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2026 Smartphone Shipment Forecasts Revised Down as Memory Shortage Drives BoM Costs Up

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PublishedDecember 16, 2025
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Author

MS Hwang

MS Hwang is a research director at Counterpoint, specializing in memory semiconductor research. MS Hwang brings over 30 years of experience from Samsung Electronics and sell-side brokerage research roles including ABN AMRO, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and Samsung Securities.

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Yang Wang

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Yang is a Principal Analyst at Counterpoint Research, based out of London. Yang has 10 years of work experience with particular interest in mobile devices, ecosystems, Emerging Markets, supply chain and macro topics that affect the global technology industry. As a tech analyst he has been quoted extensively by leading financial and media outlets. Yang started his career as a management trainee at Jardine Matheson, worked in business development at a SaaS startup, and most recently held marketing and research roles at KaiOS Technologies. Yang holds a Master of Science in Management from London Business School, and a Master of Science in Psychology from the University College of London.

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Shenghao Bai

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Shenghao Bai is a senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, specializing in Teardown & BoM analysis and smartphone supply chain research. He is also a certified Project Management Professional (PMP). Shenghao has extensive experience working with leading smartphone and smart device companies, including Samsung Electronics, OPPO, and Xiaomi, where he oversaw hardware development and project management across a range of products. His expertise spans product planning and emerging technology trends.

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