Top

FWA to Have 36% Share of Global Fixed Broadband Subscriptions by 2030

  • More than 68% of the households in the world excluding China do not have access to fixed broadband. This number is expected to decrease to 54% by 2030.
  • FWA (4G and 5G) subscriptions will reach 473 million by 2030, representing 36% of the global fixed broadband users. APAC and Europe will represent almost half of the global 5G FWA subscribers.

 Boston, Toronto, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Taipei, Seoul – September 27, 2021

By the end of 2020, 68% of the households in the world except China had no access to fixed broadband. This gap will decrease to 54% by 2030, according to Counterpoint Research’s latest Global FWA+CPE Forecast, 2019-2030 – H1 2021.  With a CAGR of 23.68% FWA (Fixed Wireless Access) subscriptions will reach 473 million (4G and 5G) by 2030, representing 36% of the global fixed broadband users. APAC and Europe will represent almost half of the global 5G FWA subscribers.

Commenting on the fixed broadband market evolution, Principal Analyst Tina Lu said, “VDSL and cable represent two out of three fixed broadband subscribers across regions, independent of the service penetration. However, around 2024-2025, subscribers will start demanding a speed faster than 100Mbps, which these technologies cannot support. Exhibit 1 shows that by 2030 only 3% of the global households will utilize these technologies.

For the next 2-3 years, operators will also focus on increasing fiber network rollout in most regions except the MEA. But Counterpoint forecasts that FWA will grow significantly after 2024. This is because the last-mile connection to fiber in less populated areas will be too costly to make economic sense. Another major driver of the FWA technology are countries with many islands, like Greece, Italy, and Philippines. Deploying fiber could be a nightmare here, making FWA a better option. Furthermore, 5G technology will have mostly SA networks and offer better speed than the legacy technologies of VDSL and cable. All these drivers will fuel the growth of 5G FWA.”

Exhibit 1: Global (Except China) Fixed Broadband Penetration and Share

Source:  FWA – The first Killer App

Commenting on the 5G FWA growth, Research Analyst Parv Sharma said, “While 5G FWA has become an increasingly attractive option for operators to offer fixed internet access to those who do not have access to it or need a higher speed option, its growth through 2020 and 2021 has been lower than expected. Part of it is due to the lack of components in the supply chain, which has impacted the CPE market. This, in turn, has slowed the price erosion of 5G CPE devices, hampering the growth of 5G FWA subscriptions. The component constraints will remain an issue until 2022.  Meanwhile, 5G FWA services are more attractive for North America, Europe and MEA (the Middle East part).

Exhibit 2: Consumer Household 5G FWA Subscribers by Region

Source: Global FWA+CPE forecast, 2019-2030 – H1 2021

Also, operators are still trying to get the most from their current infrastructure. Due to COVID-19, some operators decreased their CAPEX and delayed the rollout of 5G network. So, 4G FWA will continue growing until 2024. It will still be a popular solution in the APAC and LATAM regions.

5G network rollout requires a hefty investment. But despite the increase in CAPEX, operators have not been able to translate the launch of the premium service into desired revenue gains. In most cases, 5G FWA services are more expensive than 4G FWA services. However, the price gap varies significantly across operators.”

Full reports are available for subscribing clients through the following links:

FWA – The first Killer App

Global FWA+CPE Forecast, 2019-2030 – H1 2021

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts:

Tina Lu

Parv Sharma

Follow Counterpoint Research
press(at)counterpointresearch.com   

      

Counterpoint research is a young and fast growing research firm covering analysis of the tech industry. Coverage areas are connected devices, digital consumer goods, software & applications and other adjacent topics. We provide syndicated research reports as well as tailored. Our seminars and workshops for companies and institutions are popular and available on demand. Consulting and customized work on the above topics is provided for high precision projects.

Term of Use and Privacy Policy

Counterpoint Technology Market Research Limited

Registration

In order to access Counterpoint Technology Market Research Limited (Company or We hereafter) Web sites, you may be asked to complete a registration form. You are required to provide contact information which is used to enhance the user experience and determine whether you are a paid subscriber or not.
Personal Information When you register on we ask you for personal information. We use this information to provide you with the best advice and highest-quality service as well as with offers that we think are relevant to you. We may also contact you regarding a Web site problem or other customer service-related issues. We do not sell, share or rent personal information about you collected on Company Web sites.

How to unsubscribe and Termination

You may request to terminate your account or unsubscribe to any email subscriptions or mailing lists at any time. In accessing and using this Website, User agrees to comply with all applicable laws and agrees not to take any action that would compromise the security or viability of this Website. The Company may terminate User’s access to this Website at any time for any reason. The terms hereunder regarding Accuracy of Information and Third Party Rights shall survive termination.

Website Content and Copyright

This Website is the property of Counterpoint and is protected by international copyright law and conventions. We grant users the right to access and use the Website, so long as such use is for internal information purposes, and User does not alter, copy, disseminate, redistribute or republish any content or feature of this Website. User acknowledges that access to and use of this Website is subject to these TERMS OF USE and any expanded access or use must be approved in writing by the Company.
– Passwords are for user’s individual use
– Passwords may not be shared with others
– Users may not store documents in shared folders.
– Users may not redistribute documents to non-users unless otherwise stated in their contract terms.

Changes or Updates to the Website

The Company reserves the right to change, update or discontinue any aspect of this Website at any time without notice. Your continued use of the Website after any such change constitutes your agreement to these TERMS OF USE, as modified.
Accuracy of Information: While the information contained on this Website has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, We disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. User assumes sole responsibility for the use it makes of this Website to achieve his/her intended results.

Third Party Links: This Website may contain links to other third party websites, which are provided as additional resources for the convenience of Users. We do not endorse, sponsor or accept any responsibility for these third party websites, User agrees to direct any concerns relating to these third party websites to the relevant website administrator.

Cookies and Tracking

We may monitor how you use our Web sites. It is used solely for purposes of enabling us to provide you with a personalized Web site experience.
This data may also be used in the aggregate, to identify appropriate product offerings and subscription plans.
Cookies may be set in order to identify you and determine your access privileges. Cookies are simply identifiers. You have the ability to delete cookie files from your hard disk drive.