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South Africa’s Smartphone Market Grows 73% YoY in Q3 2023 to Reach Highest Since 2021

  • South Africa’s smartphone market growth supported by accelerated feature phone-to-smartphone migration.
  • Samsung led the market but its share declined as HONOR, Huawei and TECNO gained.
  • HONOR was the fastest-growing brand and captured the second position for the first time in Q3 2023.

Smartphone shipments in South Africa grew 73% YoY and 44% QoQ in Q3 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor Service. The market reached its highest levels since 2021, just before the macroeconomics-related global slowdown started. In Q3 2023, the market was also helped by the increased feature phone-to-smartphone migration as Chinese OEMs tapped into the entry price bands.

Commenting on the market performance, Senior Research Analyst Yang Wang said, “South Africa is among the fastest-growing smartphone markets in the MEA region, and major Chinese players are increasing their focus on this market. South Africa’s market is growing rapidly and has breached its 2021 levels before the macroeconomic crisis put a dent in the global economy. As the nation’s economic situation is recovering, Chinese OEMs are aggressively trying to capture demand. The entry of HONOR has further tightened competition in the market as it poses a strong competitor against Xiaomi and Samsung in the low- and mid-tier segment.”

South Africa Smartphone

Most of the major smartphone brands recorded a double-digit YoY percentage growth during the quarter and are rushing to fill the market with newer offerings to capitalize on the recovery in demand. Major Chinese players are getting aggressive and are launching multiple products in the lower price tier to further accelerate the migration from feature phones to smartphones.

Samsung led the market during the quarter, despite stiff competition from the aggressive Chinese players. It was the leading brand across all the price segments and the A-series devices continued to drive volumes. Samsung’s foldable devices are among the leading models in the premium segment.

HONOR surpassed Xiaomi to become the second-biggest smartphone brand during the quarter due to aggressive marketing activities, and improved device availability across channels. HONOR focused on low- and mid-priced smartphones and provided stiff competition to Chinese players Xiaomi and TECNO. During the quarter, HONOR also entered the premium segment with the launch of the HONOR 90 5G and 90 Lite 5G. The brand offered a free HONOR Watch 4 with the 90 5G model and HONOR Choice Earbuds X5 with the 90 Lite 5G.

Xiaomi narrowly lost its second spot to HONOR, despite its share increasing YoY during the quarter. It is focusing on increasing its channel reach. Xiaomi’s Redmi 10 and Note 11 series were the volume driver. Xiaomi is among the leading players in the low-tier price segment (< $100) due to the popularity of its Redmi 10A, 10C, and A1 series.

Transsion Group is another major player in the market, benefitting from strong demand for the TECNO and itel brands. Meanwhile, Infinix has not been able to make a presence in the market. TECNO is focusing on the low- to mid-end market while itel is focusing on the lower-end market and is the leader in its segment. TECNO’s Pova and Pop, and itel’s A series were the volume drivers. TECNO is among the leading players in the sub-$200 price range, while itel leads the <$100 segment.

South Africa is still facing an energy crisis, but we note that major macro indicators are stabilizing due to the easing of inflation and unemployment rates. Chinese players are starting to notice MEA markets in general, and South Africa will be seen as a particularly attractive market due to the higher income levels and better connectivity infrastructure. South Africa’s market is expected to grow further in the high-end segment driven by the increasing premiumization trend, and Samsung and Apple are likely to benefit the most.

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Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Nearly Two-thirds of High-end Smartphone Users in China are Open to Foldables: Survey

  • 64% of high-end smartphone users in China are willing to purchase a foldable smartphone for their next purchase.    
  • Trying new form factor (22%) and owning a bigger screen (21%) are key reasons driving preference for foldable design. 
  • 89% of potential foldable buyers prefer book-type foldable design for its wide and large display and multi-tasking feature.
  • Reputation and the latest technology are the key factors during brand selection. 
  • The durability of foldables is the top area of concern among people.

Beijing, New Delhi, London, Jakarta, Boston, Toronto, Taipei, Seoul – November 23, 2023

A recent consumer survey conducted by Counterpoint Research spotlights a strong interest in foldable smartphones among Chinese consumers. As many as 64% of smartphone users in the $400 and above price bracket in China are considering foldables for their next purchase, with 20% already committed to the idea and an additional 44% weighing it as an option.

Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Consumer Lens Service

Android users’ interest in foldable smartphones is higher at 71%, while it is 58% for iOS users. This interest in foldables is particularly pronounced among current foldable phone users in the survey, who are eager to continue their experience with the emerging technology.

