Every second BEV sold in the US in Q2 2023 was a Tesla.
BEV sales by foreign brands more than doubled YoY to 81,000 units.
Annual BEV sales are expected to exceed 1 million units by the end of 2023.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – September 4, 2023
US passenger battery electric vehicle* (BEV) sales grew 57% YoY in Q2 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s US Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. The US maintained its status as the second-largest BEV market, a position it achieved by surpassing Germany in the previous quarter. BEVs constituted more than 7% of total passenger vehicle sales in the US in Q2. During H1 2023, Tesla’s tally exceeded the combined BEV sales of the next 14 automotive groups by 122,000 vehicles.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “Building on the existing momentum, the US automotive industry maintained its upward trajectory in Q2 2023. Total passenger vehicle sales surged by over 16% YoY. BEV sales are on the rise, driven by the EV tax credit and increasing environmental awareness among consumers. US-based brands like Tesla, GM, Ford, Rivian, Lucid and Karma captured nearly three-quarters of total BEV sales. Among foreign-origin brands operating in the US, European manufacturers claimed the largest market share, followed by South Korean and Japanese brands. Total BEV sales by brands of foreign origin, such as Hyundai Kia, Volkswagen Group, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Volvo, Toyota, Subaru, Jaguar and Land Rover, jumped by more than 100% YoY to nearly 81,000 units.”
The top five best-selling BEV models in the US accounted for more than 60% of the market’s overall BEV sales during the quarter. Tesla’s Model Y and Model 3 together accounted for 55% of the BEV market. The Rivian R1T emerged as the third best-selling model during Q2 2023. This is the first time a Rivian model has secured a position in the top five since the introduction of its first vehicle in late 2021.
Commenting on the market outlook, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “If the current growth trajectory continues, annual BEV sales in the US will exceed 1 million units by the end of 2023. However, rising inventories are expected to become a problem for automakers. EV-related investments by auto OEMs are rapidly growing across the North American continent. These investments, which cover EV production ramps, components and battery, and charging infrastructure, have already crossed $100 billion. Most EV brands are preparing to launch new models or update existing models from 2024 onwards. To address the inventory challenges, OEMs will either need to reduce prices or limit production, both of which will hurt their financial performance.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brand/company.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Thailand accounted for over 75% of BEV sales in the SEA region during Q1 2023.
Three out of every four BEVs sold were from a Chinese automaker.
The top three groups accounted for 68% of BEV sales.
BYD’s Atto 3 was the best-selling BEV.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – July 20, 2023
Southeast Asia’s# (SEA’s) passenger battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales* grew by almost 10 times YoY in Q1 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s SEA Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. The share of BEVs in total passenger vehicle sales experienced significant growth in Q1 2023, reaching 3.8% compared to a mere 0.3% one year ago. Thailand emerged as the leading country, capturing over 75% of the BEV sales, followed by Indonesia and Vietnam. Thailand also boasted the highest proportion of BEVs in total passenger vehicle sales, followed by Singapore and Vietnam. However, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales saw a modest YoY growth of 5.8%.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhilash Gupta said, “Thailand’s government-led efforts to promote EV sales have yielded positive outcomes, while Indonesia and Vietnam are also performing well in the region. However, Malaysia, Philippines and Myanmar require additional regulatory support and encouragement to foster EV growth. Despite overall passenger vehicle sales remaining relatively stagnant, the sales of BEVs have experienced a significant and rapid expansion. Besides, the market for hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) has experienced remarkable growth in SEA, playing a pivotal role in the transition from traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to EVs.”
Gupta added, “Chinese auto groups are experiencing rapid growth and outpacing their competitors in the SEA region, with their market share increasing from 38% a year ago to nearly 75%. In Q1 2023, BYD Group emerged as the BEV leader in the SEA region, capturing the majority of sales, followed by Hozon New Energy, and SAIC Group. These top three groups collectively accounted for over 68% of the BEV market. In the PHEV market, Geely Holding Group claimed the top position, followed by BMW Group, and Mercedes-Benz Group.”
BYD’s Atto 3 was the best-selling BEV across SEA, followed by the Neta V and Tesla Model Y. In PHEVs, Volvo’s XC60 sold the most, followed by the BMW 3 series and Mercedes-Benz E-Class.
Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “In addition to offering subsidies and tax incentives, Thailand’s government has set ambitious goals to position itself as a global hub for EV production. The country’s EV sector has witnessed a significant rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) in the past year. Notably, several Chinese automakers, including Great Wall Motors, BYD, Hozon New Energy and Changan Automobile, have shown interest in establishing or have already commenced the construction of production facilities in Thailand. Similarly, Indonesia announced a subsidy package in March 2023 to promote the purchase and manufacturing of EVs, with a special focus on increasing local production. This move is expected to further accelerate the production and sales of EVs in the region.”
Mandal added, “The Chinese presence in the SEA EV market is poised to strengthen as they establish regional manufacturing bases, thereby driving further growth in the EV sector. The overall sales of EVs are experiencing an upward trajectory in the SEA region. The outlook appears promising, and there is an expectation that the share of BEVs in total vehicle sales will reach 6% by the end of this year.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.
#SEA here includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
EV sales penetration dropped to 18.4% in Q1 2023 from 27.6% in Q4 2022
Tesla Model Y was the best-selling EV model across all major countries except Spain.
EV sales penetration is expected to exceed 25% again by the end of the year.
London, New Delhi, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – July 5, 2023
Europe’s passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales increased by more than 13% YoY in Q1 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Europe Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. While overall passenger car sales in Europe are showing signs of improvement, they have not yet reached pre-COVID-19 levels. In terms of overall EV sales, Germany led the pack, closely followed by the UK, France, Italy, the Netherlands and Norway. Meanwhile, the share of EVs in total passenger vehicle sales was the highest in Norway and the Netherlands.
In Q1 2023, Battery EV (BEV) sales jumped 32% YoY while plug-in hybrid EV (PHEV) sales declined 13% YoY. Consequently, the EV share of total passenger vehicle sales declined during the quarter from that a year ago.
Meanwhile, there has been notable progress in the European market for Hybrid EVs (HEV) and mild-hybrid EVs (MHEVs). This indicates that Europe is making efforts to tap into the lower-end EV market while simultaneously developing battery ecosystems and fostering a circular economy. These initiatives are being undertaken before placing a stronger emphasis on pure EV sales.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “In Q1 2023, most European EV sales were captured by the top five automotive groups – Volkswagen Group, Tesla, Stellantis, Mercedes-Benz and Hyundai-Kia. They accounted for nearly two-thirds of the market share. When it comes to pure electric vehicles (BEVs), Tesla holds the second position, slightly behind Volkswagen. In the plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) market, Volkswagen takes the lead, followed by Mercedes-Benz and BMW.”
“Chinese EV manufacturers struggled to increase their market share in Europe during the quarter. However, MG, BYD, NIO, ORA and Aiways managed to improve their sales compared to the previous year. On the other hand, LYNK & CO, Hongqi and Xpeng faced challenges in the European market. Nevertheless, we expect Chinese automakers to be able to enhance their market share in the coming quarters by offering cost-effective vehicles with advanced features, as the EV market is expected to perform better.”
The top-selling EV model during Q1 2023 was the Tesla Model Y, followed by the Volvo XC40, Tesla Model 3, Volkswagen ID.3, and Audi Q4 e-tron. These top five models account for nearly a quarter of the total shipments. The Tesla Model Y dominates the market across major European countries, demonstrating Tesla’s strong brand presence in the region, except in Spain where it faces more competition.
Discussing the market outlook, Research Vice President Peter Richardson said, “The penetration of EVs in total passenger vehicle sales in Europe experienced a decline this quarter, dropping to 18.4% from 27.6% in Q4 2022. This is a significant shift compared to the previous trend of continuous QoQ growth. Except France, all major countries experienced this decline during Q1 2023.”
“Several factors contributed to this decline, including the unstable economic conditions and the removal of EV subsidies by Norway. Germany, the largest EV market in Europe, experienced a decline as the looming recession and cautious consumer spending hurt the EV market. These circumstances impacted the overall adoption of EVs in the region. However, since April, the European region has shown signs of recovery. As a result, we expect the share of EVs to rebound and surpass 25% again by the end of this year.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.
*The countries in this study include Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the UK and Ukraine.
*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not covered by this study.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Tesla sold more EVs than the next 18 automotive groups combined in Q1 2023.
Brands like Hyundai, Audi, BMW, Volvo and Nissan remain ineligible for the EV tax credit.
