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China’s EV Makers Face Q2 2023 Domestic Slowdown as Overseas Markets Set to Overtake 10% Milestone

  • China’s EV market growth continued to slow, with Q2 2023 EV unit sales seeing a rise of only 37% YoY – lower than the global average
  • Strong results from four of China’s big 5 EV makers were offset by a mix of tepid and disappointing results across a range of key manufacturers
  • Chinese OEMs look prepped to expand globally, with share of global (ex-China) auto sales set to pass a significant 10% milestone in Q3 2023
  • SAIC Group and BYD Auto account for the bulk of exports, with the latter well positioned for long-term growth as it enters Europe in earnest later this year

Beijing, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Boston, Seoul – September 8, 2023

According to Counterpoint Research’s latest China Passenger Electric Vehicle Tracker, Q2 2023 battery electric vehicle (BEV) unit sales in the country grew only 37% YoY, lower than the global average of 50%, highlighting a slowdown in domestic growth as the frail Chinese economy impacted demand in the world’s biggest EV market.

BYD Auto and Tesla continued to dominate unfazed, accounting for more than one-third of domestic unit sales. But the market also saw GAC Group establish itself as a solid number three on the back of strong demand for its line of compact Aion sedan and hatchbacks as it aggressively reduced prices in the midst of a price war.

“We’re also seeing strong numbers from several mid-sized domestic players that are having success across a broad range of vehicles – from sub-compact city cars through to long-range luxury cruisers. But many automakers are struggling as the market eases,” notes Ethan Qi, Associate Director. “China’s a big market but there’s also a lot of small carmakers, so any kind of slowdown and you’re probably going to see some consolidation as weaker companies inevitably exit.”

 

China Passenger EV* Unit Sales Share and YoY Growth by Auto Group

Source: Counterpoint Research China Passenger EV Tracker. *Battery electric vehicles (BEV) only.

Many Chinese OEMs are looking externally for growth and are gaining a foothold in markets like Europe and Asia. “If you exclude China, by far the biggest market for EVs globally is Western Europe. It’s not China, but growth has started to accelerate this quarter,” says Qi. “Right now it’s all about MG, the SAIC-owned British badge that’s spearheading Chinese growth in the region with its compact cars and SUVs. It’s filling a vacuum in the affordable segment, where traditional names are struggling to supply consumers with EVs in that $20,000 – $40,000 sweet spot.  This is where Chinese brands have a lot of depth.”

 

Chinese OEM Overseas EV Sales and Market Share

Source: Counterpoint Research Global Passenger EV Tracker

BYD Auto is enjoying success across a diverse group of markets mainly in Asia, but it is gearing up for Europe growth with new models to be shipped into the region later this year.

Ivan Lam, Senior Analyst, Manufacturing, notes, “BYD has all the classic advantages of a Chinese tech company  including scale and proximity to the supply chain. What makes them stand out even more is their vertical integration right through to the battery. This helps them dominate at home. And as they expand production outside China, it will also make them a serious threat to global competitors.”

“I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re able to grab a lot of share quickly because of the latent demand for affordable EVs in Europe. And a planned 2025 factory will only bolster their advantage over the long term,” muses Lam. “The maxim ‘If you can make it in China, you can make it anywhere’ really does apply here.”

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Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Global Electric Vehicle Market Share, Q3 2021 – Q2 2023

Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Market Share, Q3 2021 – Q2 2023

Published date: August 31, 2023

This page depicts our quarterly data for global electric vehicle sales market share from Q3 2021 to Q2 2023.

