured multiple design wins, including with NXP semiconductor, NVIDIA and Li-Auto, for its ZED-F9K GNSS module for automotive applications.

Wi-Fi/BT modules

In 2022, u-blox’s Wi-Fi/BT module segment experienced a 17% YoY growth, generating a revenue of nearly $57 million. The widespread adoption of Wi-Fi 6 in healthcare and industrial applications has played a significant role in the segment’s growth. Besides, u-blox’s partnership with AWS has created two innovative modules that are pre-provisioned for secure communication with AWS via Wi-Fi and cellular IoT, simplifying access to cloud services for customers. This collaboration with AWS is expected to drive the adoption of u-blox’s high-quality modules targeted at the industrial segment, increasing the company’s market share and revenue growth potential.

Cellular IoT modules

According to Counterpoint Research’s Cellular IoT Module Tracker Service, u-blox’s cellular IoT module segment grew by 37% YoY in 2022, reaching $176 million. The launch of new products in the first half of the year played a crucial role in this growth, with its smallest 4G Cat 1 modules shipping one million units within two months of launching. Its UBX-R5 LPWA chipsets are also gaining traction among customers. In the cellular LPWA chipsets market, u-blox is competing with major players such as Qualcomm, Sony and Sequans. Sony’s latest 5G LPWA chipset may create further competition for u-blox.

GNSS chips

u-blox shipped nearly 54 million GNSS chips in 2022, which contributed $131 million in revenue. The u-blox 8 series chipsets continue to be the top-selling chipset, while the new M10 chipsets are ramping up production at a rate of one million per month. Nofence is leveraging u-blox GNSS chipsets to develop GNSS-enabled livestock collars for regenerative farming.

Outlook

The company’s future strategy is to continue to lead with innovative solutions that combine chipsets and modules with services while considering socio-economic and eco-friendly factors. The ongoing adoption of electric and autonomous vehicles will be a major growth opportunity for u-blox. With a strong order book in place, u-blox is forecasting a substantial YoY revenue increase of 6% to 16% for 2023. The average analyst estimate for the 2023 revenue is $724 million, representing an 11% increase. Considering the high demand and interest for its products in the automotive, industrial and asset-tracking segments, it is probable that u-blox’s revenue will be near the higher end of the projected range.

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Despite China’s Failure to Recover in Q3 2022, Global Cellular IoT Module Market Experiences Growth

China led the global cellular IoT module market in Q3 2022 despite losing volume share. China was followed by North America and Western Europe.
Smart meter, POS, automotive, industrial and router/CPE were the top five applications in terms of volume this quarter.
Automotive, router/CPE, PC, industrial and POS were the top five applications in terms of value this quarter.
The top three technologies in terms of volume were NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 4. They captured more than 60% of the total volume in Q3 2022.
The top three technologies in terms of value were 5G, 4G Cat 4 and 4G Other. They captured nearly two-thirds of the total value in Q3 2022.

San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – December 27, 2022

Global cellular IoT module shipments grew by only 2% YoY in Q3 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application. China led the market followed by North America and Europe. China’s shipments decreased 8% YoY in this quarter due to a resurgence of COVID-19 cases. However, some of this demand decline was offset by an increase in the residential, smart door lock, patient monitoring, registrar device, smoke detector, drone, smart meter and automotive applications. Other markets such as North America, Western Europe, India, Japan, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa witnessed healthy growth.

Commenting on the competitive landscape, Associate Director Ethan Qi said, “Quectel is leading the cellular IoT module market, followed by Fibocom, Sunsea AIoT, China Mobile and MeiG. China is dominating this market with all the top five IoT module vendors being from the country. In the past few months, we have seen some consolidation among international players, like Telit taking over Thales’ IoT business and Semtech acquiring Sierra Wireless in the IoT module space to remain resilient against Chinese module vendors. With the increasing adoption of IoT technologies in various sectors, many players will consolidate to get bigger value from this fragmented value chain.”

