Quectel and Fibocom maintained their market leadership while China Mobile overtook Telit Cinterion to become the third largest player.
The top three applications accounted for around 51% of shipments in Q2 2023 compared to 41% in Q2 2022.
For the full year 2023, global cellular IoT module shipments are expected to remain almost flat compared to 2022.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Taipei, Seoul – October 16, 2023
Global cellular IoT module shipments saw a 3% YoY decline in Q2 2023, according to Counterpoint’s latest Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application report. The decline was driven by factors such as lower demand and weaker economic sentiments. Barring the top three applications – smart meters, point of sale (POS) devices and automotive, most segments experienced a sharp drop in shipments. The top three applications – smart meters, POS devices and automotive – accounted for about 51% of the market in Q2 2023. India was the only market to register positive shipment growth for the quarter.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “In Q2 2023, many of the module players experienced shipment declines as the market shrunk for the first time since the start of COVID-19. The pandemic-induced demand for connected devices is wearing off while the digital transformation efforts in industrial and other key verticals are yet to translate into shipments. Quectel’s revenue from international markets surpassed its revenue from China. Chinese module vendors are increasingly coming under US scanner for security concerns. This scrutiny could potentially challenge their global expansion plans, paving the way for other vendors to seize more opportunities.”
Quectel, the leading module vendor, experienced a decline in its market share due to weakened demand.
China Mobile, with strong performance in smart meter, POS and asset tracker applications, overtook Telit Cinterion to become the third largest player in the global cellular IoT module market.
Telit Cinterion faced challenges due to the market downturn. With India expected to be the fastest-growing market by 2030, Telit recently partnered with VVDN to produce IoT modules in the country and increase its presence there.
Commenting on the future outlook, SeniorResearch Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “IoT module shipments for the full year of 2023 are expected to remain flat compared to 2022. The IoT module market’s performance in H2 2023 will be better than in H1 2023 as the market is showing early signs of recovery. However, the lower demand is influencing the market’s long-term growth trajectory, with the current demand shifting by 2-3 years.”
Mandal added, “The adoption of 5G technology has been slower than expected, primarily due to its higher costs, coverage issues and maturity of the 5G device ecosystem. The forthcoming 5G RedCap has the potential to become the industry’s game changer by offering a more affordable solution. Early adoption of 5G RedCap is expected in POS and router/CPE applications.”
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and individuals:
Counterpoint tracks 1,500+ IoT module SKUs on a quarterly basis and provides forecasts on shipments, revenues and ASP performances for 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players and 18+ IoT applications across 10 major geographies.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Our analysts Ethan Qi,Jene Park,Soumen Mandal, Ivan Lam, Shenghao Bai, Archie Zhang, Shaochen Wang and Alicia Gong are currently attending the MWC Shanghai 2023 event (June 28-June 30). In the following posts, you will experience the full force of our presence at MWC Shanghai as we provide unique insights from our analysts, unveiling the industry-shaping impact of this remarkable gathering.
Day 1 Highlights:
Consumer Electronics:
Meizu showcases capabilities in ‘device-vehicle integration’
During MWC Shanghai 2023, Meizu showcased a series of products and technologies, including the Flyme Auto intelligent system-enabled EV models, Meizu 20 flagship smartphone series, Titan glass and the EcarX Antares 1000 Pro computing platform. The Meizu 20 series, released in March 2023, sports the Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 SoC, 6.5-inch OLED display, 144Hz refresh rate and UFS4.0 and LPDDR5X memory combination. The Meizu 20 INFINITY Ultimate Edition features a dual-sided suspended Titan glass design, highlighting the emerging trend of flagship models in China competing to adopt more durable glass materials. Meizu also expects its Flyme Auto system to emerge as a guiding beacon for the deep integration of the smartphone and automotive ecosystems.
Huawei showcases Vision Glass
Huawei showcased its recently launched smart eyewear product Huawei Vision Glass alongside a range of smartphone models and consumer IoT products. Huawei Vision Glass, unveiled in December 2022, features a Micro OLED display that offers an immersive experience equivalent to a 120-inch virtual giant screen. It boasts 1080p full HD resolution and 480nit brightness and supports a wide color gamut of 90% DCI-P3. In addition, it comes equipped with ultra-thin smart speakers and offers adjustable diopters ranging from 0 to 500 degrees.
ZTE presents nubia Pad 3D, world’s first AI-based naked-eye 3D tablet computer
ZTE highlighted the nubia Pad 3D, which showcases the unique “3D light field” technology for superior naked-eye 3D display quality. It also incorporates AI eye-tracking to provide real-time matching of the most comfortable viewing field. Leveraging the AI neural network deep-learning algorithms, it enables instant conversion of 2D content into 3D. During MWC, ZTE announced collaborations with ecosystem partners such as China Mobile Migu, Jiangxi Kejun, China National Publications Import & Export (Group) Corporation and Datang Xishi to provide a wealth of naked-eye 3D scene applications in areas including film and television, live streaming, gaming, education, healthcare, cultural tourism, online conferences, exhibition display, advertising, and more.
Telecom Operators’ Moves
Establishment of China Mobile Metaverse Industry Alliance
China Mobile has collaborated with metaverse ecosystem partners to establish the China Mobile Metaverse Industry Alliance. It unveiled the first group of 24 alliance members at the MWC. The alliance comprises content provider Mango TV, providers of content and software development tools such as Unity, AI technologies leader Iflytek, as well as hardware companies like Huawei, NOLO, HTC VIVE and Xiaomi. They will prioritize cooperation in four key areas – metaverse content creation, XR terminals, key technologies and computational networks.
China Mobile’s 5G Use Case
China Mobile showcased a remarkable 5G use case for automated quality inspection, eliminating the need for wired connections.