US EV sales expected to reach near 1.5 million units in 2023 if economic conditions continue to improve.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – June 15, 2023
US passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales soared over 79% YoY in Q1 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s USA Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. This strong growth helped the US surpass Germany to become the world’s second-largest EV market, the largest being China. Battery EVs (BEV) accounted for 81% of all passenger EV sales in the US while plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) made up the rest. In Q1 2023, Tesla’s sales outperformedthe combined sales of the next 18 automotive groups, which collectively represent 34 automotive brands.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “Total US passenger vehicle sales improved YoY in Q1 2023. The US economy is showing signs of recovery with lower inflation and improving consumer sentiment. Although EV sales saw strong growth during the quarter, those of conventional passenger vehicles remained flat. One reason was the introduction of an EV tax credit of up to $7,500, which has played a crucial role in driving up EV sales. Currently, around 20 models in total offered by Tesla, GM, Ford, Stellantis, Rivian and Volkswagen are eligible for the tax credit. However, strict eligibility conditions set by the US government have excluded brands such as Hyundai, Nissan, BMW, Audi and Volvo from benefiting from the EV tax credit scheme in 2023.”
The top 10 EV models in the US accounted for 69% of overall passenger EV sales during the quarter. Tesla’s Model Y retained its title of the best-selling EV model, while it also earned the title of best-selling passenger carmodel globally. Apart from BEVs, PHEVs are also gaining popularity in the US.
Commenting on the market outlook, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “With the US economy showing signs of recovery, the auto industry, particularly the EV sector, is being helped by government policies announced last year. Tax credits for new and even used EVs are helping consumers, while investments in streamlining the EV battery supply chain, the establishment of a robust network of EV charging stations and the setting up of battery recycling plants nationwide will all support EV sales growth. Therefore, we expect US EV sales to reach around 1.5 million units in 2023 if economic conditions continue improving.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brand/company.
*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
One in every seven cars sold during Q1 2023 was an EV.
Tesla Model Y becomes the best-selling passenger car model globally for the first time ever.
EV sales are expected to reach over 14.5 million units by the end of 2023.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – June 7, 2023
Global passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales in Q1 2023 rose 32% YoY, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. One in every seven cars sold during Q1 2023 was an EV. Battery EVs (BEVs) accounted for 73% of all EV sales during the quarter, while plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) made up the rest.
The US surpassed Germany to become the world’s second-largest EV market in Q1 2023 while China remained the leader. In China, EV sales experienced a remarkable 29% YoY growth, despite a 12% decline in overall sales of passenger vehicles in the country. In the US, EV sales soared over 79% YoY during the quarter. The top 10 automotive groups, encompassing 48 automotive brands, dominated the global EV market in Q1 2023, capturing three-fourths of the total global EV sales.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “Global EV sales were largely driven by China with 56% of total EV sales in Q1 2023 coming from this market. The elimination of the NEV purchase subsidy in China resulted in lower-than-expected EV sales in January 2023. Tesla slashed prices for its models globally in January, following which other automotive brands announced similar cuts for their car models starting in February, which led to an improvement in EV sales. During February and March, almost 40 automakers, including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes–Benz, Nissan, Honda and Toyota, reduced their vehicle prices by a couple of hundred dollars to tens of thousands of dollars, which eventually stoked a competitive price war in China. Initially, it was thought that the price war would end soon and that auto OEMs would benefit from increased sales. However, as the price war continues to stretch, several automakers in China have reported reduced earnings and even losses.”
The top 10 EV models accounted for 37% of the total passenger EV sales in Q1 2023. Tesla’s Model Y remained the best-selling model globally followed by Tesla’s Model 3 and BYD’s Song. In Q1 2023, Tesla’s Model Y achieved the notable distinction of becoming the best-selling passenger car model worldwide, surpassing even conventional fuel vehicles.
Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “Although sales of the traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles remained stable in Q1 2023 compared with that in the year-ago period, the significant growth in EV sales indicates a rapid transition from traditional vehicles to EVs.”
“By the end of 2023, global EV sales are expected to surpass 14.5 million units, according to our forecast. With the implementation of the EV tax credit subsidy in the US, EV sales in the country are projected to significantly increase this year. To meet the eligibility criteria for the tax credit, automotive OEMs are moving to partner with battery suppliers and establish battery manufacturing plants across North America. Consequently, the US is poised to surpass the EU in the race to build EV batteries.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brand/company.
*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
Google has been making news in the automotive industry this year. First, with the announcement of HD Maps to support assisted driving and then with a partnership with Mercedes Benz to develop Mercedes-branded navigation.
Google’s deal with Mercedes is interesting. Google will be licensing services including YouTube and map data to Mercedes but without the automotive OS, and it will not control the data.
Apple sees the growth potential in the auto industry and likely wants a piece of the pie. This is hinted by Apple’s move to introduce next-generation CarPlay, which will deeply integrate with the vehicle to take over interior screens and instrument cluster.