Commenting on the important underlying technology dynamics shaping the entire IoT ecosystem, Senior Research Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The IoT module market is undergoing changes as demand for low-end technologies like 2G and 3G declines and shifts towards 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis, where higher-end applications are upgrading from 4G to 5G. In this quarter, the top three technologies in terms of shipments – NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 4 – accounted for over 60% of the total shipments. However, in terms of revenue share, 5G, 4G Cat 4 and 4G Other were the top three technologies and held nearly two-thirds of the total revenue. The lower-end technologies such as NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis are helping connect a greater number of IoT devices, while higher-end technologies like 4G Cat 4, 4G Other and 5G are adding more value to the IoT ecosystem. This is why the automotive, router/CPE, PC and industrial segments, which rely mostly on higher-end technologies, are generating more revenue.

During this quarter, we saw some 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis-based applications being replaced with NB-IoT. Chinese NB-IoT chipset companies Eignecomm and Xinyi have improved their partnerships with module players, particularly in the domestic market. Besides, there were few options available for 4G Cat 1 bis chipsets in international markets, with Sequans being the exception. Last week, Qualcomm entered the 4G Cat 1 bis market by launching the QCX216 chipset in partnership with Quectel, Cavli Wireless and MoMAGIC. We believe that 4G Cat 1 bis technology will start to gain traction as leading IoT module and chipset players focus on it for use in massive IoT applications.”

Mandal further added, “Despite slower growth in IoT module shipments, IoT module revenue increased by 12% YoY in Q3 2022 due to a higher mix of 5G and 4G Cat 4 modules. The average selling price (ASP) of all types of 4G technologies and LTE-M continued to rise, while the ASP for 2G, 3G, 5G and NB-IoT technologies decreased. It is believed that 2023 will be a breakthrough year for 5G, and the ASP may decrease to below $100, which will help facilitate wider adoption.”

Commenting on the key application trends in the IoT space, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “The top 10 applications in the market captured more than 80% of shipments this quarter, with the top five being smart meters, POS, automotive, industrial and router/CPE. Smoke detectors saw the fastest growth, followed by residential applications and drones. China was a driving force in the growth of all three of these fast-growing segments, fuelled by a resurgence of COVID-19 cases in the country. Among the top five applications, industrial and router/CPE applications saw a decrease in shipments both on a sequential and yearly basis. However, the industrial segment still presents a large opportunity due to the number of companies embarking on digital transformation projects.”

For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and individuals:

Counterpoint tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 1,500+ IoT module SKUs’ shipments, revenues and ASP performance across 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Soumen Mandal

Mohit Agrawal

Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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u-blox Continues Strong Growth in H1 2022

u-blox recorded an excellent H1 2022 with $311.9 million in total revenues, an increase of 47% from H1 2021 despite macroeconomic headwinds. The demand and interest in u-blox products remained strong across all markets and business segments. The strategy of remodeling and redesigning its products has worked for u-blox in dealing with specific shortages. This time, u-blox changed module design a lot to cut component shortages and clear backlogs.

H1 2022 highlights

u-blox’s gross profit increased 53.9% YoY in H1 2022 to reach $152.4 million.
The industrial segment captured 61% of the company’s total revenue and grew 62% YoY due to higher demand for automation and healthcare applications. The automotive segment also grew 62% YoY and its revenue contributed 28% to the total revenue. The consumer segment grew 18% YoY and captured 10% of the total revenue. In this segment, the growth mainly came from consumer telematics applications.
Americas and APAC regions grew more than 50% YoY while EMEA grew 30%. This growth was driven by industry-focused solutions for automation, mobility, healthcare and network applications. APAC’s growth despite China lockdowns was a testament to u-blox’s strong pipeline of design wins.
In the first half of 2022, modules and GNSS chips contributed 81% and 18% of the total revenue respectively. The module volume grew by 34.3% YoY in H1 2022 to reach nearly 27 million.

The ASP of modules and chipsets increased 20% and 46% YoY respectively due to supply chain constraints and product mix-ups.

GNSS modules

u-blox’s GNSS module shipments grew 56% YoY in H1 2022, contributing more than half of the total module revenue. The good quality and position accuracy of its GNSS products helped u-blox grow this market significantly. This year, it launched the smallest GNSS module, MIA-M10, with its latest technology targeting size-constrained applications like asset-tracking devices, pet trackers, livestock trackers and wearables. Xiaoan selected the u-blox M10 product to enhance the positioning performance of shared motorcycles and electric bicycles.