China Unicom’s 5G solutions
China Unicom unveiled a groundbreaking 5G-connected solution for traffic lights and cameras.
China Telecom reveals development strategy for 6G
During his keynote speech at MWC, China Telecom chairman revealed that the company was actively pursuing innovative advancements in the architecture of the simplified 6G network. The research primarily focuses on key core technologies, including near-field cellular integration (P-RAN) and air-space integration. China Telecom will maintain a close collaboration with standardization organizations and industry partners to drive the establishment of globally unified 6G international standards.
Innovations from network, software and component providers
Huawei drives 5G ToB advancement with ‘5G Inside’ technology
Huawei not only perseveres in the development of 5G devices but also drives the advancement of 5G ToB. With 5G Inside, Huawei is collaborating with enterprise customers to deliver customized 5G devices that cater to diverse scenarios and applications.
Huawei’s ‘cloud phone’ solution
Huawei offers a cloud phone solution where users can access separate or multiple virtual phones through a dedicated app. This innovative B2B solution is ideal for companies seeking to secure their digital assets and provide virtual phone solutions for their sales staff. Government entities also show interest in this virtual phone solution, while cloud mobile gaming presents another exciting use case.
Huawei’s 5GC Intelligent Traffic Express Solution
Huawei’s 5Gc Intelligent Traffic Express Solution enables the detection and monitoring of user live-streaming activities. In cases where user experience worsens, extra resources are allocated to VVIP users, providing operators with the opportunity to monetize on individuals requiring fast and prioritized connections, such as live-streaming bloggers.
H3C’s Wi-Fi7 Announcements
H3C showcased a compelling use case of Wi-Fi7 enabling remote schooling. The enterprise gateway has the capability to support hundreds of terminals, including tablets and PCs, simultaneously.
China Broadnet’s Naked-eye Display
China Broadnet presents a rejuvenated concept of naked-eye displays.
STMicroelectronics Announcements
STMicroelectronics’ integrated wearable sensing unit, with accelerometers and gyroscopes integrated, can efficiently process signals and directly translate movements into actionable data for smart wearable devices.
AMD’s RFFE Solutions
AMD has introduced an advanced RF front-end solution designed specifically for small cell systems.
AAC Expands its Optical R&D Strength
AAC is significantly enhancing its optical R&D capabilities, particularly in the field of waveguide technologies.
Tongxin Microelectronics Announcements
Tongxin Micro’s NFC chips find wide applications in wearables and smartphones, having already been integrated into various commercial models. Besides, the company serves as a provider of eSIM chips. A solution combining both technologies is currently in the works.
ams OSRAM Mira050 with Wafer Level Optics (WLO) Demo Kit
Smallest lens solution with leading-edge NIR-imaging performance – images are sharp from center to edge of image circle. ams OSRAM designed and produced WLO lens mounted on Mira050 EVK sensor board, actively aligned to optimize image quality. Configurable NIR-designs for wavelengths bands around 850nm or 940nm
Kigen and TMC collaborate to drive eSIM innovation
Kigen and Tongxin Microelectronics Co (TMC) have delivered the first-ever simple, global, secure, commercial and GSMA-certified consumer eSIM solution to empower OEM innovation to meet 5G FWA demand for affordable CPE devices. Lead customers are already developing commercial products based on this offering. The companies are now extending it to general availability.
“Global 5G FWA CPE cumulative revenues are expected to reach over $100 billion during 2020-2030. Bringing down the total cost of 5G FWA CPE is integral to 5G broadband adoption, scale and return on investment for all stakeholders in this price-sensitive segment.” Neil Shah, VP of Research, Counterpoint Research
During the launch event, HONOR CEO George Zhao shared thoughts on innovation in future smartphone products:
Inclusion of AI: George thinks that having AI on the device is vital because it would allow users to have multiple-modal interactions and offers better privacy protection in the future digitalized life.
Screen size matters but so does the smartphone weight: Future smartphones should be easier to carry around as they need to be.
Display technology with eye-care features would become popular: In China, more than 30% of smartphone users use their devices for more than five years. Eye-care display technology addresses the consumer’s concerns.
Longer battery life: Customers want devices with longer battery life since they are using them more and more every day.
At the end of his address, Zhao announced that HONOR’s third foldable phone Magic V2 would be launched on July 12 and the product may bring improvements in the abovementioned areas.
Meizu’s announcements
Meizu’s CEO Shen Ziyu made a keynote speech today, describing his vision of interconnection between the automotive and smartphone segments. Meizu is now owned by Chinese auto giant Geely. Ziyu said the synergy between the two segments would be brought by the sharing of computing power, data and hardware. Automobile operating systems should also become accessible to the huge application ecosystem of smartphones. The company is also working on an infotainment system called Flyme Auto, which will offer the same smooth user experience as seen in the Flyme OS for smartphones. Flyme Auto will be installed on the upcoming Lynkco 08 and Volvo Polestar for the global market.
Day 3 Highlights
Lenovo updates
Lenovo showcased its consumer electronics products such as laptops, tablets and smartphones, including its recently launched foldable Motorola Razr 40 Ultra.
Lenovo also had some ToB solutions at its booths, such as AI server, edge computing products, park patrol robot, smart transportation systems and logistics.
Lenovo also supports many of the firms in its ecosystem which have stepped into XR optical solutions, live-streaming supporting platforms, network equipment and smart logistic management system.
For its smart city business, Lenovo showcased its solutions like smart transportation solutions and city emergency management platform.
China Broadnet showcases new 5G calling features
Making calls interesting: Users can make calls more fun by using all kinds of emojis with gestures or voice commands.
Cartoon video call: Users can create their own digital images that can be displayed when making calls without turning on the camera.
Real-time translation: Multilingual real-time translation into text.