Global electric vehicle market share Q2 2023
Note: For Electric vehicles, we consider only BEV in this study.
Global Passenger Electric Vehicle* Market Share, Q3 2021 – Q2 2023
Auto Group Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023
Tesla 20% 19% 21% 16% 17% 17% 22% 20%
BYD Auto 9% 9% 10% 12% 13% 15% 14% 15%
Volkswagen Group 10% 10% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7%
Others 60% 62% 62% 65% 63% 60% 57% 58%

Source: Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker: Q1 2018 – Q2 2023

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Global electric vehicle market highlights:

  • BEV sales during Q2 2023 grew over 50% YoY.
  • One in every 10 cars sold during Q2 2023 was a pure battery electric vehicle (BEV).
  • China remained the leader in global BEV sales followed by USA and Germany.
  • BEV sales in the USA grew by almost 57% YoY, the highest among the top 3 EV markets.
  • Tesla Model Y retained its title as the ‘best-selling’ passenger car globally.
  • With the present growth trajectory, total BEV sales are expected to reach over 10 million units by the end of 2023.

Top Electric Vehicle Brands highlights:

Tesla: Tesla sales soared by 83% YoY during Q2 2023. Tesla Model Y accounted for 64% of Tesla’s global sales. Model Y retained its title as the ‘best-selling’ passenger car model globally.

BYD Auto: During Q2 2023, BYD Auto’s BEV sales grew by 96% YoY, faster than Tesla. BYD Yuan Plus (or Atto 3) was the best-selling BYD model followed by BYD Dolphin and BYD Seagull. BYD Seagull was introduced in April 2023 during the Shanghai auto expo. BYD Seagull also ranked #9 among the top 10 best-selling BEV models globally. BYD exported over 35,000 EVs during Q2 2023. Almost two-thirds of its exported BEVs were sold in Thailand, Israel and Australia.

Volkswagen Group: BEV sales of VW group grew by 48% YoY during Q2 2023. VW ID.4, Audi Q4-etron and VW ID.3 are the top 3 best-selling models of the group, accounting for nearly 50% of the group’s total BEV sales.

* Our present analysis takes Pure Battery EVs (BEVs) into account. We have removed Plug-in Hybrid EVs (PHEVs) from our analysis to avoid confusion.

For our detailed research on the global EV sales market in Q2 2023, click here.

For a more detailed electric vehicle model sales tracker, click below:

 

Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker: Q1 2018 – Q2 2023

This report tracks the global passenger vehicle sales* by brand and by model across 23 regions (China, USA, Germany, UK, France, Spain, Japan, India, Italy, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Brazil, Argentina, Russia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, ROE, LATAM, MEA and Oceania) quarterly. The report will help to understand regional trends, brand dynamics and type of EV penetration. The period covered in this report is from Q1 2018 to Q2 2023.

*Sales here refers to wholesale figures, i.e., deliveries out of factories by respective brands/companies.

*Under electric vehicles, the report only considers battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). Hybrid electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included.

Table of Contents:

•  Definition
•  Pivot Table
•  Flatfile

Note: Numbers based on passenger vehicles only.  For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

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Southeast Asia BEV Sales Grow 10x YoY in Q1 2023, Thailand Leads

  • Thailand accounted for over 75% of BEV sales in the SEA region during Q1 2023.
  • Three out of every four BEVs sold were from a Chinese automaker.
  • The top three groups accounted for 68% of BEV sales.
  • BYD’s Atto 3 was the best-selling BEV.

New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – July 20, 2023

Southeast Asia’s# (SEA’s) passenger battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales* grew by almost 10 times YoY in Q1 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s SEA Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. The share of BEVs in total passenger vehicle sales experienced significant growth in Q1 2023, reaching 3.8% compared to a mere 0.3% one year ago. Thailand emerged as the leading country, capturing over 75% of the BEV sales, followed by Indonesia and Vietnam. Thailand also boasted the highest proportion of BEVs in total passenger vehicle sales, followed by Singapore and Vietnam. However, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales saw a modest YoY growth of 5.8%.

SEA region BEV sales share by major countries, Q1 2023

Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhilash Gupta said, “Thailand’s government-led efforts to promote EV sales have yielded positive outcomes, while Indonesia and Vietnam are also performing well in the region. However, Malaysia, Philippines and Myanmar require additional regulatory support and encouragement to foster EV growth. Despite overall passenger vehicle sales remaining relatively stagnant, the sales of BEVs have experienced a significant and rapid expansion. Besides, the market for hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) has experienced remarkable growth in SEA, playing a pivotal role in the transition from traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to EVs.”