Wi-Fi/BT modules

In H1 2022, u-blox’s Wi-Fi/BT module segment grew 24% YoY to reach a revenue of nearly $30 million. In short-range radio modules (Wi-Fi and Bluetooth), u-blox continued to expand its capabilities. It launched Wi-Fi 6-based modules, which are ideal for industrial, smart home and mass-market applications.

Cellular IoT modules

In recent times, we have seen international module players merging their cellular IoT businesses to become more competitive in this space. u-blox is slowly recovering its cellular IoT module business. In H1 2022, u-blox’s cellular IoT module segment grew 36% compared to H1 2021, according to Counterpoint Research’s Cellular IoT Module Tracker Service. u-blox provided flexibility to its customers by launching new products. However, we expect u-blox will focus more on GNSS products and services compared to cellular IoT modules, considering growth opportunities.

GNSS chips

The quality of u-blox’s GNSS chipsets is far better than other players, which is helping u-blox witness continued growth in this market. With the rising demand for positioning and location-based ecosystems, u-blox will be able to record a multi-fold increase in its revenue by targeting applications like passenger and commercial vehicles, asset tracking, micro-mobility, surveillance, industrial and healthcare.

Market outlook

The steady expansion of u-blox’s production capacity and strong bookings resulted in this record revenue in H1 2022. Within the first half of 2022, its order book value doubled compared to the end of 2021, which makes u-blox well-positioned to continue to grow revenues and improve profitability. It is already managing well the supply constraint situation. We expect u-blox’s revenue will grow nearly 50% YoY in 2022.

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Telit’s Acquisitions to Reshape Global IoT Module Market

In recent times, Telit has acquired cellular IoT businesses from Thales and Mobilogix. The IoT module market has started consolidating and we expect to see a few more deals in the coming months. In August, we also saw Semtech acquiring Sierra Wireless to offer complete chip-to-cloud solutions to cover the entire IoT value chain. The back-to-back acquisitions by Telit show how it is trying to become an integrated player. With the Mobilogix acquisition, Telit can offer modules, connectivity, security and management platform to design and manufacturing services. It means Telit will act as a one-stop solution provider for its customers. Here, we will try to analyze what these acquisitions mean to Telit and how they will impact the IoT industry.

Telit-Thales deal

Thales is merging its cellular IoT module business into Telit to form a new entity called Telit Cinterion. Thales will own a 25% stake in the newly formed entity and offer SIM technology and security services for IoT modules.

China dominates the global cellular IoT module market by taking more than 55% share. International players are struggling to compete in the operator- and government-driven China IoT module market.

After its deal with Telit, Thales will enjoy less distraction from its module business and will be able to focus on its core business which includes software, security and services. Thales will still continue to provide eSIM services where it is a market leader.

Global Cellular IoT Module Shipments Share by Vendor, Q1 2022

The newly formed company will have a common R&D platform which will help save resources. In the coming times, we may see Telit Cinterion focusing on the IoT platform business to earn revenue on a recurring basis.

Thales has a strong position in Europe and Japan, whereas Telit has a good presence in North America and Latin America. This complementary relationship supports their dream of becoming the #1 cellular IoT player in the international market. Telit-Thales is already leading in the international IoT module market in terms of revenue. With this merger, Telit Cinterion may overtake Quectel in the international market in terms of shipments in the coming years.

Telit has already divested its automotive business in 2018, but Thales has a good customer base for some European automakers. How the joint venture treats this automotive business will be keenly watched. There is ample opportunity in the automotive business with growing connected and autonomous mobility. With the introduction of 5G, Telit may focus on the automotive segment as the automotive module business contributes higher revenue due to a higher average selling price (ASP).

In recent times, Telit has done a great job launching many new modules. This helps Telit to target new regions depending on available technologies and provides an option for customers to select a product as per their requirements.

