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Pent-Up Smartphone Demand after April, May Lockdown Pushes the June 2020 Volumes to Pre-COVID Levels & the Smartphone User Base in India Beyond the Half a Billion Mark

  • The smartphone market declined 51% YoY in Q2 2020 as April was a washout.
  • Xiaomi led the Indian Smartphone Market with a 29% shipment share.
  • Samsung recovered the fastest, capturing the second spot in the smartphone market with 26%. reaching its highest share in the past two years.
  • Online channel share reached the highest ever, contributing almost 45% of sales.
  • During the quarter the unique smartphone userbase surpassed 500 million.

 New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires –

Jul 24th, 2020

India’s smartphone shipments declined by 51% YoY to just over 18 million units in Q2 2020, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. The nationwide lockdown imposed by the Indian government to combat COVID-19 resulted in zero shipments during April. However, the market is starting to return to normal. In June 2020, Indian smartphone shipments registered a mild decline of 0.3% YoY, thanks to the pent-up demand as well as a push from brands. Due to concerns over potential COVID-19 infection, consumers prefer contactless purchasing and online channels. Smartphone brands are also recognizing this trend by pushing more inventory to online channels.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Prachir Singh, Senior Research Analyst at Counterpoint Research said, “The COVID-19 pandemic wiped-out almost 40 days of production as well as the sales of smartphones due to the nation-wide lockdown. During May, the government allowed shops to open and online channel deliveries for non-essential items. As a result, the market witnessed a surge in sales as the lockdown restrictions were slowly lifted. The quarter was thus marred by both demand and supply constraints which led OEMs to rethink their go-to-market strategies. On the supply side, the factories were shut down in April and started operating in May, which resulted in supply shortages for some manufacturers. Some brands maintained the supply of their products by importing fully assembled handsets. Additionally, the last week of the quarter saw components being held up at customs, which also impacted the supply chain.”

Exhibit 1: India Smartphone Market Share Q2 2020

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor Q2 2020

Note: Xiaomi’s share includes Poco

Commenting on how the pandemic has been shaping the competitive landscape, Shilpi Jain, Research Analyst at Counterpoint Research, noted, “The contribution of Chinese brands fell to 72% in Q2 2020 from 81% in Q1 2020. This was mainly due to the mixture of stuttering supply for some major Chinese brands such as OPPO, vivo and realme, and growing anti-China sentiment that was compounded by stringent actions taken by the government to ban more than 50 apps of Chinese origin and delay the import of goods from China amid extra scrutiny. This all resulted from the India-China border dispute during June.”

“However, local manufacturing, R&D operations, attractive value-for-money offerings and strong channel entrenchment by Chinese brands leaves very few options for consumers to choose from. Additionally, in the era of globalization, it is difficult to label a product based on country of origin as components are being sourced from many different countries. This development has given a window of opportunity for brands like Samsung and local Indian brands such as Micromax and Lava, to recapture market share. Further, Jio-Google’s partnership to bring a highly affordable 4G Android smartphones could also gain ground, banking on the growing #VocalforLocal sentiment.”

India is home to more than 350 million feature phone users and the feature phone market was the worst affected segment as it declined by a massive 68% YoY in Q2 2020 as consumers in this highly cost-sensitive segment tried to save money by reducing discretionary purchases. In the near-to-mid term, this could actually boost the used and refurbished mobile phone market.

Exhibit 2: India Feature Phone Market Share Q2 2020

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor Q2 2020

Market Summary:

  • Despite supply constraints and rising negative consumer sentiment towards China, Xiaomi continued to lead the Indian smartphone market in Q2 2020. Models like the Redmi 8A dual, Redmi Note 8 Pro, and Redmi Note 8 continue to attract consumers’ interest due to competitive pricing, strong value propositions, and good channel reach. During the quarter, the brand entered the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45000 ~ $597) with its flagship Mi10 5G device and continued to expand its IoT ecosystem portfolio with the launch of a smart vacuum cleaner and hearables. Good planning, customer focus, and timely actions to respond to the COVID-19 situation are some of the strategies that worked in its favor.
  • Samsung recovered fastest as it reached 94% of pre-COVID levels becoming the second largest brand in Q2 2020. The brand closely followed Xiaomi, increasing its share to 26% in Q2 2020 from 16% during the last quarter. Revamping the M-series and launching it in offline channels together with new schemes like Samsung Care+ helped the brand to further to restore its position in the Indian market. Samsung also has a diversified supply chain compared to its competitors, which helped it to maintain a steady flow of components. It was the first brand to reach almost full manufacturing capacity by the end of June.
  • vivo was also able to manage post lockdown demand well as it exited the quarter with 60% pre-COVID Additionally, it also managed to ramp up its production output post lockdown. The launch of its flagship V19 and adding more smartphones like Y50, Y30 to its Y-series portfolio helped the brand to recover fast in June.
  • realme maintained the fourth spot though its share declined to 11% as it faced manufacturing constraints due to the shut down of the factory for almost all of May. However, its newly launched Narzo series performed well in the budget segment and it will look forward to further capitalize on momentum in this segment.
  • Although OPPO also struggled during the quarter due to supply constraints, it managed to gain mind share by entering the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45000 ~ $600) with the launch of its 5G flagship, Find X2 series and attractive hearables It also revamped its affordable A-series to broaden consumers appeal.
  • OnePlus regained its top position in the premium market (>INR 30000 ~$398 ) with its newly launches OnePlus 8 series, which also comes with 5G.
  • Apple remains the leading brand in the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45000 ~ $600) driven by iPhone 11 shipments, though it lost some share to OnePlus in Q2.
  • During the quarter, OEMs like Xiaomi, vivo, Samsung, OPPO initiated the O2O channel strategy to cater to pent-up demand and support offline channel partners.
  • Online channel share reached the highest ever level, accounting for almost 45% of sales, a second-quarter record. Consumers preferred contactless purchases and social distancing.
  • Itel remains the market leader in the feature phone market reaching its highest ever share of 24% in the quarter.
  • Huge opportunities lie ahead for India to become a manufacturing and export hub for handsets owing to the Indian government’s push. After the launch of the INR 41000 PLI scheme in April, OEMs are planning to set up production bases in India. For example, Lava, a homegrown brand is also planning to shift its handset production from China to India to leverage the PLI scheme. Apple is also planning to shift 20% smartphone production from China to India.

The comprehensive and in-depth Q2 2020 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients. Please feel free to contact us at press(at)counterpointresearch.com for further questions regarding our in-depth latest research, insights, or press inquiries.

The Market Monitor research is based on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendor’s IR results, vendor polling, triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks, and secondary research.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market share Globally and from the USAChina , and India.

Analyst Contacts:

Prachir Singh

Shilpi Jain

Tarun Pathak

Karn Chauhan

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India LTE Smartphone Shipments Grew 2400% Annually Climbing To 10 Million Units in Q3 2015

According to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service, the smartphone shipments in India grew a healthy 20% annually and 12% sequentially in Q3 2015 (July-Sept). More than one in three mobile phones shipped in India is now a smartphone.

The Indian mobile phone market demand is back on track after declining for two consecutive quarters fueled by cheaper smartphones as more and more feature phone users quickly upgrade to smartphones for the first time.

Market Summary for Q3 2015:

  • Smartphones: More than One in Three mobile phones shipped were smartphones
  • Online Sales: One in Three smartphones sold were through online channels such as Flipkart, Amazon, Snapdeal and so forth
  • 4G LTE Smartphone: One in Three smartphones shipped were LTE smartphone
  • Make in India: One in Four mobile phones sold during the quarter was “Made in India

Samsung

  • Samsung continued to lead the overall mobile phone market and the smartphone segment during the quarter with market shares of 19.0% and 23.2% respectively
  • Samsung benefitted from expanding its critical mid-tier portfolio with launch of J series during the quarter which drove smartphone volumes for the vendor
  • However, the Korean vendor lost share sequentially with minor presence in sub $100 smartphone segment which is fastest-growing and dominated by Indian and Chinese brands
  • Samsung’s A series brought in a welcome design change for Samsung with thinner and flatter designs in the mid- to high tier becoming the ‘halo devices’ taking focus away from S6 series. This design language is also trickling down to the new J series helping to strengthen its position in this segment. Additionally, strong offline distribution has also helped Samsung drive J series shipments during the quarter
  • Though Samsung led the LTE smartphone segment as most of the mid-to high-tier Galaxy models are LTE ready.