Gupta added, “Chinese auto groups are experiencing rapid growth and outpacing their competitors in the SEA region, with their market share increasing from 38% a year ago to nearly 75%. In Q1 2023, BYD Group emerged as the BEV leader in the SEA region, capturing the majority of sales, followed by Hozon New Energy, and SAIC Group. These top three groups collectively accounted for over 68% of the BEV market. In the PHEV market, Geely Holding Group claimed the top position, followed by BMW Group, and Mercedes-Benz Group.”

BYD’s Atto 3 was the best-selling BEV across SEA, followed by the Neta V and Tesla Model Y. In PHEVs, Volvo’s XC60 sold the most, followed by the BMW 3 series and Mercedes-Benz E-Class.

SEA top 3 BEV sales share, Q1 2023 & SEA top 3 PHEV sales share, Q1 2023

Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “In addition to offering subsidies and tax incentives, Thailand’s government has set ambitious goals to position itself as a global hub for EV production. The country’s EV sector has witnessed a significant rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) in the past year. Notably, several Chinese automakers, including Great Wall Motors, BYD, Hozon New Energy and Changan Automobile, have shown interest in establishing or have already commenced the construction of production facilities in Thailand. Similarly, Indonesia announced a subsidy package in March 2023 to promote the purchase and manufacturing of EVs, with a special focus on increasing local production. This move is expected to further accelerate the production and sales of EVs in the region.”

Mandal added, “The Chinese presence in the SEA EV market is poised to strengthen as they establish regional manufacturing bases, thereby driving further growth in the EV sector. The overall sales of EVs are experiencing an upward trajectory in the SEA region. The outlook appears promising, and there is an expectation that the share of BEVs in total vehicle sales will reach 6% by the end of this year.”

*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.

#SEA here includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Southeast Asia Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker, Q1 2018 – Q1 2023’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Soumen Mandal

 

Abhik Mukherjee

 

Peter Richardson

 

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China EV Sales Defy Subsidy Cuts, Maintain Strong Growth in Q1 2023

  • BYD continued to lead China’s increasingly competitive EV market.
  • The market share of foreign brands declined by 4% points.
  • EV sales are expected to exceed 8 million units in 2023.

Beijing, New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Seoul – June 27, 2023

China’s passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales grew 29% YoY in Q1 2023, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s China Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. Battery EVs (BEVs) made up nearly 70% of the sales. There was a remarkable 88% YoY surge in plug-in hybrid EV (PHEV) sales as well. Recently, PHEVs have been experiencing increased popularity in China. BYD secured its leading position with 79% sales growth and 9.8% points increase in market share YoY. The top 10 automotive groups, encompassing 28 brands, collectively accounted for over 80% of the total passenger EV sales.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “The discontinuation of the 13-year-old New Energy Vehicle (NEV) purchase subsidy, paired with the Tesla-triggered price war, had an adverse impact on domestic EV start-ups. Especially, smart EV brands such as NIO, Xpeng and Neta reported disappointing sales figures compared to the previous quarter. Foreign brands, like Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Tesla, Hyundai and Nissan, experienced a combined 4% points decrease in market share compared to a year ago. However, Tesla stands out as an exception. Other foreign brands have struggled to offer strong competition to domestic brands. Furthermore, Chinese brands such as BYD Auto, Dongfeng Motors, FAW, Great Wall Motors and Geely Auto are venturing beyond domestic borders to establish their presence across Europe, Latin America and Asia-Pacific.”

China EV sales share Q1 2023 - China EV Sales Q1 2023

Eight of the top 10 best-selling EV models were of Chinese origin in Q1 2023. Except Tesla, no foreign models were able to secure a position in the top 10. The top 10 best-selling models collectively accounted for 46% of China’s passenger EV sales. Moreover, all the top 5 best-selling PHEV models in Q1 2023 were manufactured by BYD Auto.

