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Consumption of Indian Semiconductor Components to Climb to $300-Billion Cumulative Revenue During 2021-2026

  • Mobile and wearables, IT and industrial segments currently contribute around 80% of the semiconductor revenues in India.
  • ‘Make in India’ and Production Linked Incentive schemes will boost local sourcing of semi-components in the coming years.
  • Further policy reforms and building of a semiconductor ecosystem will reduce reliance on imports going forward.

New Delhi, Seoul, San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, Hong Kong, Beijing – August 16, 2022

India’s semiconductor component market will see its cumulative revenues climb to $300 billion during 2021-2026, according to the ‘India Semiconductor Market Report, 2019-2026’, a joint research by the India Electronics & Semiconductor Association (IESA) and Counterpoint Research. IESA is the premier industry body representing the ESDM and intelligent electronics industry in India. It acts as a trusted knowledge partner to the central and state governments, helping devise policies and incentives for the industry to attract investments into India. The comprehensive research on India’s semiconductor market focuses on the bottom-up modelling unit as well as revenue demand for semiconductor components covering the entire Bill of Materials (BoM) of multiple end-device and equipment categories across seven major sectors in India – Mobile and Wearables, Information Technology, Automotive, Industrial, Telecom, Aerospace and Defence, and Consumer Electronics – from domestic consumption as well as export perspective. The report provides detailed recommendations, potential policies and a framework for building a robust domestic semiconductor ecosystem to boost local production and sourcing.

India Semiconductor Market Dashboard, 2021-2026
Source: India Semiconductor Market Report

 

IESA CEO and President Krishna Moorthy said, “Before the end of this decade, there will be nothing that will not be touched by electronics and the ubiquitous ‘chip’. Be it fighting carbon emissions, renewable energy, food safety, or healthcare, the semiconductor chip will be all-pervasive. Imagine this – all children all over India get educated in virtual classrooms by the country’s best teachers. The chip makes it possible. Again, imagine everyone in the country gets quality healthcare and diagnostics done remotely. Medicines are delivered by drones at your doorstep, even in the farthest villages of India. The chip will make it possible, and we will see this in front of our eyes very soon. Let us make India the semiconductor nation.”

 

India is poised to be the second largest market in the world from the perspective of scale and growing demand for semiconductor components across several industries and applications. This demand is being pushed by the increasing pace of digital transformation among the country’s consumers, enterprises and public sector through the adoption of new technologies, from advanced connectivity to content consumption to the cloud. These cover smartphones, PCs, wearables, cloud data centers, Industry 4.0 applications, IoT, smart mobility, and advanced telecom and public utility infrastructure.

 

Mobile and wearables, IT and industrial sectors alone contributed to almost 80% of the semiconductor revenues in India in 2021. Commenting on the mobile and wearables industry, Research Director at Counterpoint Research Tarun Pathak said, “The mobile and wearables sector was the biggest contributor to India’s semiconductor industry in 2021. Mobile devices have become a primary tool for internet connectivity given that broadband and laptop/PC penetration remains low. In the last five years, the ‘consumer digital transformation’ has accelerated with the availability of cheap mobile internet, and mobile devices have connected a big part of the Indian population. Also, the gradual shift from feature phones to smartphones has been generating increased proportions of advanced logic processors, memory, integrated controllers, sensors and other components. This will continue to drive the value of the semiconductor content in smartphones, which is still an under-penetrated segment in India, aided by the rise of wearables such as smartwatch and TWS.”

 

 

 

 

 

Commenting on the potential opportunity in the mid-to-long term, Counterpoint Research Vice President Neil Shah said, “The next big boom for semiconductor components will come from across sectors. However, the telecom sector with the advent of 5G and fiber network rollout will be a key catalyst in boosting the semiconductor components consumption. This consumption will not only come from the advanced semiconductor-heavy 5G and FTTH network infrastructure equipment, which will contribute to more than 14% of the total semiconductor consumption in 2026, but also from the highly capable AI-driven 5G endpoints, from smartphones, tablets, PCs, connected cars, industrial robotics to private networks. Also, ongoing efforts to embrace cleaner and greener vehicles (electric vehicles) will provide an impetus for the automobile industry to adopt advanced technologies, which in turn will boost the demand for semiconductor components in India. Consumer electronics, industrial, and mobile and wearables will be the other key industries for the growth of the semiconductor market in India. Further, this semiconductor demand will not only be driven by domestic consumption but also by the growing share of exports.”

In 2021, India’s end equipment market stood at $119 billion in terms of revenue. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 19% from 2021 to 2026. The Electronic System Design and Manufacturing (ESDM) sector in India will play a major role in the country’s overall growth, from sourcing components to design manufacturing. The semiconductor industry in India is on a path to immense growth over the next few years to help India’s economy reach the next stage for both domestic consumption and exports. While the country is becoming one of the largest consumers of electronic and semiconductor components, most components are imported, offering limited economic opportunities for the country. Currently, only 9% of this semiconductor requirement is met locally.