Telit-Mobilogix deal

Telit moved to acquire Mobilogix, a decade-old end-to-end IoT hardware, software and cloud solution provider to fulfill its ambition of becoming a more integrated player and one of the largest end-to-end white-label solution providers outside China.

Mobilogix’s comprehensive device engineering expertise and resources, which focus on optimizing the specifications for EMS and ODMs, and attainment of regulatory approvals and carrier certification, will help Telit provide solutions to customers with reduced cost and complexity, and faster time to market.

Furthermore, Mobilogix is known for its expertise in customized IoT projects, which provide businesses with solutions in various application verticals that are ready to certify and mass produce. This will help Telit expand its focus in growing segments such as telematics, micro-mobility, healthcare, construction and agriculture.

Chinese module vendors are trying to become integrated players to capture maximum share across the IoT value chain. Telit is also trying to adopt such a model with these recent acquisitions. For example, Quectel is trying to increase its footprint in the North American market with the establishment of a new ODM company, named Ikotek. Similarly, Fibocom established a new ODM company in 2019 for global customers through applications such as gateway, payment terminal, telematics and industrial applications. Telit is slowly becoming vertically integrated and trying to revive back its glory days in the IoT module market.

Solutions from the combined entity will provide a great choice for customers who want to diversify and do not want to depend on the Chinese ecosystem, and need tightly integrated solution expertise from one provider.

If Telit wants to compete head-to-head with Chinese module giants like Quectel and Fibocom, it has to develop an effective business strategy for each international market.

Mobilogix has a wide range of portfolios comprising custom IoT projects and solution design services based on three basic architectures, namely beacon, power and battery-operated architecture. Apart from this, it also offers cloud platform integration and custom firmware, which will add value to Telit’s portfolio not only from cellular but also from BLE beacon hardware designs.

Mobilogix has a global presence across key regions such as the US, China, India and Latin America. Its presence in China and emerging markets like India will help Telit grow its presence in these key regions.

Conclusion

Telit is becoming a more integrated player with these acquisitions and moving up the stack to become an end-to-end solution provider. The convenient and comprehensive solutions will add more value to its customers’ IoT project deployments and will be concurrent with its long-term vision of becoming the #1 international module player in terms of both shipments and revenue.
The acquisitions will help Telit provide solutions to customers from the design/manufacturing of hardware to cloud and security with regional diversification. This will help Telit cater to more application segments, thus improving both revenue and profitability.
However, industry experts will be keenly watching the entire positioning, offering, strategy and business model, which are changing in the IoT space as you need to be a large-scale and end-to-end player to succeed even though it is a blue ocean out there.

5G AIoT Unlocking New Era of IoT

The use of IoT devices is making our daily lives smarter. IoT combined with artificial intelligence (AI), or artificial IoT (AIoT), is helping in automated real-time decision-making and data analysis. AI can add value to IoT through machine learning (ML) and improved decision-making. Similarly, IoT can add value to AI through connectivity and data exchange. With the rapid technological advancements, AIoT is transforming every industry, enterprise and consumer.

5G is going to be the key ingredient in driving AIoT applications. According to a Counterpoint Research study, the shipments of 5G AIoT-supported modules will grow at a CAGR of 84% between 2022 and 2030. Further, 60% of 5G IoT modules will have AI capability by 2030 for better processing and real-time decision-making.

AIoT applications

The adoption of AIoT is becoming an emerging technology trend across a wide range of industries where real-time data operation is needed, such as industrial manufacturing, robotics, logistics, healthcare, agriculture, smart cities and smart home.

Industrial manufacturing

Manufacturing relies on digital transformation to become more efficient and reduce human error. This sector needs to adopt AIoT solutions. AIoT-powered robots in factories improve the manufacturing process with excellent efficiency. They help reduce labor costs as well as time.

Smart cities

In a smart city, there are several uses of AIoT, such as traffic management and waste management. To avoid chaos and congestion on the road in a crowded city, AIoT-based drones help monitor traffic and transmit real-time traffic data for analyses through AI and for making decisions on the speed limit and timing of traffic lights, all without human interference. Therefore, real-time traffic monitoring by drones increases efficiency and reduces congestion.