China Top 5 models - China EV Sales Q1 2023

Discussing the market outlook, Associate Director Brady Wang said, “The growth trajectory of China’s passenger EV market is expected to continue throughout 2023. Other supportive policies have been implemented to boost the market’s growth after the elimination of NEV purchase subsidies. In May, China’s Development and Reform Commission released a strategic document aimed at promoting EV adoption in rural areas. This will encourage auto manufacturers to introduce more affordable models, enhance sales systems, and facilitate trade-in services for rural consumers. We expect China’s EV sales to exceed 8 million units by the end of 2023.”

*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brand/company.

*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘China Passenger Electric Vehicle Sales Tracker, Q1 2018-Q1 2023’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

 Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Soumen Mandal

 

 Neil Shah

 

Brady Wang

 

Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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Global EV Sales Up 32% YoY in Q1 2023 Driven by Price War

  • One in every seven cars sold during Q1 2023 was an EV.
  • Tesla Model Y becomes the best-selling passenger car model globally for the first time ever.
  • EV sales are expected to reach over 14.5 million units by the end of 2023.

New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – June 7, 2023

Global passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales in Q1 2023 rose 32% YoY, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. One in every seven cars sold during Q1 2023 was an EV. Battery EVs (BEVs) accounted for 73% of all EV sales during the quarter, while plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) made up the rest.

The US surpassed Germany to become the world’s second-largest EV market in Q1 2023 while China remained the leader. In China, EV sales experienced a remarkable 29% YoY growth, despite a 12% decline in overall sales of passenger vehicles in the country. In the US, EV sales soared over 79% YoY during the quarter. The top 10 automotive groups, encompassing 48 automotive brands, dominated the global EV market in Q1 2023, capturing three-fourths of the total global EV sales.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “Global EV sales were largely driven by China with 56% of total EV sales in Q1 2023 coming from this market. The elimination of the NEV purchase subsidy in China resulted in lower-than-expected EV sales in January 2023. Tesla slashed prices for its models globally in January, following which other automotive brands announced similar cuts for their car models starting in February, which led to an improvement in EV sales. During February and March, almost 40 automakers, including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Volkswagen, BMW, MercedesBenz, Nissan, Honda and Toyota, reduced their vehicle prices by a couple of hundred dollars to tens of thousands of dollars, which eventually stoked a competitive price war in China. Initially, it was thought that the price war would end soon and that auto OEMs would benefit from increased sales. However, as the price war continues to stretch, several automakers in China have reported reduced earnings and even losses.”

Global passenger EV Sales share Q1 2023

The top 10 EV models accounted for 37% of the total passenger EV sales in Q1 2023. Tesla’s Model Y remained the best-selling model globally followed by Tesla’s Model 3 and BYD’s Song. In Q1 2023, Tesla’s Model Y achieved the notable distinction of becoming the best-selling passenger car model worldwide, surpassing even conventional fuel vehicles.

Global passenger EV Sales model rank Q1 2023

Commenting on the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “Although sales of the traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles remained stable in Q1 2023 compared with that in the year-ago period, the significant growth in EV sales indicates a rapid transition from traditional vehicles to EVs.”

“By the end of 2023, global EV sales are expected to surpass 14.5 million units, according to our forecast. With the implementation of the EV tax credit subsidy in the US, EV sales in the country are projected to significantly increase this year. To meet the eligibility criteria for the tax credit, automotive OEMs are moving to partner with battery suppliers and establish battery manufacturing plants across North America. Consequently, the US is poised to surpass the EU in the race to build EV batteries.”

*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brand/company.

*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Sales Tracker, Q1 2018-Q1 2023’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

 Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Abhik Mukherjee

Soumen Mandal

Neil Shah

 Peter Richardson

 

 Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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One in Four Cars Sold in China in 2022 Was an EV With BYD Powering Country’s Outperformance

  • China’s EV sales almost doubled in 2022 with 87% YoY growth.
  • BYD led the market, followed by GM Group, Tesla, Geely Holding and GAC Group.
  • China’s EV sales are expected to exceed 8 million units in 2023.