Though the big screen size of foldables attracts smartphone users, this enthusiasm is tempered by concerns over durability, prominence of the crease and the bulkiness of the device when the screen is folded, which are seen as the main barriers to widespread adoption.

Senior Analyst Arushi Chawla said, “With the smartphone market maturing and hence becoming tough to compete on the software side of things, people are looking forward to the foldable category as a stand-out factor. Multiple brands coming up with newer foldable generations are also building confidence among consumers. As a result, a significant proportion of the respondents aspire to purchase foldable smartphones in the near future. However, now consumers have also become better informed due to their rising dependence on smartphones and, therefore, hold certain concerns about the foldable technology.”

Durability of foldables is the top area (23%) the respondents want the products to improve. Comments on Chinese social media highlight complaints about the high cost of repairing foldables and disappointment over the robustness of product designs. Therefore, reputation in terms of quality and after-sales service becomes the top factor in brand selection.

Research Analyst Archie Zhang said, “Chinese OEMs are leading innovations in the foldable sector, striving to create devices that are both slimmer and lighter and appeal to consumers accustomed to the standard premium phones. This evolution is supported by significant investments in research and development, focusing on the mechanics of foldable hinges and the materials used, which are key to decreasing the body size and weight and increasing robustness.”

The survey also explores consumer expectations from book-type foldables. About 70% think foldables’ weight should be similar to or lighter than the smartphones they are using. Regarding thickness, most respondents think book-type foldables should not exceed 10 mm-12 mm when folded. Also, most users are willing to pay a price in the RMB 7,000-RMB 8,000(about $947-$1113) range for this foldable device type.

The Chinese foldable smartphone market has shown exponential growth this year, registering a 106% YoY increase in Q3. HONOR’s Magic V2 was the best-selling model in this quarter. From Q1 to Q3, the segment grew 90% with Huawei taking the biggest sales share.

Counterpoint Research

Counterpoint ResearchHONOR and other Chinese OEMs have stepped up foldable shipments while aiming for faster growth in the premium segment globally. This will make the global foldable market more competitive.

Senior Research Analyst Mengmeng Zhang said, “The Chinese foldable smartphone market is poised for double-digit growth in 2023, even against an anticipated overall market contraction of less than 5% YoY. With OEMs enhancing the durability, design and affordability of foldables, these devices are set to captivate a broader consumer base. Besides, unique software capabilities like advanced multi-tasking and seamless inner-outer screen integration are expected to further boost the appeal of foldable smartphones.”

(This Counterpoint Research survey was sponsored by HONOR to understand the preference towards foldable smartphones among users in the $400 and above price band in China. The survey, having a sample size of more than 1,000 respondents, was conducted online in both English and Mandarin languages. We expect the survey results to have a statistical precision of +/- 4%.)

 

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Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Report: China Foldable Market Consumer Survey

China Foldable Market Consumer Survey

REPORT

PDF | 21 pages
Published date: November 2023

Counterpoint Research conducted a survey targeting high-end smartphone users in China to explore their ownership, opinions, and preferences regarding foldable smartphone form factors. The study sheds light on users’ receptiveness to foldable smartphones, their inclinations toward various foldable designs, and the primary concerns within this segment. Additionally, the research delves into future preferences for foldable smartphone purchases.

The survey, sponsored by HONOR, utilized an online quantitative questionnaire to collect responses from individuals owning smartphones valued at $400 and above. The sample included 1,043 individuals, representing a diverse group categorized by age, education, gender, and occupation. Data collection took place in October 2023.

  • Key Takeaways
  • China Foldable Market Overview
    • China Foldable Smartphone Sales by Quarter
    • China Foldable Smartphone Market Share and Top Models, Q3 2023
    • China Foldable Smartphone Shipment Forecast
  • Foldable Survey Insights
    • Willingness to Purchase Foldables
    • Reasons to Choose Foldables
    • Clamshell vs Book-type
    • Book-type Study: Price, Weight and Thickness
    • Durability of Foldables Top Concern of All Surveyed Users
    • Key Features When Selecting Foldable Models and Brands
  • Appendix
    • Demographic Split
    • Research Design: Methodology

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MEA Smartphone Shipments Grow Fastest Among All Regions in Q3

  • MEA smartphone shipments grew 23% YoY and 11% QoQ in Q3 2023 to reach their highest levels since the onset of the global economic crisis.
  • The feature phone-to-smartphone upgrade cycle observed in 2021 resumed in Q3 owing to improvements in macroeconomic conditions. The share of smartphones in total handset shipments reached 61%.
  • Samsung led the market but Xiaomi, TECNO and HONOR were the biggest gainers. Transsion Group brands captured over a third of total MEA smartphone shipments.
  • The wholesale average selling price of smartphones sold in the region continued to increase, with the price bands above $200 continuing to gain share.