Since the beginning of 2023, Google has been making news in the automotive industry. First, with the announcement of HD Maps to support assisted driving and then with a partnership with Mercedes Benz to develop Mercedes-branded navigation. The nature of this partnership is unfamiliar to Google; the company usually wants to be in control of the data. So, the question is why Google chose to form this uncommon partnership. To answer this, we have to look at Google’s automotive journey.
Google’s entry into automotive industry
Google is ubiquitous in smartphones thanks to the strong Android user base. The company wanted to bring the same Google services experience to the car through in-vehicle infotainment (IVI). Android Auto bridged the gap between smartphones and cars and allowed its customers to use Google-based apps for navigation, entertainment and communication, as well as Google Assistant. Over time, Android Auto started gaining popularity as users liked being able to have a similar experience across their phones and vehicles, and additionally use free services like Google Maps. According to Counterpoint Research estimates, around 90% of car models sold in the US in 2022 support Android Auto.
Source: Counterpoint Analysis
This is a strong performance, but it was not an easy road for Google/Android Auto to get accepted by auto OEMs as data privacy concerns always loom around Google. Companies like Hyundai, Kia, Volkswagen, GM and Honda were early adopters of Android Auto, while others, including BMW, Toyota, Lexus, Jaguar Land Rover and Infiniti, didn’t introduce Android Auto compatibility until 2018-2020 after getting repeated requests from owners. In the US, the Android installed base is slightly close to 50%, whereas in Europe it is over 70% and close to 80% for the global market. Therefore, it is not surprising that most drivers from these brands own phones running on Android.
Source: Counterpoint Analysis
Google’s ambitious plan to capture automotive market
Google set its sights beyond IVI to take on the challenge of autonomous vehicles (AV) and software-defined vehicles (SDV) with the 2016 formation of Waymo, which started as a self-driving research project, and the announcement of Android Automotive OS, an expansion of its Android Auto initiative. Android Automotive OS (AAOS) is an open-source OS, somewhat replicating Google’s smartphone OS strategy. Running directly on in-vehicle hardware (i.e. head unit), it is a highly modular and full-stack open platform and supports apps built for Android as well as those built for Android Auto.
One standout feature is that AAOS has a suite of applications and services called Google Automotive Services (GAS), which is often marketed as Google Built-in by automakers. The GAS suite offers options to carmakers to integrate different services from Google, like Maps, Play Store and Assistant, directly into the vehicle without the need for an Android smartphone. Automakers can obtain GAS through a licensing fee on top of Android Automotive.
Currently, there are around 20 models available with Android Auto. The latest addition to the list is the 2023 Honda Accord. Several other automakers have announced plans to move to AAOS, but not every automaker is interested in GAS. We list below some major automakers and their plans to use Android Auto and Google services.
Volvo and Polestar: Volvo brand Polestar, with its Polestar 2, was the first automaker to adopt Android Automotive with GAS integration. Volvo’s first all-electric XC40 Recharge was also the first car to run on Android Automotive. In 2022, Volvo announced from 2023 onwards would be equipped with Google infotainment.
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi: In 2018, the alliance announced a partnership with Google to run its infotainment systems on Android Automotive. Renault’s Megane E-Tech was the first car to run on Android OS with GAS. In 2022, the Renault Austral was launched based on Android Automotive. Nissan and Mitsubishi have not announced any plans to launch models based on Google.
General Motors: In 2019, GM announced that its in-vehicle infotainment system would be powered by Android Automotive and feature Google apps and services for vehicles starting 2021. The GMC Hummer EV became the first GM car to be run on Android Automotive with GAS integration. Later, in 2022, mainstream models like the Chevrolet Tahoe, Chevrolet Suburban, Chevrolet Silverado, GMC Sierra and GMC Yukon were launched with Google Built-in.
Stellantis: Before the merger between PSA and FCA, PSA Group announced that Android Automotive would be powering its in-car infotainment system starting from 2023 models. In a different approach, FCA launched the Uconnect 5 based on Android Automotive but without GAS. But after the merger of both brands into Stellantis, the whole group is integrating AAOS for the IVI system.
Ford: Joining its US rival GM, Ford announced a partnership with Google in 2021 to run its SYNC infotainment system, which currently runs on Blackberry QNX OS. Ford plans to integrate GAS into its vehicles from late 2023 onwards.
Honda: The Japanese company was one of the early adopters of Android Automotive OS for the in-car infotainment system with its Honda Connect, based on NVIDIA’s Tegra processor. In 2021, Honda announced the integration of GAS into its vehicles from H2 2022. The 2023 Accord is the first Honda car with Google Built-in services.