Smart customer service: Available online 24 hours to answer questions.
AI/GPT intelligent call: Using AI/GPT to answer questions.
Keynote: Next frontier for AI
In healthcare, AI can help the doctor detect lesions at an early stage.
AI can help cars enable intelligent electrification, networking and information sharing.
Note: Please note that the posts above are still under development and are meant for providing general information only. They should not be considered professional advice. The authors and this website are not liable for any errors or damages resulting from the use of this information.
Quectel and Qualcomm dominated the cellular IoT module and chipset markets, respectively.
NB-IoT is still popular among technologies but is expected to lose some market share to 4G CAT1.bis in 2023.
5G adoption to get a boost in 2024 if ASP declines to sub-$100 and 5G RedCap-based solutions become available.
China continues to lead IoT module market, followed by North America and Western Europe.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – March 29, 2023
Global cellular IoT module shipments grew 14% YoY in 2022 to register record high annual volume, despite macroeconomic headwinds, according to Counterpoint’s latest Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application report. The resumption of smart meter implementation, ongoing retail POS upgrades, intelligent asset tracking and the continued growth in connected cars due to progress in electrification and autonomous capabilities were some of the key drivers for the double-digit percentage growth in demand for IoT modules.
China continued to lead the global cellular IoT module market in terms of demand, followed by North America and Western Europe. Meanwhile, India was the fastest growing market, followed by Latin America and North America. Although India has a smaller base, it has immense potential. Eastern Europe was the only region that registered a decline due to the prolonged Ukraine-Russia war.
Commenting on the competitive dynamics among cellular IoT module OEMs, Senior Research AnalystSoumen Mandal said, “In 2022, Quectel was the top cellular IoT module player in China, the world’s largest market for these components. Meanwhile, China Mobile and Fibocom captured second and third place, respectively, enjoying their tremendous scale in the domestic market. Outside of China, Quectel remained the leader followed by Telit and Thales which have merged and will commence operations as a new brand, Telit Cinterion, starting Q1 2023.
Quectel increased its focus in the consolidating automotive (NAD module) segment in 2022 and secured multiple design wins with major automakers. The competition in the NAD module market is intensifying as the industry transitions to 5G connectivity. With every transition of cellular technology, we have seen the market consolidate as it becomes increasingly challenging to serve the automotive segment, which requires heavy customization but garners a lower margin.
China Mobile, the world’s largest CSP and IoT connectivity player, is becoming more vertically integrated by leveraging its massive scale to capture maximum value. It has the potential to break into the top three global cellular IoT module rankings this year. However, the company primarily operates in China and will need to expand into other verticals and markets via a robust partnership model to maintain its momentum.”
Commenting on the IoT cellular connectivity chipset player dynamics, Associate Director Ethan Qi said, “Qualcomm continued to dominate the cellular IoT chipset market in 2022 with nearly 40% shipments share. Qualcomm strengthened its position in the LTE CAT 4 and higher technologies while also maintaining a dominant position in the 5G market. Qualcomm recently launched its latest 4G CAT1.bis chipset, QCX216, to compete head-on with the LTE CAT1.bis leaders UNISOC and Eigencomm.
Qi added, “In 2022, UNISOC and ASR maintained their second and third positions due to strong adoption of the fast-growing LTE CAT1.bis and CAT 1 based modules, respectively. During the year, two new players from China, Eigencomm and Xinyi Semiconductor, broke into the top five cellular IoT chipset vendor rankings, filling the gap left by Hisilicon. Eigencomm focuses on NB-IoT and 4G CAT1.bis applications while Xinyi Semiconductor focuses on NB-IoT chipsets, both being low-cost but high-volume segments.”
Commenting on the technology landscape, Mandal added, “During 2022, NB-IoT remained the most popular LPWA IoT connectivity technology followed by the fast-growing 4G CAT 1 and 4G CAT 4 modules. Together, these contributed to 60% of the total IoT module market. For most of 2022, China was under lockdown due to the resurgence of COVID-19 which drove greater demand for products such as smart door locks, digital thermometers and wearables, mostly powered by NB-IoT.
NB-IoT saw strong adoption in China but has been less popular outside the country. In contrast, 4G CAT.1bis has been gaining traction globally and has the potential to be an alternative to several NB-IoT and existing 2G/3G applications such as smart meters. However, 5G saw slower adoption in IoT than in smartphones last year due to the higher module costs. The key initial 5G applications are PCs, CPEs and some industrial/enterprise applications.
We believe 5G will enter the mainstream market once the module ASP breaks the sub-$100 barrier and receives a further boost from the 5G RedCap commercialization in coming years.”
Commenting on the IoT market outlook for 2023, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “Global cellular IoT module shipments (including NAD modules) are expected to register robust growth of 19% YoY in 2023. The growth of IoT module shipments in the high-value industrial segment will be key for the IoT projects that have struggled to move beyond the pilot stage and for companies that are focusing more on ROI in a tough macroeconomic environment. Nevertheless, shipments of IoT modules for the smart meter, point of sale (POS) and the automotive markets are expected to continue seeing strong growth, which will offset a slowdown in other segments.”
The market has been undergoing consolidation across the IoT value chain from module players and connectivity management to IoT platform players. This has highlighted the importance of scale, choosing the right vertical and capturing value by striking the right partnerships or developing the right capabilities. We could see some more exits and mergers in 2023 because IoT, which is very vertical driven, has been seeing volatile growth due to internal or external factors.”
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and individuals:
Counterpoint tracks 1,500+ IoT module SKUs on a quarterly basis and provides forecasts on shipments, revenues and ASP performances for 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players and 18+ IoT applications across 10 major geographies.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
China led the global cellular IoT module market in Q3 2022 despite losing volume share. China was followed by North America and Western Europe.