New Delhi, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Seoul – March 15, 2023

China’s passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales almost doubled in 2022, growing 87% YoY, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. EVs now account for one in four cars sold in China. Interestingly, the share of battery EVs (BEVs) in the country’s total EV sales decreased in 2022, with plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) increasing their share to 24%. China was the second fastest-growing market among the world’s top 10 EV markets in 2022 in terms of sales. Japan was on top with a 119% YoY growth. Nevertheless, China accounted for nearly 59% of the global EV sales volume.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “China’s EV market is the most vibrant globally. More than 94 brands cumulatively offer over 300 models ranging from just $5,000 to over $90,000. Local brands command 81% of the EV market, among which BYD, Wuling, Chery, Changan and GAC are a few of the top players. China also has a wide range of EV start-ups, like Nio, Xpeng, Neta, AITO, IM Motors, Zeeker, Aiways and Livan, which are performing well and are giving strong competition to established foreign brands.”China EV Sales Top 5 EV Players in 2022

Mandal added, “In China, Tesla experienced a nearly 5% YoY drop in its market share due to production halts in April and May 2022 caused by the resurgence of COVID-19. Although production resumed at full capacity in June, Tesla faced challenges such as the availability of a limited product mix, increased costs due to a difficult supply situation, competition from affordable options offered by EV start-ups, and domestic sentiment that hindered its efforts to solidify its position in the Chinese market. Meanwhile, BYD increased its market share by more than 11% YoY in 2022, with six out of the top 10 models in the Chinese market coming from the brand, compared to just three in 2021.”

In 2022, the top 10 EV models accounted for almost 45% of the total EV sales, a 3% decrease from 2021. This suggests that new start-ups are offering strong competition to established players. Further, in Q4 2022, the BYD Song surpassed the Wuling Hongguang MINI EV as the top-selling EV model, ending the latter’s eight-quarter reign in the market.

China EV Sales - Top 10 Models in 2022

Discussing the market outlook, Associate Director Brady Wang said, “We expect EV sales to exceed 8 million units in 2023. In January 2023, BYD raised its EV prices by $250-$900 due to the rising cost of raw materials and phasing out of EV purchase subsidies. Later, in February and following Tesla, BYD announced price reductions. The prices of the 2021 versions of the Han and Qin models were reduced by an average of $2,500. The prices of new BYD models were slashed by $860-$1,150. The phasing out of subsidies and the wealth of EV players can easily lead to a price war as brands fight for market share.”

*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.

*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Sales Tracker, Q1 2018-Q4 2022’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Soumen Mandal

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Abhik Mukherjee

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Brady Wang

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Neil Shah

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Global Electric Vehicle Sales Crossed 10 Million in 2022; Q4 Sales up 53% YoY

  • EV sales during 2022 were over 10.2 million units, a 65% YoY growth.
  • 7 out of the top 10 EV models were from Chinese brands in Q4 2022.
  • EV sales are expected to reach nearly 17 million units by the end of 2023.

New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – March 6, 2023

Global passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales in Q4 2022 rose by 53% YoY to bring the 2022 total to over 10.2 million units, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. During Q4 2022, battery EVs (BEV) accounted for almost 72% of all EV sales, while plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) accounted for the rest. The top three EV markets were China, Germany and the US. The top 10 EV automotive groups, which hold more than 39 passenger car brands, contributed to almost 72% of all EV sales in Q4 2022.

Commenting on market dynamics, Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “EV sales were at an all-time high during Q4 2022. The annual total for 2022 would have reached close to 11 million units had fresh COVID-19 infections not surfaced in China. COVID-19 infections in China during November and December affected automotive production and sales and disrupted the component supply chain. Despite these headwinds, Chinese brands managed to record strong growth. In fact, in 2022, many Chinese brands started to expand in markets like Europe, Southeast Asia and Latin America. Chinese brands are likely to dominate in Southeast Asia and Latin America as there are very few brands operating in these regions. But a fight for market presence is expected in Europe.”