BMW: The German brand took a different approach, announcing in 2022 that its new BMW OS 9 would be built on Android Automotive OS. But due to data privacy concerns, it is reluctant to integrate GAS. BMW is also an investor in navigation services provider HERE Technologies.
Lucid: The American company adopted Android Automotive OS for infotainment but did not integrate GAS.
Porsche: The Volkswagen brand was one of the few carmakers that only offered Apple CarPlay but not Android Auto for many years. Porsche released its first car with Android Auto only in 2022. The VW group is facing a lot of criticism due to software issues that are delaying the launch of electric models from its brands Porsche, Audi and Bentley. Hence, Porsche is looking at a strategy shift by taking into account Android Automotive OS and integrating GAS, which will include Google Maps, Google Assistant and Google Play Store, into its IVI.
Google’s road ahead
Google’s deal with Mercedes is interesting. Google will be licensing services including YouTube and map data to Mercedes but without the automotive OS, and it will not control the data. This shift in Google’s approach shows that it is willing to change its strategy to build trust with automakers, especially the Germans who are known to be apprehensive about data privacy.
With the major trends of electrification and ADAS/Autonomous Driving (AD), and some of the EV models already equipped with Google Maps, Google has been adding EV-related features such as EV routing and searching for charging stations in in-vehicle Google Maps. Besides, Google has announced HD Map support for Level-2 hands-free driving and Level-3 driving systems. HD Map will roll out first in the Volvo EX90 and Polestar 3.
Google Maps is challenging the territory of established players like HERE and TomTom. We expect Google will further develop its in-vehicle navigation to make EV use easier and support higher levels of automated driving.
Lastly, the next-generation vehicles will be software-defined vehicles. This will allow companies to generate various recurring software revenue streams. As a result, the car software market will grow. Apple sees this growth potential in the auto industry and likely wants a piece of the pie. This is hinted by Apple’s move to introduce next-generation CarPlay, which will deeply integrate with the vehicle to take over interior screens and instrument cluster, and allow users to control climate and radio. So far, 14 automakers have confirmed to integrate new CarPlay, which is set to launch in late 2023. Therefore, in the future, we may see Apple developing complete software that runs on the vehicle without a partner iPhone, similar to Android Automotive. There are reports that indicate Apple is working on its ‘Apple Car’ as several patents related to cars have been filed by the company. This will allow Apple to replicate its strategy of using its software and services to monetize its hardware.
Therefore, in the era of software-defined vehicles, we may see the next round of battle between tech giants Google and Apple, this time for supremacy in the automotive OS, which will be the heart and soul of the car.
Volkswagen Group led in connected car sales, closely followed by Toyota Group.
4G cars captured more than 95% of connected car sales in 2022.
Tesla broke into the top-10 connected car sales rankings for the first time.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – April 24, 2023
Global connected car sales* grew 12% YoY in 2022 with the share of connected cars in the overall car sales exceeding 50%, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Smart Automotive Service. The US remained the strongest market for connected cars followed by China and Europe. These three markets accounted for nearly 80% of the total connected car sales globally in 2022. Despite having a relatively small share of connected car sales, Japan experienced the highest growth in connected car penetration.
Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhilash Gupta said, “The penetration of connectivity in cars improved during 2022 after struggling in 2020 and 2021. In 2022, new facelift versions of older models like the Honda Civic, Toyota Corolla, Ford Escape and Chevrolet Equinox were introduced with upgraded 4G connectivity and new features. Some prominent features include remote lock/unlock, remote engine start/stop, climate control, vehicle status, location tracking, geofencing, emergency assistance, in-cabin music, video streaming, and over-the-air updates. Next-generation vehicles are being introduced with various connected and autonomous features that require high-speed internet access available through 5G. However, as of now, 5G remains a niche, available only in premium cars like the Ford F-150 Lightning, Cadillac LYRIQ, Mercedes-Benz EQS, Audi e-tron GT, BMW iX and GWM Haval HG.”
Gupta added, “With consumers’ focus shifting to connectivity in the car, non-connected car shipments are steadily declining. The top five automotive groups accounted for nearly half of the connected cars sold in 2022. Volkswagen Group led the charts in terms of connected car sales volume, closely followed by Toyota Group. Tesla broke into the top 10 for the first time.”
Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The shift towards digitization in cars is increasing at a rapid pace and is visible in the consistent rise of connected car penetration globally. Currently, 4G dominates the connected car market with almost 95% share. But as the automotive market is transitioning towards electrification, software-defined vehicles and autonomy, the need for seamless and faster in-vehicle connectivity will be fulfilled through 5G. By 2030, more than 90% of connected cars sold will have embedded 5G connectivity. Connected car sales are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% between 2022 and 2030.”
*Sales here refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries out of factories by respective brands, and consider only passenger cars with embedded connectivity.
The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Connected Car Tracker,Q1 2019-Q4 2022’ and ‘Global Connected Car Forecast, 2019-2030F’ are now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
EV sales during 2022 were over 10.2 million units, a 65% YoY growth.
7 out of the top 10 EV models were from Chinese brands in Q4 2022.
EV sales are expected to reach nearly 17 million units by the end of 2023.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – March 6, 2023
Global passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales in Q4 2022 rose by 53% YoY to bring the 2022 total to over 10.2 million units, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. During Q4 2022, battery EVs (BEV) accounted for almost 72% of all EV sales, while plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) accounted for the rest. The top three EV markets were China, Germany and the US. The top 10 EV automotive groups, which hold more than 39 passenger car brands, contributed to almost 72% of all EV sales in Q4 2022.
Commenting on market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “EV sales were at an all-time high during Q4 2022. The annual total for 2022 would have reached close to 11 million units had fresh COVID-19 infections not surfaced in China. COVID-19 infections in China during November and December affected automotive production and sales and disrupted the component supply chain. Despite these headwinds, Chinese brands managed to record strong growth. In fact, in 2022, many Chinese brands started to expand in markets like Europe, Southeast Asia and Latin America. Chinese brands are likely to dominate in Southeast Asia and Latin America as there are very few brands operating in these regions. But a fight for market presence is expected in Europe.”
The top 10 EV models accounted for one-third of the total passenger EV sales in Q4 2022. Tesla’s Model Y remained the best-selling model globally followed by BYD’s Song. The Model Y also became the top-selling model in Europe for two consecutive months in Q4 2022. 7 out of the top 10 best-selling EV models in Q4 2022 were from BYD and Wuling. These two brands predominantly operate in China, highlighting the positive evolution of the country’s EV market.Discussing the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “EVs are becoming mainstream faster than expected. By the end of 2023, EV sales are expected to reach nearly 17 million units. This year, the US’ EV sales will see a boost as models become slightly more affordable due to the $7,500 tax credit. The end of the purchase subsidy in China might push EV manufacturers to increase their prices. BYD has already implemented one price hike in January. But these price hikes are unlikely to affect EV sales in one of the most matured EV markets. Lithium prices are also expected to come down during the second half of 2023, which will benefit EV sales.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.
*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
The annual Consumer Electronics Show (CES), held in Las Vegas from January 5 to 8 this year, focused primarily on the automotive, IoT, smart home, healthcare, metaverse and XR, AI and computing segments. Counterpoint’s automotive team analyzed over 150 automotive-related announcements during CES to identify key trends. The main focus of the automotive industry at this year’s CES was on electric vehicles (EV), followed by autonomous vehicles, infotainment, connectivity, components and maps. There was a lot of excitement surrounding autonomous vehicles at the event, but EVs accounted for the biggest share of news flow.
Here are the top 10 automotive announcements from this year’s CES, according to Counterpoint analysts:
1. Qualcomm unveils Snapdragon Ride Flex SoC to bring software-defined vehicles to reality
Qualcomm announced the Snapdragon Ride Flex SoC, a disruptive solution for expanding its low-power, advanced computing capabilities into the automotive space as part of its Snapdragon Digital Chassis initiative. This solution is built on a heterogenous compute architecture that addresses multiple workloads and is pre-integrated with the Snapdragon Ride Vision Stack. This gives automakers the flexibility to use the Ride Vision Stack across all vehicle tiers without sacrificing performance. In addition, its cloud-native architecture enables a smooth workflow for software development and deployment. The Snapdragon Ride Flex SoC is expected to go into production by 2024. Qualcomm is striving to maintain its leadership position in the software-defined vehicle era and make the transition easier for automakers and tier-1 suppliers.
For a more detailed report on CES 2023’s automotive announcements, click here:
2. Sony Honda Mobility introduces Afeela EV brand
Sony Honda Mobility finally announced its JV brand Afeela, which will bring its first EV model to North America in 2026 followed by Japan and Europe. Afeela’s first production model was teased at CES 2023. Sony and Honda announced their JV back in March 2022. Afeela will introduce a series of EV models that will carry Sony’s expertise in IVI systems, ADAS components and in-cabin electronics, while Honda will contribute to the brand’s performance with its e-powertrain system as well as battery sourcing and charging capabilities. According to the announcement, Afeela aims to offer better vehicles at a relatively lower cost. These EVs are expected to be positioned above Honda’s own EVs, but whether Afeela will share the same slot with Honda’s premium Acura brand is yet to be determined.