The demand for semiconductors is growing astronomically worldwide. However, multiple factors, including the pandemic and global geopolitical events, have heavily impacted the manufacturing of the components. This research is aimed at analyzing the market situation, manufacturing supply chain, and prospects for India as a premier manufacturing destination not only for finished goods but also for semiconductor components. While the local production is currently low, India has immense potential to become a leading semiconductor component supplier in the coming years, provided the talent pool and resources are utilized correctly. The government’s initiatives, from ‘Make in India’ to Production Linked Incentive (PLI), will help accelerate this journey but will need some additional reforms to increase local manufacturing and sourcing of semiconductor components. If this is done, the semiconductor market can be a major contributor to economic growth, and India’s push to become a $5-trillion economy.

 

IESA Vice President Sunil G Acharya said, “Semiconductors will be inside everything intelligent. India is becoming a tech-centered growth story with advancing technologies and innovation being integral to democratizing access. The semiconductor study will play a major role in India’s growth. A large young population combined with an increased focus on digitalization, advancing skill levels, growing manufacturing and foreign investment traction will take India’s semiconductor industry to the next level in the coming years.”

 

 

Commenting on the current stage of local manufacturing, Research Analyst at Counterpoint Research Shivani Parashar said, “To achieve India’s semiconductor vision, a robust and indigenous technology ecosystem will be required to build on the existing policy foundation through PLI-like schemes. Renewed focus is needed for incentivizing the country’s design ecosystem in a manner that helps create a stronger foundation for design-led manufacturing and allied sectors, be it for local consumption or exports. This strategy will transform the landscape in the coming years to drive local sourcing trends. The share of local sourcing is expected to grow to over 17% by 2026. This translates into a six-fold rise in potential locally-sourced semiconductor revenues.”

IESA Vice President (Public Policy, Government and Corporate Relations) Anurag Awasthi said, “From safety razors to space shuttles, everything will be powered by the chip. Let us ensure our chips are not down in the world of tomorrow! Keeping this as an aim, MeitY is working further towards making India one of the next technology powerhouses, especially in a pandemic-struck world where there has been a realization of the need for more flexible and diverse supply chain ecosystems. The government is keen to leverage India’s existing strengths in mobile manufacturing, software and start-up hubs for other critical industries in the ESDM sector.”

 

Research Analyst at Counterpoint Research Priya Joseph added, “Government policies including PLI, New Electronics Policy, 2019, Electronics Manufacturing Clusters, and Scheme for Promotion of manufacturing of Electronic Components and Semiconductors (SPECS) are all being equipped to boost domestic design, manufacturing and assembly. To help drive more initiatives under the themes of Make in India and Digital India, the government, in its last budget, pushed the total allocation to $936.2 million. This step not only aims to incentivize India-based manufacturing but also catalyze investments in the sector to support job creation, ease of doing business, import reduction and export promotion.”

To access the full report, please contact IESA at the coordinates below.

Vine Sophia Email: sophia@iesaonline.org

Feel free to contact us at press(at)counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding semiconductor research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts:

Shivani Parashar

 

Neil Shah

Tarun Pathak

Priya Joseph

 

Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Reports:

India Smartphone Market Records Highest Ever Shipments, Revenue in 2021

  • India’s smartphone market revenue crossed $38 billion in 2021 with 27% YoY growth.
  • Xiaomi led the market with a 24% shipment share.The brand also reached its highest ever share in the premium segment (>INR 30,000, ~$400) with 258% YoY growth.
  • Samsung registered its highest ever retail ASP in 2021. The brand led the INR 20,000-INR 45,000 (~$267-$600) price segment with a 28% share.
  • OnePlus registered its highest ever shipments in India in 2021 and led the affordable premium segment (INR 30,000-INR 45,000, ~$400-$600).
  • 5G shipments registered 555% YoY growth in 2021. vivo led the 5G smartphone shipments in 2021 with a 19% share.
  • Among the top fivebrands in 2021, realme was the fastest growing brand. It captured the second position in Q4 2021 for the first time.

New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires – January 31, 2022

India’s smartphone shipments grew 11% YoY to reach 169 million units in 2021, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. However, the shipments declined 8% YoY in the December quarter due to supply issues plaguing the smartphone manufacturing ecosystem.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Prachir Singh said, “The Indian smartphone market witnessed high consumer demand in 2021, making it the best-performing year. This feat came in a year that witnessed supply constraints due to a multitude of reasons – a second and more virulent COVID-19 wave, global component shortages and price hikes due to these shortages. The high replacement demand fuelled by increasing smartphone affordability in the mid and high-price tiers due to promotions and discounts, as well as better financing options, led to an 11% YoY growth in 2021. The demand outstripped the supply in the last two quarters of 2021. During Q4 2021, the smartphone market declined 8% YoY. We expect the supply situation to get better going forward and reach normalcy by the end of Q1 2022.”