London, Boston, Toronto, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Taipei, Seoul – November 21, 2023

Smartphone shipments in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region grew 23% YoY and 11% QoQ in Q3 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor Service. Many major markets recorded YoY improvements in their key macroeconomic indicators, like unemployment and inflation, which helped improve consumer sentiment during the quarter. This led to the resumption of the feature phone-to-smartphone upgrade cycle which was last observed driving the market in 2021. The smartphone share of total handset shipments rose to 61% in Q3 2023.

Commenting on the market’s performance, Research Analyst Ravyansh Yadav said, “The MEA region grew the fastest among all regions, building on the momentum from Q2 2023 as economies continued to recover. This also made OEMs aggressive in capturing demand. The market reached levels last observed in 2021, before the global macroeconomic crisis, from which many developed markets are still struggling to climb out. The MEA region has huge untapped potential, especially due to rapid digitalization and a rising services economy. The smartphone is becoming increasingly more essential in the region, a trend we observed nearly a decade ago in developed markets like North America, Europe and East Asia.”

A chart showing MEA smartphone shipments between Q3 2021 and Q3 2023

Most major brands recorded YoY growth, rushing to fill channels with new launches to capitalize on the recovery in demand and the upcoming promotions season in Q4. Consequently, brands are likely sitting on some channel inventory going into Q4. Brands and channels are likely to host multiple promotional events through Q4, like the 11.11 and Black Friday sales in November hosted by major channels like eXtra and Jumia.

Samsung led the market, as shipments grew marginally YoY, with its 2023 A-series devices continuing to drive volumes. Samsung’s latest foldables outperformed their predecessors in the region, but volumes remained low.

HONOR was the fastest-growing top-10 brand, having increased marketing activities and improved device availability across channels over the past few quarters, largely in the Middle East and some African markets. HONOR made significant gains in South Africa in Q3, where it narrowly edged out Xiaomi for the #2 spot.

Xiaomi was aggressive with channel fills in the region throughout the quarter, likely in a bid to recapture share amid stiff competition from the regional stalwarts of Transsion Group. Xiaomi’s Redmi 12 and Note 12 series have been especially popular in the region, particularly in South Africa and Egypt.

TECNO was among the biggest gainers in Q3, benefitting from strong demand for its recent launches like the Spark 10, Pop 7 and Camon 20 series, particularly in Nigeria and other key markets in Africa. TECNO’s success has likely come at the expense of its sister brands Infinix and itel. While Infinix recorded YoY growth driven by multiple recent launches like the Hot 30 and Note 30 series, itel’s shipments declined YoY. While this is partly due to an ongoing shift in Transsion’s portfolio strategy, it also signals a broader market trend of demand moving to higher price tiers and consumer aspirations for better devices.A chart showing the MEA smartphone shipments market share.

Commenting on the MEA smartphone market’s price trends, Senior Analyst Yang Wang said, “Consumers are increasingly opting for better devices, which have become more affordable owing to a rise in financing options. Apple has benefitted greatly from this, with its shipments steadily growing YoY over the past year. The wholesale average selling price (ASP) of smartphones sold in MEA has also grown 13% YoY, with the share of price bands above $200 continuing to increase. This trend is likely to continue as the MEA region, like many regions before, approaches maturity within the next decade driven by a rapidly rising digital economy.”

The MEA region represents the next big market opportunity for smartphone brands, as the feature phone-to-smartphone transition continues to drive demand. Furthermore, the market is expected to continue moving to higher price bands, eventually riding the premiumization wave seen in other markets across the world. While regional stalwarts like the Transsion Group brands and Samsung are likely to benefit most, there is an opportunity for new entrants as well as existing players in the market, as showcased by HONOR and Apple over the past few quarters. Brands with a streamlined and accessible portfolio, focus on building relationships with channel players and financial service providers, and strong distribution activities in the region are most likely to make gains as the MEA smartphone market continues to grow.

Counterpoint Research’s market-leading Market Monitor, Market Pulse and Model Sales services for mobile handsets are available for subscribing clients.