Global top 10 EV groups sales share

The top 10 EV models accounted for one-third of the total passenger EV sales in Q4 2022. Tesla’s Model Y remained the best-selling model globally followed by BYD’s Song. The Model Y also became the top-selling model in Europe for two consecutive months in Q4 2022. 7 out of the top 10 best-selling EV models in Q4 2022 were from BYD and Wuling. These two brands predominantly operate in China, highlighting the positive evolution of the country’s EV market.Top 10 EV Models Q4 2022Discussing the market outlook, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “EVs are becoming mainstream faster than expected. By the end of 2023, EV sales are expected to reach nearly 17 million units. This year, the US’ EV sales will see a boost as models become slightly more affordable due to the $7,500 tax credit. The end of the purchase subsidy in China might push EV manufacturers to increase their prices. BYD has already implemented one price hike in January. But these price hikes are unlikely to affect EV sales in one of the most matured EV markets. Lithium prices are also expected to come down during the second half of 2023, which will benefit EV sales.”

*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.

*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Sales Tracker, Q1 2018-Q4 2022’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Abhik Mukherjee

Soumen Mandal

 

Neil Shah

 

 Peter Richardson

 

 Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

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‘Made in India’ Smartphone Shipments Decline 8% YoY in Q3 2022 Due to Fall in Local Demand

  • OPPO led the ‘Made in India’ smartphone shipments with a 24% share, followed by Samsung.
  • Bharat FIH remained the top EMS player in terms of smartphone shipments.
  • Among Indian players, Dixon emerged as the top smartphone EMS provider. 

New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires – December 27, 2022

‘Made in India’ smartphone shipments declined 8% YoY in Q3 2022 (July-September) to reach over 52 million units, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Made in India service. This is the first decline reported this year. Economic headwinds that led to a decline in consumer demand, and market uncertainties due to geopolitics were the prime reasons for the contraction.

Commenting on the local manufacturing ecosystem, Senior Research Analyst Prachir Singh said, “The Made in India smartphone shipments declined in Q3 2022 as compared to Q3 2021. Two major forces impacted the growth of such smartphone shipments. First, the decline in consumer demand, especially in the entry-level segment, due to the negative macroeconomic indicators. Second, the high channel inventory at the start of the quarter also impacted the manufacturing during the quarter. The country’s smartphone manufacturing ecosystem continues to grow with almost 63% of such shipments coming from in-house manufacturers and 37% from third-party EMS players. OPPO led the Made in India smartphone shipments in Q3 with a 24% share, followed by Samsung and vivo. BYD and Lava were the fastest-growing manufacturers in terms of smartphone shipments. Further, we will continue to see PLI disbursements in subsequent quarters, which will add to the local manufacturing landscape. Overall, the manufacturing trend is witnessing an upward trajectory with multiple partnerships happening in recent months, like the ones between Tata Group and Wistron and between Foxconn and Vedanta.”

India Smartphone Shipment Share by Manufacturer Q3 2022
Source: Counterpoint Made in India Research, Q3 2022
Note: Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding

On the Indian government’s focus, Research Analyst Priya Joseph said, “On the regulatory front, despite the adverse global climate, the Indian smartphone market has remained resilient. The government’s efforts to bring about a supply chain shift and make India a manufacturing hub with constant policy interventions in the form of PLI schemes has helped the country to attract major global players across the value chain. Further, the government is actively pursuing the target of expanding the local value addition from the present 17-18% to 25% in the near future.”

Looking ahead, we believe that the manufacturing volumes will grow with an increasing focus of the OEMs to export to other countries. Increasing local value addition and exports have been the main focus points of the government under the ‘Make in India’ scheme.