Security and surveillance are other important applications for AI in smart cities. AI cameras can help police monitor illegal activities and prevent unwanted situations.

Autonomous vehicles

Self-driving cars are one of the best use cases of AIoT applications. IoT-enabled devices like cameras, radars and sonars in the car gather data and the AI system helps analyze this data within a few milliseconds so that the car can make decisions like a human. Fully autonomous vehicles will generate 1-2TB of data per hour and AI will be required to handle this amount of data and take some decisions at the edge.

Smart homes

AI in the connected home space is mainly used for voice assistant, situational awareness, automation and security. Starting from door locks, smoke alarm, surveillance and smart speakers to smart appliances such as lighting, thermostat, refrigerator, plugs, routers, meters, home controllers and vehicle chargers, many applications have already adopted AI features.

Challenges in implementing AI in IoT

As most AI applications are based on real-time decision-making, they need a high-speed data rate to communicate. 5G’s high speed and low latency will be ideal for AIoT applications. But in many regions, 5G infrastructure is still not there or is in the initial phase. Hence, it will be challenging to scale. Data management and taking the right decision at the right time by handling huge amounts of data will be another big challenge for AI adoption. Moreover, the security angle will also need to be addressed. Both hardware- and software-level security will be required for AIoT applications to keep connected devices safe.

Initiatives by module and chipset players in AI applications

With the increasing traction for 5G-based AIoT applications, module vendors like Fibocom, Quectel, Thundercomm and MeiG are stepping forward to launch AI-supported 5G IoT modules. Some module vendors are offering AI features at the hardware level while some vendors are offering AI features at the software level. Whether to use hardware- or software-level AI features depends on the application and cost of the project. Recently, Quectel announced that it would add software-level AI capability in its Rel 16-based 5G modules by partnering with NVIDIA. International module vendor Telit is also adding AI capabilities in its FM980 5G module through NVIDIA software. However, Quectel, Fibocom, MeiG and Thundercomm are already offering hardware-level 5G AI-supported modules for high-end applications such as C-V2X, AR/VR, robots, smart cities, live streaming, gaming and edge computing.

In terms of chipset players, Qualcomm is leading in the 5G AIoT chipset space. This year, it launched the world’s first AI-supported 5G modem Snapdragon X70. Moreover, it has broader 5G AIoT SoC offerings with the QCM6490, Snapdragon 480, Snapdragon 690 and Snapdragon 750.

The second-largest IoT chipset player, UNISOC, is trying to gain momentum for 5G through AIoT-based SoCs. So far, UNISOC is offering AIoT features in its T770, T760 and T740 chipsets.

Recently, MediaTek launched the Genio 1200 chipset, specially designed for 5G AIoT devices. It is targeting applications such as smart home, industrial, robotics and audio/video terminals.

We expect that 2023 will provide momentum to the 5G AIoT market as the IoT market has been facing some instability lately due to inflation, supply issues and other macro factors.

Quectel, Fibocom & Sunsea Capture Half the Cellular IoT Module Market in Q1 2022

Quectel, Foxconn, China Mobile, WNC, Telit, MeiG, Sequans, Gosuncn were the fastest growing vendors in Q1 2022.
Smart Meters, POS, industrial, automotive and telematics were the top five applications in the quarter.
China, North America, and Western Europe accounted for over 75% of the volume.

San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – June 23, 2022

Global cellular IoT module shipments grew 35% YoY in Q1 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application. India was the fastest growing market (59% YoY) followed by Middle East Africa, Japan, North America, China, Western Europe and Korea, all registering healthy double-digit growth. However, the largest IoT module market, China, saw demand dip by 11% QoQ due to the new wave of COVID-19 and resulting lockdowns.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The cellular IoT module market remains competitive, but there is growing consolidation. For example, Quectel, Fibocom and Sunsea accounted for more than half of the global IoT cellular module shipment volumes for the first time ever. This highlights the growing influence, expertise, and scale of these Chinese vendors in the fast-growing global market.