Smart meter, POS, automotive, industrial and router/CPE were the top five applications in terms of volume this quarter.
Automotive, router/CPE, PC, industrial and POS were the top five applications in terms of value this quarter.
The top three technologies in terms of volume were NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 4. They captured more than 60% of the total volume in Q3 2022.
The top three technologies in terms of value were 5G, 4G Cat 4 and 4G Other. They captured nearly two-thirds of the total value in Q3 2022.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – December 27, 2022
Global cellular IoT module shipments grew by only 2% YoY in Q3 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application. China led the market followed by North America and Europe. China’s shipments decreased 8% YoY in this quarter due to a resurgence of COVID-19 cases. However, some of this demand decline was offset by an increase in the residential, smart door lock, patient monitoring, registrar device, smoke detector, drone, smart meter and automotive applications. Other markets such as North America, Western Europe, India, Japan, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa witnessed healthy growth.
Commenting on the competitive landscape, Associate DirectorEthan Qi said, “Quectel is leading the cellular IoT module market, followed by Fibocom, Sunsea AIoT, China Mobile and MeiG. China is dominating this market with all the top five IoT module vendors being from the country. In the past few months, we have seen some consolidation among international players, like Telit taking over Thales’ IoT business and Semtech acquiring Sierra Wireless in the IoT module space to remain resilient against Chinese module vendors. With the increasing adoption of IoT technologies in various sectors, many players will consolidate to get bigger value from this fragmented value chain.”
Commenting on the important underlying technology dynamics shaping the entire IoT ecosystem, SeniorResearch Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The IoT module market is undergoing changes as demand for low-end technologies like 2G and 3G declines and shifts towards 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis, where higher-end applications are upgrading from 4G to 5G. In this quarter, the top three technologies in terms of shipments – NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 4 – accounted for over 60% of the total shipments. However, in terms of revenue share, 5G, 4G Cat 4 and 4G Other were the top three technologies and held nearly two-thirds of the total revenue. The lower-end technologies such as NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis are helping connect a greater number of IoT devices, while higher-end technologies like 4G Cat 4, 4G Other and 5G are adding more value to the IoT ecosystem. This is why the automotive, router/CPE, PC and industrial segments, which rely mostly on higher-end technologies, are generating more revenue.
During this quarter, we saw some 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis-based applications being replaced with NB-IoT. Chinese NB-IoT chipset companies Eignecomm and Xinyi have improved their partnerships with module players, particularly in the domestic market. Besides, there were few options available for 4G Cat 1 bis chipsets in international markets, with Sequans being the exception. Last week, Qualcomm entered the 4G Cat 1 bis market by launching the QCX216 chipset in partnership with Quectel, Cavli Wireless and MoMAGIC. We believe that 4G Cat 1 bis technology will start to gain traction as leading IoT module and chipset players focus on it for use in massive IoT applications.”
Mandal further added, “Despite slower growth in IoT module shipments, IoT module revenue increased by 12% YoY in Q3 2022 due to a higher mix of 5G and 4G Cat 4 modules. The average selling price (ASP) of all types of 4G technologies and LTE-M continued to rise, while the ASP for 2G, 3G, 5G and NB-IoT technologies decreased. It is believed that 2023 will be a breakthrough year for 5G, and the ASP may decrease to below $100, which will help facilitate wider adoption.”
Commenting on the key application trends in the IoT space, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “The top 10 applications in the market captured more than 80% of shipments this quarter, with the top five being smart meters, POS, automotive, industrial and router/CPE. Smoke detectors saw the fastest growth, followed by residential applications and drones. China was a driving force in the growth of all three of these fast-growing segments, fuelled by a resurgence of COVID-19 cases in the country. Among the top five applications, industrial and router/CPE applications saw a decrease in shipments both on a sequential and yearly basis. However, the industrial segment still presents a large opportunity due to the number of companies embarking on digital transformation projects.”
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and individuals:
Counterpoint tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 1,500+ IoT module SKUs’ shipments, revenues and ASP performance across 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Top 10 ODM/EMS players captured two-thirds of IoT module outsourced manufacturing in H1 2022.
Cellular IoT module outsourced manufacturing to grow at a CAGR of 17% until 2026 from 2021.
New Delhi, Beijing, Hong Kong, San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, Seoul – October 25, 2022
Global cellular IoT module outsourced manufacturing accounted for 52.4% of total IoT module shipments in H1 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global IoT Module Manufacturing Tracker. In terms of global cellular IoT module manufacturing, original design manufacturers (ODM) saw the fastest growth in H1 2022 at 45% YoY, followed by electronics manufacturing services (EMS) at 30% and in-house manufacturing at 21%. After declining in Q1 2022, the global cellular IoT module market recovered in Q2 2022, despite macroeconomic headwinds and lockdowns in China, the largest IoT market.
Speaking on ODMs and EMSs, Senior Analyst Ivan Lam said, “In the past few years, leading Chinese OEMs have grown significantly in size. They have experience in managing supply chain partners and manufacturing allies. Leading OEMs have brought in multiple supplier policies to maintain their cost competitiveness, which gives them an advantage in terms of cost offering”.
Source: Counterpoint Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application, Q2 2022
The top 10 ODM/EMS players captured two-thirds of IoT module outsourced manufacturing in H1 2022. The leading ODM/EMS suppliers for IoT module manufacturing, such as BYD Electronics, TDG-Tech and Qisda, are mainly from Mainland China and Taiwan. At the same time, leading traditional EMS companies, such as Zollner, Jabil and USI, are also helping the top IoT module OEMs in their global expansion.