Notes:

  • OPPO manufactures smartphones for OPPO, realme and OnePlus.
  • Bharat FIH manufactures smartphones for Xiaomi.
  • Dixon Technologies manufactures smartphones for Samsung.
  • Dixon Technologies’ share does not include Padget Electronics.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts:

Prachir Singh

Priya Joseph

Tarun Pathak

Follow Counterpoint Research

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BYD Widens Gap with Tesla in Q3 2022, Leads Global EV Market

  • Three of the top five best-selling EV brands in Q3 2022 were from China.
  • The top 10 EV models accounted for more than 35% of global EV sales.
  • EVs constituted over 15% of the world’s passenger vehicle sales in Q3 2022.

New Delhi, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, Beijing, Seoul – December 1, 2022

Global passenger electric vehicle* (EV) sales grew 71% YoY in Q3 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Model Sales Tracker. In total EV sales, battery EVs (BEVs) accounted for almost 74% and plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) the rest. China remained the market leader in EV sales, followed by Europe and the US. China’s EV sales increased by over 100% YoY to exceed 1.7 million units from just 0.88 million units in Q3 2021. BYD Auto continued to lead the global EV market during the quarter. The Chinese automaker also managed to widen its gap with the second-placed Tesla.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “As semiconductor supplies ease, together with better availability of raw materials for batteries, global EV sales are increasing. Among nations, China is dominating the global EV market single-handedly. Three of the top five best-selling EV brands are from China. All three brands operate predominantly in China, highlighting the China EV market’s positive evolution.”

Counterpoint_top 5 EV brand market share

Market Summary

BYD Auto remained the global market leader, shipping more than 537,000 EV units, an increase of 197% YoY. Its top three models – BYD Song, BYD Qin and BYD Han – contributed to over 56% of the company’s sales during the quarter. BYD’s overseas operations have been picking up fast; it sold almost 17,000 EV units across various regions including Europe, Latin America, Southeast Asia, Middle East and Africa, and Oceania in Q3 2022.

Tesla’s global sales grew 43% YoY in Q3 2022 to over 343,000 units. The company saw increased demand for its vehicles in Europe this quarter. The smoothing production ramp in its Berlin factory helped deliver a record number of Model Ys in Germany this quarter. However, deliveries fell short of expectations due to logistics bottlenecks.

Wuling grew by 31% YoY to hold the third rank in the global EV market. The brand’s Hongguang Mini EV model has remained the undisputed market leader since its release in the second half of 2020. Mini-electric car sales in China are high as they cost less, are eligible for subsidies and serve the purpose.

Volkswagen’s EV sales increased by 28% YoY to recover from their Q2 dip. The ID.4, ID.3 and ID.6 series had the top-selling Volkswagen models during the quarter. The company showed impressive results in China with its EV sales growing 79% YoY and 35% QoQ. Although the brand’s sales in Europe and the US recovered sequentially, neither region registered YoY growth.

GAC Motor emerged as the fifth top-selling brand, overtaking BMW and Mercedes-Benz. During Q3 2022, GAC sold more than 85,000 units to record a YoY growth of 145%. GAC spearheaded its Aion series, with the Aion Y as the top-selling model. The company operates only in China.

Chinese EV brands are making strong and steady progress. BMW has been pushed to sixth place by GAC Motor. Other brands like NIO, Xpeng, Lynk & Co and Geometry have started building a strong global presence, whereas traditional European automakers like Audi, Volvo, Peugeot and Renault are struggling to keep up with the competition. Among the top 25 EV brands in Q3 2022, 14 were from China.

The top 10 EV models accounted for more than 35% of global EV sales in Q3 2022. Tesla’s Model Y remained the best-selling EV model. Six out of the top 10 best-selling EV models were from BYD Auto.