Quectel’s cellular IoT module shipments grew 77% YoY in Q1 2022 to a healthy 38% of global volume. Quectel now ships more modules than the next ten vendors combined. Quectel continues to dominate geographically with leadership in seven out of ten key markets globally. Quectel commands a strong position in 4G and NB-IoT modules. Quectel is expanding its 5G portfolio and aims to gain scale as the technology ramps.

Fibocom’s shipments grew by 24% YoY benefitting from the surging demand for 4G Cat 1 bis modules, which is one of the fastest growing segments and led by Fibocom globally. 4G Cat 1 bis is becoming a key technology targeting the 2G and 3G IoT installed base and similar applications such as POS and telematics. Fibocom is also heavily focusing on 5G AIoT based smart modules to maintain a lead in high value applications.

Sunsea AIoT which includes the brands SIMcom and Longsung, has cemented its place in the top three brands. It focuses on 4G Cat-1 and NB-IoT modules. China continues to be the key market for Sunsea; it will need to diversify if it wants to scale and grow at the same pace as its peers.

Telit captured 4.6% share and is the only non-Chinese brand in the top five players. Demand for its modules remains healthy in North and Latin America. The module mix shifted slightly with increasing demand for legacy 2G and 3G modules offsetting some volume decline in 4G modules due to supply chain constraints. Telit leads the Latin America market and is among the top three vendors in North America.

China Mobile, Sierra Wireless and u-blox improved their market share in Q1. The world’s largest EMS, Foxconn, also entered our top ten module players list with growing demand in the CPE and connected PC segments. The relationship with top device makers, potential EV business growth and a focus on 5G technology, should help Foxconn to grow in this sector in the mid- to long-term.”

Commenting on cellular IoT technology evolution, Associate Director Ethan Qi, said, “There is a significant shift happening in the adoption and proliferation of different cellular IoT access technologies, from LPWA (NB-IoT, LTE-M) to 4G (Cat 1, Cat 1 bis) to 4G Cat 3+, 5G and upcoming 5G Redcap. This is driven not only by the wide range of different applications, but also regional and operator adoption dynamics. NB-IoT is considered a key and fast-growing technology for low power IoT applications and has been widely adopted in China and some other parts of the world. Whereas LTE-M is preferred in markets such as Japan, Australia, North America, and parts of Europe. However, we are also witnessing many regions and operators favouring 4G Cat 1 and Cat 1 bis for some mature and some new IoT applications. While most of these technologies are complimentary, operators still have to selectively invest in one over others, depending on the IoT verticals of most importance to them.

As we see 5G rolling out, many of the advanced IoT applications such as automotive, router CPEs, PCs will move to 5G from advanced 4G technologies. Furthermore, the advent of 5G Redcap will also supplant some legacy technologies such as 3G/4G in some IoT applications. So, the entire IoT ecosystem has a wide array of cellular access technology solutions to choose from depending on the applications, data requirements, cost constraints and operator dynamics in a particular market.

The technology mix also shapes the overall cellular IoT module Average Selling Price (ASP), which declined by 3% annually in Q1 due to an increasing mix of lower cost 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis modules. Furthermore, the 4G Cat 4+ modules are still facing supply chain constraints and the % share of 5G modules remains small contributing to the overall ASP decline. We believe the 4G module supply chain issues will moderate later this year, but the falling ASP for 5G modules will provide an option for device OEMs to either select 4G or 5G modules moving forward.”

Commenting on which IoT applications are hottest, Research Vice President Neil Shah said, “Cellular IoT powers a diverse set of applications and the number of things that can be connected to the internet continues to rise.

Smart meters, POS and industrial were the top three applications in the global cellular IoT module market in Q1 2022. These segments are contributing to nearly 40% of total cellular IoT module shipments.

Smart meter projects have restarted in many markets post-COVID and the segment is seeing strong growth with shipments doubling compared to a year ago. Meanwhile, demand in the router/CPE segment is steadily growing as the supply constraints lessen and demand increases for FWA CPEs for the work-from-home segment, and 4G/5G upgrade projects increase for enterprise-grade routers across retail, factories, offices, etc.”

For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and also for individual subscription:

Counterpoint tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 1500+ IoT module SKUs’ shipments, revenues, and ASP performance across 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.