Lam added, “Manufacturing cost is still one of the key elements of an IoT module’s cost structure, apart from the cost of the components. Leading OEMs are growing rapidly in China and they are likely to predominantly hire manufacturing partners that have production sites within the country. However, we observed that OEMs also hired EMSs with global production sites, such as production facilities in Mexico or Brazil to cater to the North America and LATAM markets. We forecast the manufacturing capacity utilization in India, Southeast Asia and LATAM will continue to grow given the significant increase in IoT module applications in these markets.”
Commenting on the outlook for IoT module manufacturing, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “We are expecting outsourced manufacturing shipments to grow at a CAGR of 17% between 2021 and 2026. The soaring IoT module market, driven by innovation and digital transformation, especially in the enterprise segment, will play a pivotal role in IoT module manufacturing. IoT module players may focus on building platforms and services instead of manufacturing IoT modules as they present recurring revenue generation opportunities. This will also be an opportunity for ODM/EMS players to increase their footprint in the IoT module market. However, module players will try to increase control over the supply chain and look for vertical integration even for small components. This will help IoT module players reduce costs and remain competitive in the market. With higher demand in the market, top OEM players are also looking to expand their EMS supplier base to tap global markets.”
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
After declining in Q1 2022, the global cellular IoT module market recovered in Q2 2022 despite macroeconomic headwinds and lockdowns in China, the largest IoT market.
The quarter also saw a series of consolidations in the highly competitive IoT module space.
Asset-tracking reached the highest share ever at 7% to break into the top five applications.
Smart meter, POS and industrial were the top three applications in this quarter.
NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 were the most preferred technologies for cellular IoT applications.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – September 20, 2022
Global cellular IoT module shipments grew 20% YoY in Q2 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application. The global cellular IoT module market continued to recover despite a tighter supply chain, COVID-19 lockdowns in China and macroeconomic headwinds. The growth was driven by the ongoing digital transformation involving potential applications around critical infrastructure and logistics catered by some key fast-growing low-tier cellular technologies such as Cat-1 and NB-IoT. Further, module players modified their product offerings, striking partnerships across the value chain, from newer connectivity solution providers to acquiring some key competitors, as the IoT industry enters a very exciting growth phase.
China retained its position as the world’s largest IoT market, contributing to more than half of the demand despite the lockdowns. The country’s cellular IoT module market recovered slightly from previous months this year, driven by lockdown-triggered applications like smart locks, surveillance systems and routers. The North American and western European markets grew steadily and held their second and third positions respectively in the global cellular IoT module market. Again, India was the fastest growing IoT module market (+264% YoY), albeit growing on a lower base, driven by smart meter, telematics, POS and automotive applications.
Commenting on the market dynamics, SeniorResearch Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The IoT module market is going through a critical phase where the Chinese brands have become bigger, making it very difficult for international brands to grow in silos. As a result, we have seen the first wave of market consolidation with Telit acquiring Thales’ cellular IoT module business as well as acquiring IoT solutions design house Mobilogix. Also, during the quarter, Semtech, one of the big component vendors and the key chipset provider for the proprietary LoRa-based IoT network, acquired leading cellular IoT and router vendor Sierra Wireless to build an end-to-end wireless IoT portfolio. This kickstarts an exciting phase where the Western vendors are trying to become more ‘integrated’ to capture more value across the value chain, even though the IoT market is a blue-ocean opportunity.”
Mandal added, “With six out of the top 10 IoT module vendors being from China and with the rising geopolitical competition and data privacy concerns, international players see an opportunity to consolidate and carve out a dichotomy in this segment. Further, having a robust portfolio and post-sales support is the key. Telit, Thales, u-blox and Sierra Wireless improving their offerings over the last 12 months has been a step in the right direction. With consolidation, these vendors can garner scale and some competitive edge to at least compete well on pricing and value against the competition”
Note: Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding
Market summary
The top three players accounted for more than half of the market. Interestingly, Quectel’s shipment share was equal to that of the remaining players in the top 10 list.
Quectel: Quectel’s module shipments increased 47% YoY, further increasing its gap with the remaining players. During the quarter, Quectel launched 4G Cat 4 smart modules SC200E and SG150H, based on Qualcomm and UNISOC chipsets respectively. Furthermore, Quectel unveiled iSIM-supported LPWA module BG773A-GL with the help of Kigen, through which it will be able to target M2M applications such as POS, smart metering, asset tracking and wearable devices.
Fibocom: The second largest module vendor, Fibocom, saw 12% YoY growth in its module shipments. Nearly 60% of its module shipments came from the China market. Fibocom has already entered partnerships with Qualcomm, MediaTek, UNISOC, Sequans and Autotalks to increase its share in international markets. This can help Fibocom bridge some of its wide gap with Quectel in the international IoT module market.
MeiG: After a slow Q1 2022 due to China lockdowns, MeiG registered growth which helped it to enter the top three IoT module ranks globally. While focusing on higher-end IoT module applications, MeiG is expanding into the fast-growing 4G Cat 1 bis market, targeting applications such as POS, industrial, asset tracking, smart meter and enterprise. MeiG is also diversifying its supplier portfolio. It has partnered with fast-growing 4G chipset vendor ASR for the 4G Cat 4 module market, especially for the highly competitive China market and other low-cost international markets.
China Mobile: China Mobile maintained its fourth position in the global cellular IoT module market by catering to its huge existing and prospective customer base and extensive cellular network. The operator partnered with Xinyi Semiconductor for focusing on lower-end applications. This has helped both to target 2G-to-4G transitioning IoT applications. China Mobile’s growing 5G footprint and partnerships across the value chain will help the world’s largest operator to rapidly scale its end-to-end 5G IoT solutions in the coming quarters.