3. BMW previews next-gen color-changing concept with ‘digital emotional experience’
BWM previewed its next-gen 3 series concept model based on the Neue Klasse platform. The new i Vision Dee concept (Dee stands for ‘digital emotional experience’) showcased a monolithic exterior styling that can be divided into 240 different segments. The whole exterior can support different design styles like stripes, patterns and animation, and can curate up to 32 different colors. Though detailed specifications have not been shared, i Vision Dee features a new OS and a new fully controllable HUD with windscreen projection. Traditional infotainment has been removed. The dashboard conceals various touch sensors which can be used to display content on the HUD. The model will be powered by BMW’s sixth-generation EV powertrain and is expected to enter production in 2025 as a BMW i3 successor.
4. Volkswagen showcases new ID.7 wrapped in electroluminescent camouflage
Volkswagen showcased its sixth all-electric ID model, the VW ID.7, wrapped in special QR code-inspired camouflage to hide the final styling. The camouflage was inspired by electroluminescent technology which lights up 22 different sectors of the car. Volkswagen disclosed some technical details before the model’s final reveal during the second quarter of 2023. Initially, the ID.7 will have a 77kWh battery pack and a claimed 700-km range. The interior will feature a 15-inch touchscreen infotainment system, an AR-based HUD and a smart HVAC system that can automatically modify the cabin temperature when the key fob is close. Volkswagen expects its new model will compete with Hyundai’s Ioniq 6 and Tesla’s Model 3.
5. LG, Magna form second JV for ‘executable’ autonomous driving, infotainment solutions
Two of the biggest tech companies LG and Magna have again joined hands to develop solutions for automated driving by leveraging their areas of expertise. LG and Magna already have a JV that manufactures e-powertrain and other hardware like inverters, motors and onboard chargers for EVs. The new JV will explore the ADAS and AV market to develop “executable” automated driving and infotainment solutions to enhance customer experience by addressing the toughest challenges. LG’s vehicle component arm has been eyeing new openings in the automotive market and believes the increased connectivity of cars of the future presents new opportunities.
6. Harman aims to make driving assistance more intuitive, safer
Harman is all set to deliver enhanced in-cabin safety and awareness through its AR-based HUD hardware and AR-based software products. Harman has been a trusted name for vehicle audio for decades but now as the automotive industry makes a transition towards software-based experiences, the company has developed its own technology that enhances the drivers’ experience by bridging the gap between physical and digital worlds in a non-intrusive manner through its AR-based HUDs. Harman’s Ready Vision uses ML-based 3D object detection and computer vision to deliver collision warnings, lane departure, low-speed zone notification, blind spot warnings and lane change assist with high precision without breaking the driver’s concentration. Harman claims Ready Vision works with precision even in the most unfamiliar driving scenarios, making driving safer.
7. BlackBerry has a busy CES with launches, partnerships
BlackBerry’s IVY software platform, developed in collaboration with Amazon, won its first design contract with PATEO for the all-electric VOYAH H97 model’s digital cockpit. BlackBerry also launched QNX Accelerate, which supports the QNX RTOS and QNX OS for safety in the AWS marketplace. Leading tier-1 suppliers like Continental and Marelli are already testing it to create automotive metaverse environments for software-defined vehicles. BlackBerry is partnering with Elektrobit to develop automotive safety solutions using the Rust programming language. It has also formed partnerships with Texas Instruments for embedded software development and with Garmin for improving the in-car experience. These partnerships show that BlackBerry is attempting to regain market presence through its infotainment, security and OS products.
8. Innoviz launches new LiDAR, forms multiple partnerships
Innoviz, a leading player in solid-state LiDAR sensors and perception software, unveiled the Innoviz360, a cost-effective and high-performance LiDAR that will support a range of non-automotive applications such as smart cities, logistics, maritime, heavy machinery, and construction, in addition to Level 4-5 (L4 and L5) autonomy applications. Loxo, a zero-emission autonomous vehicle provider for last-mile delivery, has partnered with Innoviz to use the InnovisOne LiDAR. Deep-tech company EXways, which works in 3D LiDAR processing, has also partnered with Innoviz to leverage the technology for multiple applications.