Commenting on the competitive landscape and pricing, Research Analyst Shilpi Jain said, “India’s smartphone market retail ASP (average selling price) grew 14% YoY in 2021 to reach its highest ever at $227. The price hikes in the budget segment due to component price rise, increasing focus of OEMs on the premium segment, and increased demand for mid-range and premium smartphones due to increasing uses and availability of financing options contributed to the increasing ASP. This resulted in the Indian smartphone market revenue crossing $38 billion in 2021, registering a growth of 27% YoY.”

On the developing manufacturing ecosystem, she added, “Local manufacturing bounced back, contributing 98% shipments in 2021, compared to 90% in 2020. The PLI scheme has been a great booster for the Indian mobile manufacturing ecosystem, attracting top players like Apple and Samsung to increase their ‘Make in India’ footprint and make India their export hub. Therefore, handset exports saw 26% YoY growth in 2021. Seeing the PLI scheme’s success in the mobile manufacturing ecosystem, the government has launched similar schemes for different product verticals like CIOT and IT hardware.”

India Smartphone Market Share, 2021

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2021
Note: Xiaomi’s share includes the POCO brand

India Handset Market Share, 2021

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2021
Note: Xiaomi’s share includes the POCO brand

India’s overall mobile handset market grew 7% YoY in 2021. Samsung captured the top position in the handset market in 2021, taking 17% share. Feature phone shipments reached 86 million units to show flat growth in 2021. itel led the feature phone market, taking 24% share followed by Lava, Samsung and Jio. itel has been leading the feature phone market for the last two consecutive years.

India Smartphone Market Share, Q4 2021

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2021
Note: Xiaomi’s share includes the POCO brand

ndia Handset Market Share, Q4 2021Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2021
Note: Xiaomi’s share includes the POCO brand

Market Summary:

  • Xiaomi maintained the top position in India’s smartphone market in 2021 with 2% YoY growth. Component shortage in the second half of the year, which affected volumes in the mass market segment, led to slower growth.Xiaomi grew 258% in the premium segment (>INR 30,000, ~$400) in 2021 with the Mi 11x series. Going forward, it will keep focusing on the premium segment and offline expansion.
  • Samsung remained at the second position in 2021 with an 8% YoY decline in shipments. Supply chain disruptions, absence of new Note series, reduced focus on the entry-level segment and fewer launches in the mid segment compared to the previous year led to an overall decline.However, Samsung was the top brand in 5G smartphone shipments in Q4 2021. Its campaign on providing maximum bands in 5G smartphones facilitated this growth. It also led the INR 20,000-INR 45,000 (~$267-$600) segment with a 28% share. Samsung’s foldable device (Fold and Flip series) shipments grew 388% YoY in 2021.
  • Among the top five brands, realme was the fastest growing in 2021 with 20% YoY growth.It also captured the second spot in Q4 2021 for the first time ever. Switching to ‘Unisoc’ to manage component shortages, production expansion through partnerships with EMS, focus on the premium segment with newly launched ‘GT series’ and high demand for its revamped C series and Narzo series favored this high growth for realme. Going forward, realme is aiming to provide 5G in all smartphones priced above INR 15000 (~$200). It also plans to enter the ultra-premium segment.
  • vivo emerged as the top 5G smartphone brand in 2021 with a 19% share. It grew 2% YoY in 2021 driven by a strong performance of its Y series and V It remains the leading player in the offline segment while simultaneously strengthening its hold in the online segment through its sub-brand iQOO.
  • OPPO held the fifth position in 2021 with 6% YoY growth. It now has a leaner portfolio in the budget segment as it is focusing on the upper, mid and premium segments. In the premium segment, it was the fastest growing brand in 2021.
  • Transsion Group brands (itel, Infinix and TECNO) registered 55% YoY growth in 2021 and crossed 10 million shipments for the first time ever in a single year. They also maintained their third position in the overall handset market, with itel being the largest player in the feature phone market.Aggressive launches with a strong value proposition, strong demand in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities and hybrid channel strategy were some of the factors behind this growth.
  • Apple was one of the fastest growing brands in 2021 with 108% YoY growth in shipments. It maintained its lead in the premium segment (>INR 30,000, ~$400) with a 44% share.Aggressive offers during the festive season, strong demand for the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 and increased ‘Make in India’ capabilities drove high growth. We expect strong momentum for Apple in 2022 as well with increased manufacturing and retail footprint.
  • OnePlus reached its highest ever shipments in 2021, crossing the 5-million mark with 59% YoY growth driven by the OnePlus Nord Series. It led the affordable premium segment (INR 30,000-INR 45,000, ~$400-$600).It also captured the second position in the premium segment (>INR 30,000, ~$400) with a 19% share. Camera innovations will be a key focus for OnePlus in 2022.

 Note: OPPO excludes OnePlus shipments in this publication as the integration is still in process at the regional level. We have already integrated OPPO and OnePlus shipments at the global level.

The comprehensive and in-depth 2021 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients. Feel free to contact us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

The Market Monitor research relies on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendors’ IR results and vendor polling, triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market share for WorldUSA, China and India.

Background:

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts:

Prachir Singh

 

Shilpi Jain

 

Tarun Pathak

 

Follow Counterpoint Research

 

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