Sunsea: Sunsea (SIMCom + Longsung) has been consistently improving its performance over the last 10 quarters. Sunsea is following a strategy similar to that of other Chinese players to offer Qualcomm-based solutions for the international market and MediaTek/UNISOC/ASR/Xinyi-based solutions for the homegrown China market. Sunsea added ASR as a partner besides Qualcomm to cater to the increasing demand and offer affordable pricing in China.
Telit: Telit is the first non-China player in the global IoT module vendors’ rankings. Telit is focussing on LPWA-Dual Mode, 4G Cat 1 and LTE-M technologies to target applications such as industrial, healthcare, asset tracking, router/CPE and energy. The vendor has launched 4G Cat 1 bis industrial grade module LE910R1 with 2G fallback to target the APAC and EMEA markets. With the sunset of 2G and 3G technology, this module can be used as a substitute for low-to-mid-end applications. After the acquisition of Thales, Telit has the potential to emerge as the largest module vendor outside of China and eventually match Quectel in scale.
Among other players, Neoway performed well. It was the fastest growing in QoQ terms (+162%) among top vendors. Besides China, India is turning out to be an important market.
u-blox recorded a strong quarter by remodeling and redesigning its products and clearing backlogs. The demand was strong for u-blox in industrial, automotive and healthcare applications.
Commenting on the key connectivity technology trends in the IoT space, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “The top five technologies, including NB-IoT, 4G Cat 1, 4G Cat 4, 4G Cat 1 bis and LPWA-Dual Mode captured more than 80% of the shipments in this quarter. We are witnessing increasing shipments of 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis modules driven by the sunset of 2G and 3G technologies and higher demand in low-to-mid-end applications. Some module players are still shipping 2G modules to cater to specific low-cost applications in some emerging markets, like Africa, Asia and eastern Europe. The 5G IoT module shipments remain steady with prices still high and many projects still in pilot stages. It will take at least a couple of years to reach an inflection point. We expect the second half of 2023 to see a ramp-up for the 5G IoT modules with good pan-country 5G coverage and scale.”
The top five applications in Q2 2022 – smart meter, POS, industrial, router/CPE and asset tracking – captured more than half of the total IoT module market. Compared to the previous quarter, significant improvements were seen in the router/CPE and residential markets. The automotive connectivity market did not show much traction due to the poor performance of the automotive industry in China during this quarter.
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and individuals:
Counterpoint tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 1,500+ IoT module SKUs’ shipment, revenue and ASP performance across 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
5G shipments to overtake 4G by 2028 to become the leading technology in the global cellular IoT module market.
Smart meter, industrial, router/CPE, automotive and POS will be the top five applications in 2030 in terms of shipments.
5G RedCap mass adoption is expected to happen in 2027 and onwards.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – May 9, 2022
Global cellular IoT module shipments are expected to cross 1.2 billion units by 2030 with a CAGR of 12%, according to the latest Global Cellular IoT Module Forecast from Counterpoint Research. The shipments will be mainly driven by 5G, NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies. 5G will be the fastest growing (60%) technology, followed by 4G Cat 1 bis, during 2022-2030.
With 5G becoming mature, we will see large module vendors such as Quectel, Fibocom, MeiG, Foxconn, Thales, Telit and Sierra Wireless consolidating their positions in the global cellular IoT module market. Longtail module vendors will struggle with scale and partnerships.
Commenting on the market dynamics, SeniorResearch Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “With the ongoing sunset of 2G and 3G networks across the world, most of the demand has been shifting to LPWA, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies until now. NB-IoT will still remain popular in parts of Asia, including China, and Europe, while 4G Cat-1-based modules proliferate over the next few years.
With LPWA technologies such as NB-IoT, LTE-M and 4G Cat-1 driving this initial adoption of cellular IoT, the global cellular IoT market will transition from 4G to 5G in the rest of this decade. This transition will be faster compared to the transition from 2G/3G to LPWA/4G in the IoT segment. 5G will be the leading technology in the global cellular IoT module market, followed by NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 bis.
The rollout of 5G and introduction of 5G RedCap in coming years will see the adoption of 5G across intelligent IoT applications in industrial, asset tracking, POS, telematics, healthcare and wearables segments, mostly replacing traditional 4G IoT applications. We estimate that cumulative 5G shipments (excluding 5G RedCap) will reach 2.5 billion units, growing at a CAGR of 60% between 2022 and 2030.
By the end of this decade, we should see the introduction of 6G technology for IoT. However, 6G will be limited to higher-end applications such as enterprise and broadband in the initial years of adoption.”
Commenting on the cellular IoT module application landscape, Vice-President Research Neil Shah said, “Smart meter, industrial, router/CPE, automotive and POS will be the top five applications in 2030 in terms of shipments. 5G will be preferred for Industrial 4.0 (like robotics, automation and digital twins), router/CPE (like FWA and private networks) and automotive (like connected and autonomous mobility) applications, LPWA will be preferred for utilities (smart meter) and 4G Cat 1 bis and 5G RedCap for POS applications.
China leads in 5G adoption in the global cellular IoT module market. However, North America and Europe will have great potential in the future. 5G adoption in emerging markets such as India and Latin America will also grow faster and 5G RedCap may become popular in these regions.”
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and also for individual subscription:
Counterpoint Research tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 80+ IoT module vendors’ shipments, revenues and ASP performance across 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Quectel and Qualcomm led the global cellular IoT module and IoT chipset markets respectively in Q4 2021.
5G contributed to nearly a quarter of the cellular IoT module market revenue.
Automotive, router/CPE, industrial, PC and POS were the top five applications in the quarter.
San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – March 31, 2022
Global cellular IoT module revenue grew 58% YoY in Q4 2021, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application. China, the leading region in the cellular IoT module market, accounted for more than 40% of the revenue. However, India was the fastest growing (154% YoY) cellular IoT module market. 5G was the fastest growing (324% YoY) technology followed by 4G Cat 1 (105% YoY). Router/CPE, PC and industrial were the top applications for 5G.