Counterpoint_top 10 EV models

Commenting on the market outlook, Research Vice President Peter Richardson said, “EVs represent a growing share of global passenger vehicle sales. Currently, EVs account for more than 15% of global passenger vehicle sales. EVs are becoming the preferred choice for first-time car buyers across developed regions. This is also encouraging new players to enter the market. In addition, different battery chemistries that require little or no lithium are also being developed, with the new technologies promising similar or better efficiency compared to existing ones.”
*Sales refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries from factories by the respective brands/companies.

*For EVs, we consider only BEVs and PHEVs. Hybrid EVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are not included in this study.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Sales Tracker, Q1 2018-Q3 2022’ is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

 Soumen Mandal

 Neil Shah

 Peter Richardson

 Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

Related Reports:

Outsourced Manufacturing Captures More Than Half of Global Cellular IoT Module Shipments in H1 2022

  • Cellular IoT module outsourced manufacturing (ODM/EMS) grew 33% YoY in H1 2022.
  • Top 10 ODM/EMS players captured two-thirds of IoT module outsourced manufacturing in H1 2022.
  • Cellular IoT module outsourced manufacturing to grow at a CAGR of 17% until 2026 from 2021.

New Delhi, Beijing, Hong Kong, San Diego, Buenos Aires, London, Seoul – October 25, 2022

Global cellular IoT module outsourced manufacturing accounted for 52.4% of total IoT module shipments in H1 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Global IoT Module Manufacturing Tracker. In terms of global cellular IoT module manufacturing, original design manufacturers (ODM) saw the fastest growth in H1 2022 at 45% YoY, followed by electronics manufacturing services (EMS) at 30% and in-house manufacturing at 21%. After declining in Q1 2022, the global cellular IoT module market recovered in Q2 2022, despite macroeconomic headwinds and lockdowns in China, the largest IoT market.

Speaking on ODMs and EMSs, Senior Analyst Ivan Lam said, “In the past few years, leading Chinese OEMs have grown significantly in size. They have experience in managing supply chain partners and manufacturing allies. Leading OEMs have brought in multiple supplier policies to maintain their cost competitiveness, which gives them an advantage in terms of cost offering”.

ODM/EMS Shipments Share, H1 2022

Source: Counterpoint Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application, Q2 2022

The top 10 ODM/EMS players captured two-thirds of IoT module outsourced manufacturing in H1 2022. The leading ODM/EMS suppliers for IoT module manufacturing, such as BYD Electronics, TDG-Tech and Qisda, are mainly from Mainland China and Taiwan. At the same time, leading traditional EMS companies, such as Zollner, Jabil and USI, are also helping the top IoT module OEMs in their global expansion.

Lam added, “Manufacturing cost is still one of the key elements of an IoT module’s cost structure, apart from the cost of the components. Leading OEMs are growing rapidly in China and they are likely to predominantly hire manufacturing partners that have production sites within the country. However, we observed that OEMs also hired EMSs with global production sites, such as production facilities in Mexico or Brazil to cater to the North America and LATAM markets. We forecast the manufacturing capacity utilization in India, Southeast Asia and LATAM will continue to grow given the significant increase in IoT module applications in these markets.”

Commenting on the outlook for IoT module manufacturing, Senior Analyst Soumen Mandal said, “We are expecting outsourced manufacturing shipments to grow at a CAGR of 17% between 2021 and 2026. The soaring IoT module market, driven by innovation and digital transformation, especially in the enterprise segment, will play a pivotal role in IoT module manufacturing. IoT module players may focus on building platforms and services instead of manufacturing IoT modules as they present recurring revenue generation opportunities. This will also be an opportunity for ODM/EMS players to increase their footprint in the IoT module market. However, module players will try to increase control over the supply chain and look for vertical integration even for small components. This will help IoT module players reduce costs and remain competitive in the market. With higher demand in the market, top OEM players are also looking to expand their EMS supplier base to tap global markets.”

 

The comprehensive and in-depth “Global Cellular IoT Module Manufacturing Tracker – H1 2022” is now available for purchase at report.counterpointresearch.com.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

 

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts:

Ivan Lam

Soumen Mandal

Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

 

Related Reports:

 

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