Innoviz has previously formed partnerships with major automakers such as BMW and Volkswagen, as well as tier-1 supplier Magna. At CES, Innoviz also showcased the InnovizTwo LiDAR, which it claims offers a 30x performance improvement over the InnovizOne and a 70% cost reduction. With the growing adoption of autonomous vehicles, LiDAR technology is expected to be high in demand as major auto OEMs including Mercedes-Benz, Nissan, BMW, Stellantis, Volkswagen and Volvo plan to use it.
NVIDIA is partnering with Hyundai Motor, BYD and Polestar to offer a cloud gaming experience through its NVIDIA GeForce NOW service for cars. GeForce users will be able to access over 1,000 paid and free games through this service. While video games are not new in cars, the addition of GeForce will provide a more PC-like gaming experience. This will also drive the trend of cellular connectivity in the passenger vehicle market, as cloud gaming will require embedded 4G or 5G connectivity.
10. Google launches HD maps, partners with Volvo, Polestar
Google announced that it would make HD maps available for Level 2+ autonomous vehicles. The Volvo EX90 and Polestar 3 will use Google’s HD maps service in addition to Google’s Android Auto solution. While Google is gaining some traction in the automotive sector through its Android Auto offerings, it will face strong competition from existing players like HERE and TomTom whose offerings in HD maps and other related services are helping them maintain leadership in the location platform market. To compete with these leading players and local players like Amap, Navinfo, Naver, MapmyIndia and Zenrin, Google is seeking to enhance the user experience in this segment.
EV sales in the US grew by 52% YoY during Q3 2022.
Top 10 EV models constituted almost 70% of EV sales.
US EV sales are expected to exceed 10 million units annuallyby 2030.
New Delhi,London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – January 4, 2023
The US electric vehicle* (EV) sales** grew by almost 52% YoY during Q3 2022 despite macroeconomic headwinds, according to Counterpoint Global Passenger Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. Battery EVs (BEVs) constituted over 80% of the total US EV sales. BEV sales grew by more than 78% YoY during Q3. Tesla’s Q3 sales eclipsed the next 15 brands combined.
Commenting on market dynamics, Associate Director Hanish Bhatia said, “Overall US passenger vehicle sales will likely suffer due to macroeconomic pressures until at least mid-2023. Higher interest rates are hitting both loan and leasing routes to ownership. However, the affordability of EVs will be revitalized once EV policies and credit subsidies take effect.”
Source: Counterpoint Global Passenger Vehicle Model Sales Tracker, Q3 2022
Market summary
Teslasales in the US grew by more than 56% YoY during the quarter. Although Tesla has had some headwinds in meeting orders and delivering vehicles, it has remained the undisputed market leader for at least the previous 19 quarters. The Model Y and Model 3 are its most sold models.
Ford sold over 18,000 EV units during Q3, registering almost 132% YoY growth. With the introduction of the electric version of the best-selling F-150, the company has been able to mark its position in the US EV market.
Chevrolet catapulted its EV sales growth rate by 225% YoY to over 14,000 units. The Bolt and Bolt EUV are the only two Chevrolet EV models being offered currently. The Bolt EUV sales volume almost quadrupled from the previous year. The brand is on track to introduce three new EV models – Silverado EV, Equinox EV and Blazer EV.
The top 10 best-selling EV models constituted almost 70% of the country’s EV sales in Q3. Tesla’s Model Y has been the best-selling EV model since the third quarter of 2020.
Commenting on the market outlook, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “Tax credits are expected to boost EV demand. Moreover, a price reduction is expected as more battery manufacturing firms are being set up across the North American continent. Batteries constitute 40% to 45% of the cost of EVs. The availability of multiple battery suppliers and a decrease in logistics costs for batteries will positively impact the US EV market. EV sales in the US are expected to exceed 10 million units annually by 2030 at a CAGR of 37%, according to Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Vehicle Forecast.”
*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. This study does not include hybrid EVs and fuel-cell vehicles.
**Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.
Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.
Background
Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.
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Commenting on the market outlook, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “If the current growth trajectory continues, annual BEV sales in the US will exceed 1 million units by the end of 2023. However, rising inventories are expected to become a problem for automakers. EV-related investments by auto OEMs are rapidly growing across the North American continent. These investments, which cover EV production ramps, components and battery, and charging infrastructure, have already crossed $100 billion. Most EV brands are preparing to launch new models or update existing models from 2024 onwards. To address the inventory challenges, OEMs will either need to reduce prices or limit production, both of which will hurt their financial performance.”