Commenting on the market dynamics, SeniorResearch Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “Quectel, Telit and MeiG held the top three positions in the global cellular IoT module market, accounting for 40% of the total revenue in Q4 2021. For 2021, global cellular IoT module shipments and revenue grew by 59% and 57% YoY respectively.”
Quectel’s cellular IoT module revenue grew more than 100% YoY in Q4 2021. Strong partnerships, superior service and a wide range of product offerings are supporting its growth. Quectel launched a new ODM brand, Ikotek, targeting the US market. We expect it to help Quectel increase its footprint in North America and Latin America. Moreover, the products can be customized and designed according to the regulatory requirements of a project.
Telit made a strong comeback after a relatively weaker performance in recent history. Telit has been expanding its offerings, which is helping its revival. Telit NExT is providing flexible connectivity plans across 190 countries to take advantage of emerging business models and removing major bottlenecks for many IoT device vendors. In Q4 2021, Telit’s focus on Latin America to help customers migrate legacy 2G and 3G modules to 4G Cat 1 modules helped it become the leading module supplier in the region to complement its strong position in North America.
MeiG is another Chinese player which is making continuous progress and made it to the top three in cellular IoT modules, both in shipments and revenue. It is focusing more on AIoT and smart module-based higher-end applications such as router/CPE, intelligent cockpit, video recordings, industrial PDAs, drones and AR/VR. MeiG entered lower-end applications in 2021. This product mix of higher-end and lower-end modules helped MeiG increase revenue by more than 100% in Q4 2021.
Thales, Rolling Wireless, Sunsea, Fibocom and Sierra Wireless are other key players. Out of the top 10 players, Rolling Wireless and LG are focussing on the automotive segment only.
Thales is performing well in Europe, North America and Japan targeting smart meter, healthcare and industrial applications. Sunsea improved its performance in the global IoT module market, but it wasn’t enough to prevent its share from going down. The industry is growing at a faster rate compared to Sunsea’s growth. Fibocom is showing a stronger presence in 4G Cat 1 bis technology. However, Fibocom slipped out of the top five module vendors rankings due to weaker performance of NB-IoT modules.
Rolling Wireless’s and Sierra Wireless’s revenues increased 105% and 87% respectively. After spinning off from Sierra Wireless’s automotive division last year, Rolling Wireless quickly made it to the top 10 module vendors list. Rolling Wireless and Sierra Wireless have been successful in targeting specific applications, such as automotive and router/CPE respectively.
Global Cellular IoT Module Revenue Share by Module Vendor, Q4 2021
Source: Counterpoint Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application, Q4 2021
Automotive, router/CPE, industrial, PC and POS are the top five cellular IoT applications in terms of revenue. However, drones, PC and router/CPE are the top three fastest growing segments. Smart meters is another key segment but the lower ASPs of NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 modules mean it is not among the top five IoT applications in terms of revenue.
Global Cellular IoT Module Vendor Shipment Share Rankings by Key Geographies, Q4 2021
Commenting on the regional performance of module vendors and pricing dynamics, Vice President Research Neil Shah said, “International players made a strong comeback in Q4 2021 after weaker performance in the previous quarter. Quectel, MeiG and Sunsea were the top three cellular IoT module players in China in terms of revenue. For the rest of the world, Quectel, Telit and Thales were the top three cellular IoT module players.”
Quectel is leading in most regions except Latin America, India and Japan. However, as these regions currently represent a small share of the global cellular IoT module market, it doesn’t have much impact overall. Japan’s preference for LTE-M works against Quectel.
In China, MeiG overtook Fibocom to become the second largest cellular IoT module vendor.
Neoway, another Chinese module vendor, maintained its leading position in the Indian market. Strong partnerships with smart meter manufacturers and telematics providers are helping Neoway to maintain its position.
The overall cellular IoT module ASP increased 7% sequentially due to supply chain constraints, especially in 4G modules. Chinese chipset players are trying to reduce the 5G module ASP for mass commercialization. However, 5G adoption hasn’t picked up as expected. We see 5G peaking in the global cellular IoT module market after 2025.
For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribing clients and also for individual subscription:
Counterpoint tracks and forecasts on a quarterly basis 1450+ IoT module SKUs’ shipments, revenues and ASP performance across 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players, 18+ IoT applications and 10 major geographies
*Note: We have updated regional ranking data as per industry feedback (as of Oct 2022) which indicates Quectel led in India shipment share during Q4 2021.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
As expected, domestic vendors Huawei and ZTE were awarded the largest contracts in China Broadcasting Network (CBN) and China Mobile’s recent joint 5G infrastructure tenders. Together with compatriot Datang, the trio accounted for 94.1% of the 480,397 base stations under tender with the remaining 6% or 28,822 base stations shared between foreign vendors Ericsson and Nokia (Exhibit 1). Rival operators Chinese Telecom and China Unicom are expected to announce the results of their second 5G tenders in the coming days.
CBN & China Mobile Tender
CBN is the fourth largest operator in China and has partnered with China Mobile to build and operate a 5G network using old analogue TV spectrum in the 700 MHz band. The network is being designed to primarily deliver video streaming services to CBN’s existing cable TV customer base.
Overall, Ericsson was awarded a 2% share of CBN/China Mobile’s three tenders, a not an unexpected result. Clearly, retaliatory measures against Ericsson were inevitable following the Swedish government’s decision to ban Huawei and ZTE from the Swedish 5G market in December 2020. Neighbouring Finland also passed similar legislation but did not specifically mention Huawei or ZTE by name. In the ensuing months, Ericsson has been lowering expectations in China, including warning that it may not be awarded any market share in the current round of tenders. While exclusion cannot yet be ruled out in the China Telecom and China Unicom tenders, it is equally possible that Ericsson could end up with a similar 2% share.