Feel free to contact us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our in-depth research and insights.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market share for World, USA, China and India.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

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Europe Smartphone Shipments Decline 11% YoY in Q3 2023, Recovery Looks Distant

  • Europe’s smartphone shipments declined 11% YoY in Q3 2023.
  • Samsung touched its lowest Q3 shipments since 2011.
  • Apple captured a higher market share despite its lowest Q3 shipments since 2014.
  • HONOR was back in the top five after three years with strong growth in Western Europe.

London, New Delhi, Jakarta, Boston, Toronto, Beijing, Taipei, Seoul – November 20, 2023

­Europe’s smartphone shipments declined 11% YoY in Q3 2023, according to the latest report from Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor Service. Western Europe declined by 8%, indicating a slight recovery from the 14% decline in the previous quarter. However, Eastern Europe declined by 15% due to continued economic and geopolitical challenges.

A chart showing the Europe Smartphone Shipment share by OEM

Commenting on the overall market, Research Analyst Harshit Rastogi said, “Q3 2023 saw the lowest Q3 smartphone shipments since 2011. However, some OEMs have managed to gain a foothold in the market, such as Transsion brands TECNO and Infinix (particularly in Russia), while HONOR is doing well in Western Europe. Even as the market shares of top players remain the same, Chinese OEMs are switching ranks among themselves.”

Commenting on the outlook, Associate Director Jan Stryjak said, “While the market continued to decline, major launches like the iPhone 15 series and Samsung’s fifth-generation foldables softened the fall. The rate of decline is slowing and, while we aren’t holding out a return to growth just yet, we are optimistic about a strong end to the year in Q4. Economic conditions continue to be tough, though, and people are holding on to their devices for longer than ever. Therefore, we expect the market to remain muted for the foreseeable future.”

Market summary for Q3 2023

  • Samsung declined 15% YoY and reached its lowest Q3 shipments since 2011. The decline was mitigated by the launch of its new foldables, which received a warm reception in the region.
  • Apple reached its highest Q3 share at 24% despite declining by 3% YoY and touching its lowest Q3 shipments since 2014. The OEM will likely lead in the coming quarter owing to pent-up upgrade demand for the iPhone 15 series.
  • Xiaomi declined by 13% in Q3 2023 but remained the top player in Eastern Europe, capturing 35% of the market. The brand is also facing backlash in some Western European markets (like Finland) due to its continued presence in the Russian market.
  • HONOR was the only brand among the top five to grow YoY, inching closer to levels before its split from Huawei and entering the top five. The brand is likely to take market share from other Chinese OEMs (like OPPO).
  • Transsion brands TECNO and Infinix surged in the region, growing 192% and 518% respectively, with Russia being the primary market for both. In the coming quarters, the competition among the Chinese OEMs will intensify even as parallel imports sustain the market for Samsung and Apple.
  • OPPO’s uncertainties in the region were reflected in its shipments, which declined 23% YoY. However, Eastern Europe limited the brand’s regional decline with 27% growth. In the coming quarters, the brand will likely face more issues in Western Europe.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Latest China Weekly Smartphone Sales Signals Market Recovery, Huawei Rally

  • Growth: China’s YoY smartphone sales growth for the first four weeks of October averaged 11%
  • Growth: WoW figures heading into 11.11 sales period highlight stronger momentum than 2022
  • Drivers: Huawei the standout brand, growing by over 90% during the four-week period
  • Drivers: More transparent and earlier promotions ahead of the 11.11 Singles Day sales event
  • Expectations: Positive momentum across both WoW and YoY

Beijing, Hong Kong, Seoul, Boston, New Delhi, London – November 14, 2023

China’s smartphone market is signalling a recovery with the first four weeks of October growing on average 11% YoY according to Counterpoint Research’s latest Smartphone 360 Weekly Tracker. Huawei has been the standout brand, accounting for the bulk of net adds share over the period.

“Whether it’s YoY or more short-term WoW, the numbers are suggesting a recovery. There’s some momentum building to be sure,” observes Mengmeng Zhang, senior analyst for China. “This is auspicious as we head into reporting season for the 11.11 sales period.”

China Weekly* Smartphone Sales, October

Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Research Smartphone 360 Weekly Tracker, China.
*Based on first four weeks (Mon-Sun) in October.

With the launch of its new Kirin powered device, Huawei is making a resurgence.  “The clear standout in October has been Huawei with its turnaround on the back of its Mate 60 series devices.  Growth has been stellar with its new launch marketing and strong media coverage around its ‘Made in China’ chipset,” notes China analyst Archie Zhang. “Demand continues to be high double-digits and we’re also seeing a halo effect, with other models from the vendor performing well.”

China Smartphone Sales by Key Vendors, October*

Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Research Smartphone 360 Weekly Tracker, China.
*Based on October full-month preliminary figures.

