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US Feature Phone Market Stages Comeback as Gen Z, Millennials Advocate Digital Detox

  • The US feature phone market is more crowded and competitive now as OEMs enter agreements with carriers. 
  • Feature phone sales are forecast to reach 2.8 million in 2023 with stable sales continuing in the near term. 
  • New hardware configurations like eSIM or NFC can make devices more relevant for today’s consumers. 

Feature phones have made a resurgence due to digital detox and Gen Z/millennials  

Feature phones in the US market have made a resurgence as Gen Z and millennials are advocating for digital detoxes due to the mental health concerns brought on by smartphones and social media. Hashtags like #bringbackfliphones on TikTok have garnered millions of views leading to the increased adoption of feature phones by younger consumers looking to adhere to movements like digital detoxing, minimalist lifestyles and unplugging. Given the relatively cheap price point of feature phones ($20-$50 with a prepaid carrier and $50-$100 unlocked), more people are trying out these devices and sharing their experiences on social media.  

The market is more crowded now, TCL and HMD are leading but competition from Schok, Sonim, and white-label makers like Tinno are entering agreements with carriers 

Smartphones were widely adopted almost instantly when they arrived. Due to this, the US feature phone market shrank significantly over the past 10 years. Currently, the feature phone market contributes to only a little more than a 2% share of overall handset sales in the US. Among the players catering to this segment of the market, TCL, which manufactures feature phones for major carriers in both branded and white-label capacities, leads the pack with a 43% share due to its strong presence on carrier channels. HMD ranks second with a 26% share, while other smaller players make up for the rest of the market. 

Additionally, carrier and OEM tie-ups play an important role in the dynamics. The big three US carriers – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – are exploring different feature phone OEM options due to which the US feature phone market has grown more crowded lately, especially with carriers moving away from TCL devices and trying out smaller OEMs instead, like Tinno and FIH which have manufactured devices for AT&T’s white-labeled feature phones. Sonim and Kyocera, which provide ruggedized devices, are Verizon’s feature phone brands, while Schok and hot pepper are T-Mobile’s.  US feature phone marketFeature phone sales are forecast to reach 2.8 million in 2023 with continued stable sales in the near term as niche demand drivers maintain sales

Feature phones still hold their place in the market and are likely to see consistent shipments, helped by their affordability and durability to suit specific use cases. Although the growth in numbers may not be huge, the demand from consumers looking for a feature phone as a digital detox mechanism will continue. Additionally, B2B sales may drive some demand as feature phones simplify costs for businesses. Furthermore, tourists and other consumers needing a cheap disposable feature phone will also continue to keep sales stable.

New hardware configurations like eSIM or NFC can make devices more relevant for modern consumers wishing to simplify their tech gadgets but still interact seamlessly in the digital world

There is a consumer base looking for devices that are minimalistic but also have features that are relevant to staying connected in today’s world. The design and specifications of feature phones have not changed much over the last few years. This is one of the factors that keep consumers from purchasing a feature phone. The addition of some new hardware configurations and features that are abreast with the current trends while still maintaining the simplicity of usage may open more gates for the growth of feature phones. NFC is one such feature. NFC can enable payments, home automation, quick pairing, and make public transport access more convenient for users. Similarly, eSIMs may also be a great hardware integration as it may attract consumers to adopt a feature phone as a companion device that they can easily switch to from their main device in situations where they do not want to bring out their expensive smartphone. Adding these attributes would help make feature phones more relevant for day-to-day use.

See the full report below for more information:

 

US Feature Phone Trends and Outlook in the Age of Smartphones

The US feature phone market has seen a recent resurgence with Gen Z/Millennials advocating for digital detoxes due to mental health concerns. While TCL and HMD remain the dominant OEMs in the US, challenger brands are making the market more crowded. Feature phones will remain an important part of the US handset market for years to come as they continue to solve for niche needs that smartphones cannot address.

Number of Pages: 18

  • Key Takeaways
  • Current Market Dynamics
    • Feature Phone Volumes by Year
    • Current Market Drivers
    • Market Share by OEM
    • Postpaid and Prepaid Market Share by OEM
  • Specification Analysis
    • Current Feature Phone Specifications and Market Innovations
  • Feature Phone Outlook
    • Market Forecast until 2027
    • Future Trends and Specifications

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US White-label Smartphone Opportunity Continues to Grow

US carriers sold over 1.5 million white-label devices in Q3 2021, according to Counterpoint Research’s US Monthly Smartphone Channel Share Tracker. This figure includes AT&T, Cricket and T-Mobile (Revvl brand) devices.

Over the years, both carriers have maintained a range of white-label devices to fill gaps in their portfolios by offering affordable device options. Lately, the focus has shifted towards the sub-$300 5G device segment, especially in prepaid channels. In 2021 so far, US carriers have launched white-label 5G devices such as the REVVL 5G, REVVL V+ and Cricket’s Dream 5G/AT&T Radiant Max 5G, bringing down the 5G device cost to sub-$200.