Background

Analyst Contacts:

Soumen Mandal

Ethan Qi

Neil Shah

Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Reports:

Global Cellular IoT Module Shipments to Cross 1.2 Bn Units by 2030

5G shipments to overtake 4G by 2028 to become the leading technology in the global cellular IoT module market.
Smart meter, industrial, router/CPE, automotive and POS will be the top five applications in 2030 in terms of shipments.
5G RedCap mass adoption is expected to happen in 2027 and onwards.

San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – May 9, 2022

Global cellular IoT module shipments are expected to cross 1.2 billion units by 2030 with a CAGR of 12%, according to the latest Global Cellular IoT Module Forecast from Counterpoint Research. The shipments will be mainly driven by 5G, NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies. 5G will be the fastest growing (60%) technology, followed by 4G Cat 1 bis, during 2022-2030.

With 5G becoming mature, we will see large module vendors such as Quectel, Fibocom, MeiG, Foxconn, Thales, Telit and Sierra Wireless consolidating their positions in the global cellular IoT module market. Longtail module vendors will struggle with scale and partnerships.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “With the ongoing sunset of 2G and 3G networks across the world, most of the demand has been shifting to LPWA, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies until now. NB-IoT will still remain popular in parts of Asia, including China, and Europe, while 4G Cat-1-based modules proliferate over the next few years.

With LPWA technologies such as NB-IoT, LTE-M and 4G Cat-1 driving this initial adoption of cellular IoT, the global cellular IoT market will transition from 4G to 5G in the rest of this decade. This transition will be faster compared to the transition from 2G/3G to LPWA/4G in the IoT segment. 5G will be the leading technology in the global cellular IoT module market, followed by NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 bis.

The rollout of 5G and introduction of 5G RedCap in coming years will see the adoption of 5G across intelligent IoT applications in industrial, asset tracking, POS, telematics, healthcare and wearables segments, mostly replacing traditional 4G IoT applications. We estimate that cumulative 5G shipments (excluding 5G RedCap) will reach 2.5 billion units, growing at a CAGR of 60% between 2022 and 2030.

By the end of this decade, we should see the introduction of 6G technology for IoT. However, 6G will be limited to higher-end applications such as enterprise and broadband in the initial years of adoption.”

Commenting on the cellular IoT module application landscape, Vice-President Research Neil Shah said, “Smart meter, industrial, router/CPE, automotive and POS will be the top five applications in 2030 in terms of shipments. 5G will be preferred for Industrial 4.0 (like robotics, automation and digital twins), router/CPE (like FWA and private networks) and automotive (like connected and autonomous mobility) applications, LPWA will be preferred for utilities (smart meter) and 4G Cat 1 bis and 5G RedCap for POS applications.

China leads in 5G adoption in the global cellular IoT module market. However, North America and Europe will have great potential in the future. 5G adoption in emerging markets such as India and Latin America will also grow faster and 5G RedCap may become popular in these regions.”

For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and also for individual subscription:

Counterpoint Research tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 80+ IoT module vendors’ shipments, revenues and ASP performance across 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.

Background

Analyst Contacts:

Soumen Mandal

Neil Shah

Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Reports:

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Insights Tag： 5G Redcap

Big Role for 5G RedCap in 5G Evolution, Massive IoT Adoption

What are 5G RedCap and 5G eRedCap?

Market opportunity for 5G RedCap

5G RedCap ecosystem and applications

Conclusion

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Global Cellular IoT Connections to Cross 6 Billion in 2030

u-blox Marks 25 Years With Record-breaking Revenue, Strong Growth Across All Segments

Despite China’s Failure to Recover in Q3 2022, Global Cellular IoT Module Market Experiences Growth

u-blox Continues Strong Growth in H1 2022

Telit’s Acquisitions to Reshape Global IoT Module Market

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Initiatives by module and chipset players in AI applications

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Quectel, Fibocom & Sunsea Capture Half the Cellular IoT Module Market in Q1 2022

Global Cellular IoT Module Shipments to Cross 1.2 Bn Units by 2030

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5G RedCap ecosystem and applications

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