Production issues are a recurring theme this year, with both Huawei and Apple coming under pressure to deliver on new devices.  The latter is experiencing some issues with specific color variants on the Pro Max, resulting in extended wait times and higher prices on some e-commerce platforms.

Huawei stock shortages are the result of much higher-than-expected demand and the resulting strain from its component supply chain and EMS providers.  “Huawei’s ability to scale up to this new normal will be a major determinant not just for their own growth, but for the broader market,” states Ivan Lam, senior analyst for manufacturing.  “How they managed the 11.11 period is Huawei’s first true test.  Indicators are showing overall sales to be up but how much Huawei contributed to that outperformance is the tell for the rest of the quarter.” 

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Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Counterpoint Quarterly: IoT Q3 2023

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IoT EDITION

PDF | 31 pages
Published date: November 6th 2023

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Counterpoint Quarterly: Semiconductors Q3 2023

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SEMICONDUCTORS EDITION

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Published date: October 27th 2023

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Q3 2023 China Smartphone Sales Fall 3% Signaling Recovery Getting Closer

  • In Q3 2023, smartphone sales in China declined 3% YoY in a sign the market could be closer to bottoming out.
  • Huawei was the big winner, growing 37% YoY on the back of the newly launched Mate 60 series, which is powered by its SoC Kirin 9000S.
  • Major OEMs’ performance varied significantly YoY, which resulted in market ranking changes. HONOR took the top spot as vivo and OPPO lost significant ground.
  • Apple lost share in Q3 2023 as some demand was fulfilled in Q1 and Q2 and because the iPhone 15’s launch sales volume was lower than that of the iPhone 14 series.

Beijing, New Delhi, Hong Kong, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Seoul – October 26, 2023

In a sign China’s smartphone market may be closer to bottoming out, its sales fell 3% YoY in Q3 2023, narrowing the YoY decline sequentially, according to Counterpoint’s Market Pulse Service. Major OEMs’ performance varied significantly compared to the same period last year, which resulted in market ranking changes. HONOR took the top spot even as vivo and OPPO lost significant ground.

China Smartphone Market Sales Share, Q3 2022 vs Q3 2023

Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Market Pulse Service

Notes: OPPO includes OnePlus; Xiaomi includes Redmi; vivo includes iQOO; Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

During Q3 2023, the performance of most leading OEMs except Huawei was lackluster. On the back of the Kirin SoC’s return, Huawei launched the Mate 60 Pro suddenly at the end of August. It has made a huge splash in the market, contributing big to Huawei’s smartphone sales growth of 37% YoY in Q3 2023. Commenting on Huawei’s performance, Senior Analyst Ivan Lam said, “Although the Mate 60’s sales are under the Pioneer Program and mostly carried out through the brand’s offline and online channels, the product has quickly garnered massive attention. Huawei is striving to ramp up production to catch up with the demand.”

HONOR led the market with an 18.3% share largely driven by the newly launched HONOR X50 and HONOR 90. Xiaomi increased YoY on the back of strong sales of the Redmi K and Note series driven by competitive promotional prices. On the slight increase in these two brands’ market share, Research Analyst Alicia Gong said, “Both HONOR and Xiaomi are focusing on offering more affordable mid-range products with promotional prices to both retailers and consumers to offset any potential downward pressure. This strategy has proven to be effective.”

OPPO, vivo and Apple all experienced double-digit decreases in sales. Lam said, “iPhone sales declined as some demand for older models was fulfilled in Q1 and Q2 2023 due to earlier-than-expected price cuts by channels, which were not offset by the official price adjustment. This was compounded by initial supply constraints faced by the iPhone 15 series, which resulted in lower sales compared to the iPhone 14 series for the launch period. However, traditional offline dominators OPPO and vivo were impacted by weaker spending in Tier 2 and lower cities, as well as being slightly less aggressive in promotions than HONOR and Xiaomi.”

During the quarter, sales of foldable smartphone models continued to grow. The OPPO Find N2 Flip remained the top-selling clamshell-type foldable, while the HONOR Magic V2 ranked first among book-type models. As we enter Q4, all OEMs are gearing up to improve overall performance and end the year with strong sales.

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Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Counterpoint Quarterly: Smartphone Q3 2023

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Quarterly

SMARTPHONE EDITION

PDF | 114 pages
Published date: October 19th 2023

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Counterpoint Quarterly Q3 2023

IoT

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Counterpoint Quarterly Q3 2023

Semiconductors

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Counterpoint Quarterly

Smartphone Edition

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