Micromax

  • Micromax maintained the second position in both overall mobile phone market and the smartphone segment with a market share of 13.7% and 17.7% respectively.
  • The brand’s share from online channel increased during the quarter. However, it is now facing pressure competition in $50-$100 price segment from Intex, Lava and others.
  • Micromax’s Cyanogen based online only brand ‘Yu’ launched its cheapest LTE model ‘Yunique’ during the quarter and the brand has been growing steadily ever since its launch.
  • Micromax Yu brand alone is now selling more smartphones than Xiaomi online, depicting it’s going to be challenging even for popular brands such as Xiaomi to scale in Indian market

Intex

  • Continuing its momentum from Q2 2015, Intex cemented its position in top three brands in India third spot in both overall and smartphone segment.
  • Intex’s smartphone market share jumped to double digit level for the first time ever capturing close to 12% of the smartphone market during the quarter.
  • Demand for Intex products in the fastest growing sub-$100 smartphone price band remains strong which is the key reason for its growth. However, the vendor needs to improve its position in “affordable premium” segment.
  • Intex also expanded its LTE portfolio during the quarter and remained aggressive in terms of promotional activities with “key feature” focused SKUs such as bigger batteries, bigger memory and so forth.

Others:

  • Lava (excluding Xolo) surpassed Microsoft for the first time and thereby capturing fourth spot in the overall handset market.
  • Lava managed to increase its smartphone market share to 7% level with healthy demand for Lava IRIS series, especially the ATOM 2 and X1 selfie smartphone were among the bestselling models
  • Lenovo including Motorola raced to fourth position in smartphone segment, primarily due to strong sales of its K3 Note
  • Lenovo’s K3 Note was the best-selling smartphone in India during Q3 2015 hitting the sweet spot in terms of specs vs price among all vendors.
  • Lenovo (incl Motorola) crossed 2 million units in India for the first time ever continuing its momentum in India offsetting weakness in its home market China
  • However, Lenovo will need to realign its offline vs online strategy going forward to position the two brands separately and overlapping of SKUs across brands affects the operational performance which has been weakened since Motorola’s acquisition.
  • Xiaomi underwent its first sequential decline in India since its debut. The upstart Chinese vendor smartphone shipments declined by almost 46% due to fierce competition from Lenovo and Micromax’s Yu brands especially in the higher volume sub-$100 segment.
  • Meanwhile, Apple’s finished its Fiscal year in India with record 1.7 Million units in India for the first time ever due to strong sales of its new iPhone 6 series
  • However, Apple’s volume market share remains around 1% level but in terms of revenue share it is the third largest brand with almost 9% share which depicts the prowess of Apple’s brand equity and premiumness
  • Microsoft also found its place among top five overall mobile phone brands during the quarter but Lumia shipments declined sequentially.
  • Meanwhile, the other brands which grew significantly during the quarter were Panasonic, Vivo and Oppo

 IndiaQ32015

The comprehensive and in-depth Q3 2015 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients. Please feel free to contact us at analyst@counterpointresearch.com for further questions regarding our in-depth latest research, insights or press enquiries.

The Market Monitor research is based on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendor’s IR results, vendor polling triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

22% Of The Total Smartphones Were “Exclusively” Sold Through E-Commerce Channels In India In Q2 2015

According to the latest research from Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor service, for  Q2 2015 (Apr-June), the overall India mobile phone market registered a Y/Y decline of 2% and Q/Q increase of 4%. However, the smartphone segment registered  Y/Y increase of 34% and Q/Q increase of 25%. Feature phone segment saw a sharp decline with shipment volumes down 19% Y/Y and 9% Q/Q. After declining for two consecutive quarters both the overall handset market and smartphone market regained sequential growth.

Flipkart Captured 56% of those Smartphones ‘Exclusively’ Sold through E-Commerce Channels in India in Q2 2015 

Market Summary for Q2 2015:

  • Smartphones contributed close to 45% of the overall shipments in 2Q 2015
  • Samsung led the overall mobile phone market and the smartphone segment during the quarter with market shares of 18.7% and 24.5% respectively
  • Samsung remained aggressive in terms of promotion during the quarter with its Flagship models S6 and S6 edge launch. As a result, Samsung’s S6 series shipments sell-in remained healthy and out-shipped iPhone 6 series by 2:1
  • Surprisingly, Samsung’s Tizen based Z1 was Samsung’s best-selling smartphone in India during the quarter, thanks to its cheaper price point, higher sales incentives and wider distribution
  • Apart from this the Korean giant also looked to embrace e-commerce more seriously as it launched specific SKU’s and its own online brand store exclusively on leading e-commerce platform
  • Micromax maintained the second position in both overall mobile phone market and the smartphone segment and regained market share during the quarter mostly due to increase in sales from Online sales channel and Bolt series.Micromax’s new brand Yu launched its second model Yuphoria during the quarter and started off well
  • The vendor has also scaled up its domestic manufacturing operations in its local facility in Rudrapur, India with a production output of now 2 Million units per quarter
  • Continuing its momentum from Q1 2015, Intex has captured third spot in both overall and smartphone segment for the first time ever, capturing slightly under 10% of the smartphone market during the quarter. Demand for Intex products in the sub-$100 smartphone price band still remains strong
  • Lava excluding its sub-brand Xolo captured fifth spot in both overall and smartphone segment with a market share of 5.3% in the smartphone segment. The Lava IRIS series, especially the X1ATOM and X8 smartphone were among the bestselling models
  • Lenovo including Motorola raced to fourth position, primarily due to strong sales of its A6000 plus and A7000 models which helped the Chinese player to cross 1 Million unit mark on its own for the first time ever
  • Lenovo was also the second largest LTE smartphone vendor during the quarter.
  • Xiaomi smartphone shipments increased sequentially during the quarter the vendor and became the third largest 4G smartphone vendor during the quarter, thanks to brisk sales of Redmi 2 4G and Mi Note 4G.The Chinese brand also debuted new flagship Mi4i with its first India specific launch
  • Meanwhile, Apple’s iPhone shipments remained strong during the quarter as vendor expanded its distribution reach through both online and offline channel by adding more partners. The Cupertino-based vendor also crossed 1 million unit shipments in the seven months of its fiscal year since Oct 2014. An achievement that it took almost twelve months to manage in its last financial year
  • Microsoft also found its place among top five overall mobile phone brands during the quarter but Lumia shipments declined sequentially
  • Meanwhile, the other brands which grew significantly during the quarter were Infocus, Vivo, Huawei-Honor, Panasonic and Sony

 Other important trends worth noting during the quarter were:

  • Online Sales: Almost 30% of the total smartphones sold during the quarter were through the online channels and ‘exclusive’ online only smartphone sales contributed to more than 20% of the total smartphone sales
  • 4G LTE Smartphone: One in Four smartphones sold during the quarter was LTE capable
  • Make in India: One in Five phones shipped during the quarter were “Made in India

Exhibit 1: India Mobile Phone and Smartphone Shipments

Slide1-2

The comprehensive and in-depth Q2 2015 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients. Please feel free to contact us at analyst@counterpointresearch.com for further questions regarding our in-depth latest research, insights or press enquiries.

The Market Monitor research is based on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendor’s IR results, vendor polling triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

Market Monitor Q2 2014 : Micromax Becomes The Leading Mobile Phone Brand In India

According to our latest research from Market Monitor program, there were significant changes in the competitive landscape in the second largest mobile phone market on planet.

Some key findings below:

  • Indian mobile phone market grew a modest  2% annually but the smartphone segment grew a handsome 68% annually as demand for feature phones fell 16% annually in Q2 2014
  • Majority of growth in smartphone segment during the quarter was driven by long tail of local and other Asian brands operating in this huge market
  • Indian brands together captured more than two-thirds of the total mobile phone shipments and more than half of the smartphone shipments
  • Micromax became the leading mobile phone supplier brand in India in Q2 2014 for the first time ever surpassing Samsung capturing 17% market share up from 13% in Q1 2014
  • Micromax was also the  second largest smartphone vendor closing in on Samsung, capturing 19% share in this fast growing segment
  • Micromax has widened the gap with the third largest smartphone player as the race for the third place is up for grabs with fierce competition between Karbonn, Motorola, Celkon, Nokia, Apple and Sony
  • Micromax also became the leading feature phone supplier overtaking Nokia for the first time
  • Globally, Micromax also jumped up the rankings becoming the tenth largest handset brand in terms of mobile phone shipment volumes
  • This is the vendor which mobile industry will have to keep an eye on as it expands beyond domestic markets
  • The surprise performance was  from Motorola thanks to its attractive but leaner portfolio of Moto X/G/E and go-to-market strategy. The brand which could soon be part of Lenovo has built a strong base in the high volume India smartphone market, entering the top five rankings surpassing Nokia, Apple, Sony and others
  • We will see intensified competition in the Indian smartphone space as Asian OEMs such as Xiaomi, Gionee, Huawei and Asus enter with premium-like hardware at an aggressive price-point attracting young tech-savvy but price-conscious urban buyers
  • However, these brands will have to work hard on their brand awareness, distribution and service network to continue the growth beyond the early spike in demand in this very important mobile phone market

Counterpoint Research Q2 2014 - India Handset Market Shares

The comprehensive and in-depth Q2 2014 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients. Please feel free to reach out to us at analyst@counterpointresearch.com for further questions regarding our in-depth latest research, insights or press enquiries.

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