The geopolitical fallout between China and Sweden has also impacted Ericsson’s present 5G contracts in China. In 2019, the company won an 11% share of China Mobile’s first 5G tender. At its second quarter earnings call last week, Ericsson reported a SEK 2.5 billion ($287 million) reduction in revenues in China, a 60% drop Year-on-Year (YoY), due to “lower volumes from delayed 5G deployments.” However, Ericsson claims that this is revenue that has effectively been lost and will not be recouped at a later date.
While China impacted revenues at Ericsson’s Network business, it had a disproportionate knock-on effect on its Digital Services business, where revenues dropped 8% YoY due primarily to lower sales in mainland China. In addition, it was forced to write-off around SEK 300 billion ($34 million) of pre-commercial inventory in China. In contrast, Digital Services showed strong double-digit growth in Europe and North America. However, lower revenues from China coupled with increased R&D investment during the quarter had a negative impact on margins and will now probably push out profitability of Digital Services to 2023.
Nokia Returns to China’s 5G Market
In contrast to Ericsson, Nokia has reasons to celebrate as it is now back in the Chinese 5G RAN market. With a more cost-competitive 5G portfolio compared to 2019, Nokia was awarded a 4% share of the CBN/China Telecom tenders. Although small, it could yet rise in subsequent awards by China Telecom and China Unicom and is an important morale boosting win as the company strives to re-claim global market share.
More importantly, Nokia again has a presence in the Chinese RAN market, a key market for all vendors. Not only is China a volume market, it is also a leader in 5G technology development. It is therefore imperative that vendors have a market presence there. Perhaps a consolation for Ericsson is that it may have avoided the worst scenario – i.e. complete exclusion from the Chinese market.
Ericsson thriving outside China
Despite the setback in China, Ericsson is firing on all cylinders outside China. Revenues at its Networks business unit increased 11% on a constant currency basis, reflecting strong market activity in other regions of the world. Strong growth was reported in Europe as well as in North America, its biggest market, driven by increasing demand for C-band infrastructure. It also won its largest ever contract, a five-year $8 billion contract with Verizon. Ericsson continues to increase its market share, both in markets where it competes against Chinese vendors as well as in markets where they are absent. Counterpoint Research believes that this is largely driven by the steady and continuous improvement in gross margin at the Networks business over the past four years, up from 23% in Q2 2017 to an impressive 47.9% in the most recent quarter.
Geopolitics driving 6G?
Overall, Ericsson’s reduced market presence in China is more than compensated financially by market share gains in other parts of the world, where Chinese vendors are excluded. However, continued geopolitical tensions between China and much of the western world is already starting to have serious implications on the future development of the telecoms industry, particularly with respect to 6G. In recent years, the telecoms industry has benefited from single global 4G/5G standards. Now, a return to the multi-standard days of 3G cannot be excluded.
Beijing, Hong Kong, New Delhi, London, Seoul, Buenos Aires, San Diego – December 18, 2020
5G connected car sales volume in China will jump to 7.1 million units in 2025, accounting for 40% of the country’s total connected car sales volume, according to the latest research by Counterpoint’s Smart Automotive service. Currently, 4G dominates China’s connected car market. The sales volume of 4G connected cars are expected to reach 7.8 million units in 2020 to account for 95% of the country’s total connected car sales volume. However, with 5G seeing a fast rollout in China and the automotive industry expected to grow faster starting 2021, the share of 5G connected car sales volume will show rapid growth. Government incentives such as a plan to issue US$535.6 billion (RMB 3.7 trillion) special-purpose bonds in 2020 to promote strategic sectors like 5G, Made in China 2025 will also drive 5G adoption by China’s automotive industry. The three state-owned telecom operators in China – China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom – are expected to invest around $184 billion in 5G networks by 2025.
Commenting on the dynamics of China’s connected car market, Senior Analyst Aman Madhok said, ”Despite the impact of COVID-19, China’s connected car sales volume are expected to reach 8.2 million units in 2020, a slight increase of 0.8% YoY from the 8.1 million units shipped in 2019. In terms of the global share, China is expected to grab 26.8% of the sales volume in 2020, becoming the second-largest connected car market. With a projected share of 30%, the US will continue to lead the market while Europe will take the third spot, but with almost the same volume as China.
Exhibit 1: Global Connected Car Sales Volume Share by Country, 2020
Source: Counterpoint’s Smart Automotive Service
Looking from the brand perspective, Research Associate Alicia Gong said, “Foreign brands control almost three-quarters of China’s connected car sales volume. Volkswagen Group is the market leader with a 25% share, followed by General Motors and Mercedes Benz. Among local brands, which account for just 12% of the sales volume, Changan is the leader with a 4% share, followed by Geely and SAIC.”
Exhibit 2: Projection for China Connected Car Sales Volume Share by Brand, 2020
Source: Counterpoint’s Smart Automotive Service
Another point worth mentioning here is that luxury brands Mercedes Benz, BMW, and Audi have been offering 4G connectivity in most cars since Q1 2019. After Huawei released the world’s first 5G telematics module (MH5000) in April 2019, Audi quickly deployed it in its passenger cars and showcased it at the Beijing-Chongli Expressway demonstration in 2019-end. We expect Audi to launch these models soon, followed by other brands.
The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Connected Car Tracker 2020’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com. Feel free to reach out to us at press(at)counterpointresearch.com for further questions regarding our latest research and insights, or for press enquiries.
Background:
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in technology products in the TMT industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analysis of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are experts in the industry with an average tenure of 13 years in the high-tech industry.
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