In September 2021, Dish’s Boost Mobile announced the Celero5G-branded smartphone. The device, launched at a price of $279, will include unlimited talk time, text and data (speed throttled after 35GB) for 12 months. Further, the Celero5G comes packed with a 6.52-inch screen, quad camera and 4GB RAM/64GB NAND. It is rumored to be powered by the MediaTek Dimensity 7000 chipset. The device will be available at Boost Mobile-branded retail locations and in national retail.

Dish claims that the device fills a void in the market by providing an affordable 5G option to the customers. This is parallel to AT&T and T-Mobile’s strategy to bring more subscribers to the 5G network.

Opportunity for ODM/EMS firms

Industry continues to ponder whether Chinese OEMs will be able to enter US carrier channels. So far, none of the major Chinese OEMs have been able to range among US carrier channels apart from OnePlus. However, the white-label device opportunity brings OEM, ODM and EMS firms to a level playing field and opens a backdoor channel for entry to the US market.

This has enabled many ODM/EMS firms, such as FIH (Fushan), Wingtech, Tinno and Vinsmart, to work with US carriers. Many Indian OEMs are also aggressively looking to cater to the rising demand.

Apart from the carrier-branded white-label devices, some local US brands are also moving their production outside China. Recently, India-based EMS firm Dixon Technologies announced a partnership with Orbic to manufacture 5G smartphones in India. Orbic devices are sold in Verizon and TracFone channels in the US. BLU-branded devices sold in national retail channels such as Best Buy, Walmart and Target are also being manufactured in Vietnam. There are many other similar brands that are now looking at manufacturing outside China to circumvent unnecessary logistical hurdles.

While these devices don’t get much attention and have lower marketing spend, the arrangement allows US carriers to fill gaps in their smartphone portfolios. At the same time, it allows ODM/EMS firms, which remain behind the scenes, to avoid the marketing cost, which is typically shared between the carrier and a mainstream OEM brand (like Apple, Samsung, Motorola and OnePlus).

T-Mobile Looks to Shake up Wireless Competition in National Retail

Aiming to more than double its footprint in US national retail channels, T‑Mobile will soon start selling its wireless plans at 2,300 Walmart store locations across the US. This is timely and could be very beneficial for T-Mobile. The carrier is under-indexed in rural America. With its improved 4G and 5G coverage, it can get far more aggressive in rural areas where its network has been uncompetitive in the past.

According to Counterpoint Research’s US Monthly channel share tracker, national retail accounted for 14% of the US smartphone sell-through in the second quarter. Walmart remains the largest national retail channel followed by Best-Buy, Target, Costco and Sam’s Club.

Exhibit 1: US Smartphone Sell-through by Sales Channel

Source: US Online-Offline Monthly Channel Share Tracker (Q2 2021)

Walmart Targeted at Low-End & Mid-Tier

Sales at Walmart remain targeted towards mid-tier and low-end wireless retail opportunity. Smartphone brands like Samsung, Motorola, Alcatel and white-labeled AT&T and Cricket devices remain very strong at Walmart. The competition in national retail remains heavily in favor of TracFone brands (such as TracFone, Straight Talk, Total Wireless, NET10 and Simple) selling in Walmart. This places Verizon in a very favorable position as it looks to complete the integration of TracFone by the end of 2021.

Exhibit 2: US Prepaid Brand Ownership and Sales Channel

While AT&T, too, enjoys a strong prepaid presence with Cricket and AT&T prepaid, Dish is likely to be the dark horse that can disrupt the competition in national retail. Dish, which now owns the Boost Mobile brand, has been on a buying spree that will likely continue. The #4 US carrier acquired Republic Wireless in March 2021, Ting in August 2021 and Gen Mobile in September 2021. This takes Dish’s prepaid subscriber count to over nine million and brand count to four in national retail.

Prepaid-Postpaid Migration

In 2021, postpaid deals have been very strong for premium smartphone devices. 5G remained at the center of the three national carriers’ marketing focus. BOGOs and $800+ trade-in deals on new iPhones and Galaxy S21 remained consistent throughout the year, leading to a higher migration in favor of postpaid. This trend of deals is likely to continue in Q4 2021 and 2022, making competition in prepaid more intense.

While Metro by T-Mobile and Cricket account for the majority of the net adds, Dish and Verizon (especially after the Tracfone acquisition) will now be looking to advance their subscriber base. Dish with its four prepaid brands would likely expand its presence in national retail. It is expected to start selling in Target stores in October 2021. Earlier, during an investor presentation, Verizon’s John Dunne also hinted at broadening Verizon’s prepaid offerings. We can expect Verizon to get more aggressive within prepaid if the TracFone deal is completed in Q4 2021.

Overall, national retail remains key to US carriers’ wireless retail strategy. Carriers continue to pay lucrative per-line commissions to retailers. The key target of the carriers is to capture the “customer lifetime value (CLV)”, as 5G opens up new opportunities, and/or finally have them upgrade to a premium unlimited plan.

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